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Alaves v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Mar, 20:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Alaves are in La Liga action on Friday night, as Eduardo Germán Coudet looks to get one over on Marcelino García Toral and his Villarreal side at the Mendizorroza. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Alaves or Villarreal are in the sort of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Villarreal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
35%
9/4
4%
9/4
4%
Draw
26%
12/512/5
3%
Villarreal
39%
23/20
2%
6/5
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Villarreal 1-0
9%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Alaves 1-0
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Villarreal 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Alaves 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
11%
15/2
Villarreal 2-0
6%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Alaves 2-0
6%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
8%
Villarreal 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Alaves 3-1
4%
25/1
10%
20/1
Villarreal 3-0
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Villarreal 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Alaves 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Alaves 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
5%
1/1
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
4%
3/4
1%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5
4%
5/4
2%
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
11%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
6%
4/5
2%
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
2%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
Home/draw
61%
4/6
2%
4/6
2%
Away/draw
65%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Home/away
74%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/3
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
12/5
6%
11/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5/2
13%
5/2
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10
4%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
19%
11/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
11%
15/2
Home DNB
53%
5/4
10%
13/10
3%
Away DNB
57%
4/7
5%
11/20
1%
Alaves win to nil
18%
9/2-
Villarreal win to nil
20%
11/4
10%
-
Alaves / Alaves
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
5%
Alaves / Villarreal
3%
25/122/1
Alaves / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Alaves
12%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Draw / Villarreal
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
4%
Villarreal / Alaves
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
Villarreal / Villarreal
23%
5/2
3%
12/5
5%
Villarreal / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Alaves have conceded 31 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Villarreal lay in 4th place on 54 points in the La Liga league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 48 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Villarreal have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Villarreal have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
May 13
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
Mar 13
l
 
3-1A
-
-
5
Real Betis2711106843 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
6
Celta2710107740 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Mar 20
w
 
2-3F
9
Getafe2710512-635 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
11
Osasuna279711034 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Valencia278811-1132 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
May 17
14
Sevilla278712-731 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 13
w
 
1-2F
15
Girona2771010-1531 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
16
Alaves277614-1227 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
17
Elche2751111-626 
w
 
3-1F
May 10
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
19
Levante275715-1622 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Alaves0 - 2Getafe
Alaves2 - 1Real Betis
Alaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Alaves2 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Alaves3 - 1Elche
Alaves1 - 2Sevilla
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves2 - 3Valencia
AAlaves0 - 2Levante
HAlaves2 - 2Girona
AAlaves1 - 1Sevilla
HAlaves0 - 2Getafe
AAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
HAlaves2 - 1Real Betis
AAlaves0 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves1 - 3Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
AAlaves0 - 3Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Levante0 - 1Villarreal
Getafe2 - 1Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 0Villarreal
Elche1 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
Espanyol0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Real Betis1 - 2Villarreal
Getafe1 - 2Villarreal
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal2 - 1Elche
AVillarreal1 - 4Barcelona
HVillarreal2 - 1Valencia
AVillarreal1 - 0Levante
AVillarreal1 - 2Getafe
HVillarreal4 - 1Espanyol
AVillarreal2 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal3 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal3 - 1Elche
HVillarreal0 - 2Barcelona
HVillarreal2 - 0Getafe
AVillarreal3 - 2R.Sociedad
HVillarreal2 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal2 - 0Espanyol
HVillarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
AVillarreal2 - 0Valencia
HVillarreal2 - 2Real Betis
AVillarreal1 - 3Real Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
ALV
5
D
1
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Alaves1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Alaves2 - 1
Alaves2 - 1
1 - 2Villarreal
Alaves2 - 1
0 - 3Villarreal
Alaves2 - 1
League games at Villarreal since 2016
Villarreal
Alaves
Goals: Scored
21
12
Games: Scored
8 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
1 / 9
ALV
3
D
1
VIL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Villarreal3 - 1
Villarreal3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal5 - 2
Villarreal3 - 1
Villarreal4 - 1
1 - 2Alaves
1 - 2Alaves
0 - 2Alaves
Goal Statistics
Alaves 16th Villarreal 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Alaves have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
ALV
VIL
42%
better
view stats
Games scored16
22
Failed to score10
4
Scored first8
17
Goals scored23
48
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
20
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
ALV
VIL
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
18
Clean sheets3
8
Conceded first17
9
Goals conceded34
31
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Alaves v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27948
A SiveraL BoyéC AleñáV. Parada González
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK27
1
-
C Aleñá MID274
4
-
J Castro DEF26
5
-
P Ibáñez MID2611
5
-
T Martínez FWD2652
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF251
2
-
A Blanco MID2511
5
-
D Suárez MID2111
3
-
C Vicente FWD215
1
-
L Boyé FWD2191
1
1
J Pacheco DEF20
3
1
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF201
4
-
A Rebbach FWD20
4
-
V. Parada González DEF192
7
1
A Guevara MID191
3
1
Calebe MID17
2
-
J Guridi MID17
1
-
F Garcés DEF10
3
-
M Díaz FWD10
1
-
C Benavídez MID9
1
1
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24949
L JúniorA MoleiroA MoleiroS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moleiro FWD2694
3
-
N Pépé FWD2634
3
-
S Comesaña MID2533
4
1
T Buchanan FWD2561
7
-
L Júnior GLK241
3
-
R Veiga DEF24
3
1
D Parejo MID23
2
-
S Cardona DEF223
3
-
G Mikautadze FWD2284
1
-
P Gueye MID2142
7
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD2121
1
-
S Mouriño DEF2012
8
1
A Pedraza DEF2012
6
-
A Pérez FWD1823
3
-
R Marín DEF171
1
-
T Partey MID17
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF15
3
-
J Foyth DEF13
2
-
G Moreno FWD137
-
I Akhomach FWD9
-
M Solomon FWD611
-
A Tenas GLK3
-
A Altimira DEF1
-