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Celta de Vigo v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 15:15 BST, Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Home advantage makes a difference in the La Liga, and Claudio Giráldez González’s Celta de Vigo will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Eduardo Germán Coudet’s Alaves are their visitors to the Balaídos. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Celta and Alaves will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Claudio Giráldez González or Eduardo Germán Coudet has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Celta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Celta
57%
3/4
3%
3/4
Draw
24%
9/4
2%
5/2
Alaves
20%
17/4
5%
4/1
Celta 1-0
13%
9/217/4
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Celta 2-0
11%
6/111/2
7%
Celta 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Alaves 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
Celta 3-0
6%
12/110/1
Celta 3-1
6%
16/114/1
15%
Alaves 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Alaves 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Celta 4-0
3%
28/122/1
10%
Celta 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Celta 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Alaves 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
11/8
3%
13/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/7
3%
11/20
4%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/74/7
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/82/1
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
49%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
BTTS - No
51%
8/13
3%
8/13
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4
6%
7/2
7%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/19/1
5%
Home/draw
80%
1/6
3%
1/6
Away/draw
43%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Home/away
76%
1/33/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/94/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
7/417/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/2
4%
10/3
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/16
1%
1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/300
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/10
2%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
73%
1/42/7
3%
Away DNB
36%
11/412/5
3%
Celta win to nil
33%
6/4-
Alaves win to nil
11%
7/1-
Celta / Celta
29%
7/417/10
4%
Celta / Alaves
2%
40/133/1
Celta / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Celta
19%
10/310/3
4%
Draw / Alaves
8%
9/18/1
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
6%
Alaves / Celta
3%
25/120/1
Alaves / Alaves
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/114/1
15%
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Celta have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Celta have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Celta have played 14 games at home winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Alaves are in 16th position in the La Liga on 27 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Alaves have conceded 31 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Celta
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
l
 
2-4A
Apr 22
May 13
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Mar 13
l
 
3-1A
5
Real Betis2711106843 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Celta2710107740 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
9
Getafe2710512-635 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
May 3
w
 
0-1F
11
Osasuna279711034 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 24
l
 
1-0A
14
Sevilla278712-731 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
15
Girona2771010-1531 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
16
Alaves277614-1227 
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Elche2751111-626 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
May 10
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
19
Levante275715-1622 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Win / draw / win form
Celta 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Celta2 - 0Mallorca
Celta1 - 2Osasuna
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta4 - 1Valencia
Celta2 - 0A.Bilbao
Celta0 - 1Espanyol
Celta2 - 4Barcelona
Celta1 - 1R.Sociedad
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1Girona
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Celta1 - 1Real Betis
Celta0 - 2Getafe
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Celta3 - 2Sevilla
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Celta0 - 2Espanyol
Celta1 - 1Las Palmas
Celta2 - 1Leganes
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCelta1 - 2Real Madrid
ACelta2 - 1Girona
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta2 - 2Espanyol
HCelta1 - 2Osasuna
ACelta0 - 0Getafe
ACelta1 - 3R.Sociedad
HCelta3 - 0R.Vallecano
ACelta1 - 0Sevilla
HCelta4 - 1Valencia
ACelta0 - 0Real Oviedo
HCelta2 - 0A.Bilbao
ACelta2 - 0Real Madrid
HCelta0 - 1Espanyol
ACelta1 - 0Alaves
HCelta2 - 4Barcelona
ACelta2 - 1Levante
ACelta3 - 2Osasuna
HCelta1 - 1R.Sociedad
HCelta1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia3 - 2Alaves
Levante2 - 0Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Espanyol1 - 2Alaves
A.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
Villarreal3 - 1Alaves
Osasuna3 - 0Alaves
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Girona1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Mallorca1 - 0Alaves
Getafe1 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 1Alaves
Real Betis1 - 0Alaves
Valladolid0 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao1 - 0Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Girona0 - 1Alaves
Las Palmas2 - 2Alaves
Mallorca1 - 1Alaves
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves2 - 3Valencia
AAlaves0 - 2Levante
HAlaves2 - 2Girona
AAlaves1 - 1Sevilla
HAlaves0 - 2Getafe
AAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
HAlaves2 - 1Real Betis
AAlaves0 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves1 - 3Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
AAlaves0 - 3Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Celta have not lost to Alaves in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Celta since 2017
Celta
Alaves
Goals: Scored
17
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
CEL
6
D
1
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
Celta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Celta4 - 0
Celta2 - 0
Celta6 - 0
0 - 1Alaves
Celta1 - 0
Celta1 - 0
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Celta
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
CEL
3
D
2
ALV
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
0 - 1Celta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Alaves3 - 0
1 - 2Celta
1 - 3Celta
Alaves2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 1
Alaves3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Celta de Vigo have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Alaves on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Celta 6th Alaves 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Celta will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Alaves have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Celta
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
31%
better
CEL
ALV
view stats
Games scored23
17
Failed to score4
10
Scored first13
9
Goals scored37
25
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
26%
better
CEL
ALV
view stats
Games conceded19
24
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first12
17
Goals conceded30
37
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%

Celta v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271146
I Radu B IglesiasJ. Rueda GarcíaB Iglesias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK27
-
I Moriba MID271
4
-
B Iglesias FWD24112
6
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF2313
3
-
M Alonso DEF231
2
-
S Carreira DEF2321
2
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF23
3
-
I Aspas FWD2343
3
-
W Swedberg MID2032
2
-
P Durán FWD2022
-
J. Rueda García DEF1924
4
-
M. Román González MID191
3
-
B Zaragoza FWD1911
1
-
F Jutglà FWD1941
4
-
C Starfelt DEF18
2
1
H Álvarez FWD1821
2
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD172
-
H Sotelo MID142
2
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF13
2
-
F Beltrán MID10
-
C Domínguez DEF7
1
-
J Aidoo DEF5
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF4
2
-
M Ristić DEF4
-
D Rodríguez MID2
1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27948
A SiveraL BoyéC AleñáV. Parada González
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK27
1
-
C Aleñá MID274
4
-
J Castro DEF26
5
-
P Ibáñez MID2611
5
-
T Martínez FWD2652
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF251
2
-
A Blanco MID2511
5
-
D Suárez MID2111
3
-
L Boyé FWD2191
1
1
C Vicente FWD215
1
-
J Pacheco DEF20
3
1
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF201
4
-
A Rebbach FWD20
4
-
V. Parada González DEF192
7
1
A Guevara MID191
3
1
J Guridi MID17
1
-
Calebe MID17
2
-
F Garcés DEF10
3
-
M Díaz FWD10
1
-
C Benavídez MID9
1
1
M Diarra DEF3
1
-