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Mallorca v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 16:00 BST, Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

Home advantage is often beneficial in the La Liga, and Jagoba Arrasate’s Mallorca will have the blessing of it on Sunday night. Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid are their opponents at the Estadio Iberoamericano 2010. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this La Liga clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Mallorca and A.Madrid combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mallorca
20%
17/4
11%
-
Draw
25%
12/5
5%
-
A.Madrid
56%
3/4
4%
-
A.Madrid 1-0
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A.Madrid 2-0
11%
13/2
6%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
6%
-
Mallorca 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Mallorca 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Mallorca 2-0
3%
22/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/1-
Mallorca 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
39%
7/4
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
10/1
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3-
Home/draw
44%
1/1
5%
-
Away/draw
80%
1/6
1%
-
Home/away
75%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
6%
-
Home DNB
37%
5/2
3%
-
Away DNB
73%
2/7
1%
-
Mallorca win to nil
11%
7/1-
A.Madrid win to nil
34%
13/8
12%
-
Mallorca / Mallorca
10%
7/1
7%
-
Mallorca / A.Madrid
3%
25/1
13%
-
Mallorca / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Mallorca
9%
17/2
6%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
7/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
A.Madrid / Mallorca
2%
40/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
7/4
5%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Mallorca
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid330059 
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
Sep 27
Mar 22
2
A.Bilbao330039 
Jan 18
Oct 5
Apr 19
Dec 7
3
Villarreal321077 
May 10
Nov 23
Sep 13
May 24
4
Barcelona321047 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 8
Apr 5
Jan 11
5
Espanyol321027 
Mar 15
Sep 15
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
6
Getafe320106 
Nov 9
May 13
Mar 15
Nov 23
7
Elche312025 
Dec 14
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
8
Real Betis412105 
Feb 15
Nov 2
Feb 8
Oct 26
9
Valencia311124 
Apr 22
Dec 21
Dec 14
May 3
10
R.Vallecano311114 
Apr 12
Jan 11
Sep 24
Feb 15
11
Alaves311104 
Sep 27
Apr 19
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
12
Sevilla310203 
Feb 1
Oct 19
Nov 2
Apr 12
13
Osasuna3102-13 
Nov 30
Mar 8
Oct 19
May 13
14
Real Oviedo3102-43 
May 24
Dec 7
Nov 30
Mar 1
15
Celta4031-23 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
May 10
Oct 5
16
R.Sociedad3021-12 
Mar 1
Sep 24
Mar 8
Jan 4
17
A.Madrid3021-12 
Sep 21
Jan 25
-
-
18
Mallorca3012-41 
-
-
Jan 25
Sep 21
19
Levante3003-40 
Oct 26
May 17
Nov 9
Feb 1
20
Girona3003-90 
Jan 4
May 3
May 17
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
Mallorca 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
A.Madrid 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have beaten Mallorca in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
A.Madrid have not lost to Mallorca in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Mallorca
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
MLL
2
ATM
3
League games at A.Madrid since 2020
A.Madrid
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
MLL
1
ATM
4
Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Mallorca fans, as should a 6 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Mallorca on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Mallorca 18th A.Madrid 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Mallorca scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Mallorca have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Mallorca
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
MLL
ATM
54%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score1
0
Scored first0
2
Goals scored1
2
Avg. goals scored0.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal14
11
Conversion rate for7
10
Avg. XG for0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
MLL
ATM
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
0
Goals conceded4
3
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
21%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+18%

Mallorca v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
L RománM BauzàP TorreM Morlanes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Román GLK3
-
A Raíllo DEF3
-
M Bauzà DEF31
1
-
J Palacio DEF3
-
M Valjent DEF3
-
P Torre MID31
1
-
A Sánchez MID3
1
-
S Darder MID3
-
M Joseph FWD3
-
T Asano FWD3
1
-
T Lato DEF2
-
M Kumbulla DEF2
-
D Rodríguez MID2
-
O Mascarell MID2
1
-
M Morlanes MID2
1
1
V Muriqi FWD21
1
S Costa MID1
-
J. Virgili Tenas FWD1
-
M. Domenech FWD1
-
A Prats FWD1
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J OblakJ ÁlvarezD HanckoJohnny
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK3
-
R Normand DEF3
1
-
M Llorente DEF3
1
-
D Hancko DEF31
-
M Ruggeri DEF3
-
Johnny MID3
2
-
C Gallagher MID3
-
P Barrios MID3
-
G Raspadori FWD3
-
T Almada FWD3
-
J Álvarez FWD31
-
A Griezmann FWD3
-
G Simeone FWD31
-
A Sörloth FWD31
1
-
Koke MID2
1
-
J Galán DEF1
-
N Molina DEF1
-
C Lenglet DEF1
-
Álex Baena FWD1
-