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Real Madrid v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Sunday night at the Santiago Bernabéu, and it’s a La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico de Madrid. Álvaro Arbeloa Coca and Diego Pablo Simeone will be doing all they can to ensure victory. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Real Madrid or A.Madrid are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
54%
4/5
3%
-
Draw
24%
14/5
3%
-
A.Madrid
22%
29/10
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
17/2-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
9/1
5%
-
A.Madrid 1-0
7%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
A.Madrid 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
20/1-
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
25/1
24%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1
26%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
8/13
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
13/10
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/7-
BTTS - No
47%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
9/4
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/2
7%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/4
2%
-
Away/draw
46%
19/20
3%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
7/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
8/15
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
71%
4/11
5%
-
Away DNB
39%
2/1
14%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
30%
5/2
3%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
11%
7/1
20%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
30%
7/4
10%
-
Real Madrid / A.Madrid
3%
28/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Real Madrid
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
9%
8/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
-
A.Madrid / Real Madrid
4%
20/1
11%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
13%
11/2
13%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

A.Madrid are in 3rd position in the La Liga on 54 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 1. A.Madrid have conceded 5 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
-
-
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
-
-
4
Villarreal2717371854 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 24
5
Real Betis2711106843 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Celta2710107740 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
Getafe2710512-635 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
11
Osasuna279711034 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 13
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 3
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
14
Sevilla278712-731 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
15
Girona2771010-1531 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
0-3F
16
Alaves277614-1227 
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
17
Elche2751111-626 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Levante275715-1622 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Oviedo0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
Levante0 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Espanyol2 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 4A.Madrid
Osasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 0A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol1 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe2 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
HA.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid0 - 3R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 0Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 1Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
AA.Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Real Madrid have drawn with A.Madrid in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
Real Madrid have not lost to A.Madrid in 9 consecutive home league meetings
6
A.Madrid have not lost to Real Madrid in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
RMD
3
D
6
ATM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
18
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
RMD
3
D
5
ATM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Atletico de Madrid on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Real Madrid 2nd A.Madrid 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
A.Madrid have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.7
1
Attack rating
5%
better
RMD
ATM
view stats
Games scored24
23
Failed to score3
4
Scored first19
22
Goals scored56
46
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
RMD
ATM
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded23
25
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+5%

Real Madrid v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
272387
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK27
1
-
A Güler MID2738
1
-
F Valverde MID2627
2
-
V Junior FWD2695
7
-
A Tchouameni MID241
6
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2322
5
1
K Mbappé FWD23234
3
-
G. García Torres FWD224
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1912
5
1
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF192
3
-
E Camavinga MID191
-
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
B Díaz FWD194
1
-
J Bellingham MID1843
1
-
F. Mastantuono FWD161
4
1
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF132
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
A Rüdiger DEF10
-
D Carvajal DEF10
-
D Alaba DEF8
1
-
F García DEF71
1
1
F Mendy DEF2
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
Endrick FWD1
1
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261054
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2783
2
-
J Oblak GLK26
-
A Sörloth FWD2610
3
1
D Hancko DEF252
1
-
Koke MID2522
4
-
A Griezmann FWD2461
-
G Simeone FWD2435
1
-
M Llorente DEF234
4
-
P Barrios MID2111
-
R Normand DEF201
3
-
M Ruggeri DEF193
3
-
N Molina DEF191
2
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
N González FWD193
3
-
T Almada FWD1931
1
-
Álex Baena FWD1822
3
-
J Giménez DEF121
3
-
Johnny MID12
4
-
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
M Pubill DEF111
1
-
C Lenglet DEF11
3
1
J Galán DEF5
-
J Musso GLK1
1
-