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Real Madrid v Girona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 10th Apr, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

the Santiago Bernabéu is the stage on Friday night, as Álvaro Arbeloa Coca's Real Madrid welcome Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz's Girona in the La Liga. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

A La Liga victory in front of their own fans for Álvaro Arbeloa Coca's Real Madrid side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Real Madrid win is our recommendation, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
66%
1/5
6%
-
Draw
19%
11/2
18%
-
Girona
15%
11/1
26%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
7/1-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
10/1-
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
18%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
11%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
10/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
13%
-
Girona 2-1
4%
28/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
12/1
13%
-
Girona 1-0
4%
33/1-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
28/1-
Girona 2-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/11
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
11/5
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
5/2
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/5
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
13/2
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
16/1
13%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
34%
10/3
15%
-
Home/away
81%
1/9
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
6/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
10/11
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
10/11
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
2/1
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
4/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/6
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/1
9%
-
Home DNB
79%
1/16
2%
-
Away DNB
28%
9/1
25%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
35%
6/5
8%
-
Girona win to nil
7%
20/1
11%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
51%
8/13
6%
-
Real Madrid / Girona
2%
50/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
3/1-
Draw / Girona
4%
22/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
7%
10/1
16%
-
Girona / Real Madrid
5%
16/1-
Girona / Girona
4%
20/1
24%
-
Girona / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Girona are in 13th position in the La Liga on 34 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 6. Girona have conceded 23 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Girona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2924145073 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid2922343769 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Apr 10
3
Villarreal2918472058 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 6
l
 
5-0A
4
A.Madrid2917662157 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
l
 
0-3A
May 17
5
Real Betis2911117744 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
Apr 22
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta2910118641 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
7
R.Sociedad2910811-138 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 13
w
 
1-2A
8
Getafe2911513-638 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
A.Bilbao2911513-938 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
10
Osasuna2910712-137 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
Espanyol2910712-837 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
12
Valencia299812-1035 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
13
Girona2981011-1334 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1A
-
-
14
R.Vallecano2971111-732 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3A
May 10
15
Alaves298714-1131 
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Sevilla298714-1231 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
17
Elche2961112-829 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 24
l
 
3-0A
18
Mallorca297715-1328 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 4
May 3
w
 
1-2F
19
Levante296815-1426 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1A
20
Real Oviedo294916-2821 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
5
Girona have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
L
3
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Girona 13TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Real Madrid have not lost to Girona in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2018
Real Madrid
Girona
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
RMD
3
D
1
GIR
1
League games at Girona since 2017
Girona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
RMD
3
D
1
GIR
2
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Friday night.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Girona, with M. Sánchez Muñoz's men failing to score in 4 consecutive La Liga outings.

Real Madrid 2nd Girona 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Girona scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Girona’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Girona
2.2
0.9
Attack rating
35%
better
RMD
GIR
view stats
Games scored26
21
Failed to score3
8
Scored first20
12
Goals scored63
31
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game14
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
32%
better
RMD
GIR
view stats
Games conceded18
24
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first8
16
Goals conceded26
44
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+32%

Real Madrid v Girona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282387
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID2948
1
-
T Courtois GLK28
1
-
F Valverde MID2847
2
1
V Junior FWD28115
7
-
A Tchouameni MID261
6
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2422
5
1
K Mbappé FWD24234
3
-
G. García Torres FWD234
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF2122
5
1
E Camavinga MID211
1
-
B Díaz FWD214
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF192
3
-
J Bellingham MID1943
1
-
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD161
4
1
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF143
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
A Rüdiger DEF121
-
D Carvajal DEF12
-
F García DEF911
1
1
D Alaba DEF8
1
-
A Lunin GLK2
1
1
F Mendy DEF2
-
Endrick FWD1
1
Girona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26946
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos ReisV VanatV TsygankovV. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF2711
5
1
D Blind DEF27
1
-
I Martín MID271
4
1
P Gazzaniga GLK26
4
1
H. Rincón Lumbreras DEF2611
3
-
A Martínez DEF2611
6
-
V Vanat FWD2691
4
-
J Roca FWD2421
3
1
Álex Moreno DEF233
4
-
A Witsel MID2312
2
1
V Tsygankov FWD2354
2
-
B Gil FWD233
3
-
T Lemar MID1921
2
-
A Francés DEF171
1
1
A Ounahi MID1542
6
-
Y Asprilla FWD15
-
C Stuani FWD133
2
-
J Solís MID12
-
Portu FWD10
2
-
A Ruiz FWD7
-
D López DEF4
-
K. Vladyslav GLK2
-
D Beek  MID2
-