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Sevilla v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sevilla are in La Liga action on Saturday night, as Matías Jesús Almeyda attempts to outsmart Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Sevilla's next match is v Levante at 18:00 on Thursday 23rd April
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v A.Bilbao at 20:00 on Saturday 25th April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Sevilla and A.Madrid was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Spanish La Liga
April 11th 2026
Sevilla 2
1 A.Madrid
 
A. Adams 10'35' J. Franco
N. Gudelj 45'
 
SEV
ATM
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
6
6
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
5/0
 
SevillaA.Madrid
 
O. Vlachodimos
Kike Salas
N. Gudeljfootball icon
I. Romero Bernal (G. Fernández Castellano 70')
A. Adamsfootball icon (B. Mendy 90')
R. Vargas (A. Sánchez Sánchez 78')
A. López Gallo
J. Martínez Gauna
J. Sánchez Velasco (G. Suazo Urbina 90')
L. Agoume
M. Bueno Sebastián (D. Sow 70')
J. Musso
(J. Morcillo Rodrigalvarez 71') R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
A. Sørloth
A. Rodríguez
T. Almada
M. Pubill Pagès
football iconJ. Franco
(A. Monserrate Pueyo 86') J. Del Romo
O. Vaargas
D. Martinez Moreno
R. Belaid Khellil

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Sevilla and A.Madrid have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sevilla are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
37%
23/20
21%
1/66
Draw
28%
13/5
6%
16/1
A.Madrid
35%
11/5
17%
125/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/23/1
Sevilla 1-0
11%
15/25/1
A.Madrid 1-0
11%
10/1
7%
8/1
Draw 0-0
9%
11/115/2
Sevilla 2-1
8%
8/1
8%
2/11
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
11/1
6%
9/2
Sevilla 2-0
7%
10/1
19%
5/1
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
15/2
Sevilla 3-1
3%
16/1
15%
15/2
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
22/1
13%
11/1
Sevilla 3-0
3%
20/19/1
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
33/1
12%
25/1
Sevilla 3-2
2%
22/1
17%
40/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
28/160/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
4/51/5
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1/116/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/11
6%
4/5
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5
4%
13/10
No 1st Goal
5%
11/115/2
BTTS - Yes
49%
7/10
3%
10/21
BTTS - No
51%
21/20
3%
6/4
BTTS - Home Win
15%
3/1
13%
1/16
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
7/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1
8%
50/1
Home/draw
65%
4/11
7%
1/1000
Away/draw
63%
4/6
4%
14/1
Home/away
72%
2/7
2%
1/100
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/41/10
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3/111/2
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
2/117/2
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/51/20
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/266/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/71/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/190/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/115/2
Home DNB
56%
4/7
9%
1/200
Away DNB
55%
5/4
7%
50/1
Sevilla win to nil
21%
11/4
14%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
21%
5/1
10%
-
Sevilla / Sevilla
23%
5/2
15%
10/1
Sevilla / A.Madrid
3%
28/140/1
Sevilla / Draw
6%
12/125/1
Draw / Sevilla
15%
9/2
12%
2/1
Draw / A.Madrid
11%
13/2
10%
27/10
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/10
A.Madrid / Sevilla
4%
22/1
15%
40/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
16%
4/1
10%
12/1
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 7. Sevilla have conceded 46 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sevilla have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 4th place on 57 points in the La Liga league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 39 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3227145582 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
5-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid3223453773 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
3
Villarreal3119482061 
l
 
1-2A
May 13
w
 
2-0F
May 24
4
A.Madrid3217691857 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
5
Real Betis3212137849 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Celta32111110344 
l
 
0-1A
May 24
May 9
d
 
1-1F
7
Getafe3213514-444 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Sociedad3211912042 
May 4
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
A.Bilbao3212515-1141 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
10
Osasuna3210913-239 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
May 12
11
Espanyol3110813-1138 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
12
Girona3291112-1338 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-3F
13
Valencia329914-1236 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 2
14
Elche3281113-735 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
15
Mallorca329815-935 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
R.Vallecano3181112-935 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
17
Sevilla319715-1234 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
18
Alaves328915-1233 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Levante317816-1529 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 23
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Real Oviedo316916-2427 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Sevilla 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have beaten Sevilla in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
SEV
4
D
3
ATM
4
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
29
9
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
D
4
ATM
8
Goal Statistics
Sevilla 17th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Sevilla have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
A.Madrid have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
SEV
ATM
22%
better
view stats
Games scored23
26
Failed to score7
4
Scored first12
25
Goals scored37
50
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
SEV
ATM
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
18
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first18
4
Goals conceded50
30
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+41%

Sevilla v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27859
O VlachodimosA AdamsR VargasL Agoumé
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Vlachodimos GLK27
1
-
J Sánchez DEF263
4
1
A Castrín DEF13
3
-
K Salas DEF191
1
-
J. Martínez Gauna DEF1413
1
-
L Agoumé MID2712
9
-
N Gudelj MID272
8
-
M Bueno MID7
2
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD234
6
-
A Adams FWD2684
1
-
R Vargas FWD1735
1
-
Subs
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
G Suazo DEF232
5
-
F Cardoso DEF4
-
F Gattoni DEF1
-
B Mendy MID251
6
-
D Sow MID2751
3
-
A Januzaj MID12
1
-
J Jordán MID4
1
1
A Sánchez FWD2231
1
-
P Fernández  FWD2221
8
-
N Maupay FWD61
1
-
C Ejuke FWD2211
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221065
J ÁlvarezA SörlothG SimeoneA Sörloth
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Musso GLK5
2
-
J. Franco DEF11
-
M Pubill DEF131
1
-
D. Martinez Moreno DEF1
-
J. Del Romo DEF21
1
-
R. Belaid Khellil MID1
-
R Mendoza MID5
1
-
O Vargas MID5
1
-
T Almada MID2231
1
-
Álex Baena FWD2222
4
-
A Sörloth FWD3010
4
1
Subs
S. Esquivel Gámez GLK
-
M Ruggeri DEF213
4
-
C Lenglet DEF131
4
1
N Molina DEF2221
4
-
G. Spina DEF
-
M Llorente MID254
5
-
A. Monserrate Pueyo MID2
-
J. Morcillo Rodrigalvarez MID2
1
-
A Griezmann FWD2761
1
-
J Álvarez FWD2984
2
-
G Simeone FWD2746
1
-
A Lookman FWD82
1
-