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Real Madrid v Mallorca : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Aug, 20:30 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Mallorca, led by manager Jagoba Arrasate, visit Xabi Alonso and his Real Madrid side at the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday night in the La Liga. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We think there's an outright winner in this fixture, and it's Real Madrid. Their recent form stats show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Mallorca too. The odds point towards Xabi Alonso's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
77%
1.221.22
Draw
15%
6.256.50
Mallorca
8%
12.0013.00
Real Madrid 2-0
13%
6.005.75
Real Madrid 3-0
11%
7.006.50
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
7.506.50
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9.508.00
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
11.0010.00
Draw 1-1
7%
12.0010.00
Real Madrid 4-0
7%
11.009.50
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0013.00
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
21.0015.00
Draw 2-2
3%
26.0021.00
Mallorca 1-0
3%
23.0019.00
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Mallorca 2-1
2%
29.0023.00
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
29.0021.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.382.25
Home 1st Goal
64%
1.251.22
Away 1st Goal
34%
3.754.60
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
45%
2.202.25
BTTS - No
55%
1.621.60
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.103.00
BTTS - Draw
11%
8.008.00
BTTS - Away Win
4%
21.0019.00
Home/draw
92%
1.051.03
Away/draw
23%
4.004.20
Home/away
85%
1.131.11
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.171.18
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.004.40
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.382.40
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.571.50
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.334.20
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.221.20
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.081.07
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
88%
1.061.04
Away DNB
18%
10.009.50
Real Madrid win to nil
47%
1.83-
Mallorca win to nil
4%
17.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
47%
1.731.70
Real Madrid / Mallorca
2%
51.0051.00
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
21.0019.00
Draw / Real Madrid
22%
3.753.80
Draw / Mallorca
4%
23.0019.00
Draw / Draw
10%
9.008.00
Mallorca / Real Madrid
4%
21.0019.00
Mallorca / Mallorca
4%
23.0017.00
Mallorca / Draw
4%
23.0021.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Villarreal220076 
Oct 5
Jan 25
May 10
Nov 23
2
Barcelona220046 
Oct 26
May 10
l
 
0-3A
Feb 8
3
Real Madrid220046 
-
-
Apr 5
Aug 30
4
Espanyol211014 
Sep 21
May 3
Mar 15
Sep 15
5
Real Betis211014 
Jan 4
Apr 19
Feb 15
Nov 2
6
R.Vallecano110023 
Feb 1
Nov 9
Apr 12
Jan 11
7
Getafe110023 
Mar 1
Oct 19
Nov 9
May 13
8
A.Bilbao110013 
May 24
Jan 11
Jan 18
Oct 5
9
Alaves210103 
Apr 22
Dec 14
Sep 28
Apr 19
10
Osasuna210103 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Nov 30
Mar 8
11
R.Sociedad202002 
Feb 15
Sep 14
Mar 1
Sep 24
12
Elche202002 
Mar 15
Nov 23
Dec 14
Mar 22
13
A.Madrid2011-11 
Mar 22
Sep 28
Sep 21
Jan 25
14
Valencia2011-11 
Nov 2
Feb 8
Apr 22
Dec 21
15
Celta2011-21 
Dec 7
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
16
Mallorca2011-31 
Aug 30
Apr 5
-
-
17
Sevilla1001-10 
Dec 21
May 17
Feb 1
Oct 19
18
Levante2002-20 
Jan 18
Sep 24
Oct 26
May 17
19
Real Oviedo2002-50 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
May 24
Dec 7
20
Girona2002-70 
Apr 12
Nov 30
Jan 4
May 3
Win / draw / win form
5
Real Madrid have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
Real Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
HReal Madrid3 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid3 - 2Leganes
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Mallorca 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano0 - 0Mallorca
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Girona1 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona1 - 0Mallorca
R.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
Valencia1 - 0Mallorca
A.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
Sevilla1 - 1Mallorca
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
Villarreal4 - 0Mallorca
Getafe0 - 1Mallorca
Celta2 - 0Mallorca
Las Palmas2 - 3Mallorca
Alaves1 - 0Mallorca
Espanyol2 - 1Mallorca
Valladolid1 - 2Mallorca
Real Betis1 - 2Mallorca
Leganes0 - 1Mallorca
Osasuna1 - 0Mallorca
Getafe1 - 2Mallorca
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMallorca1 - 1Celta
HMallorca0 - 3Barcelona
AMallorca0 - 0R.Vallecano
HMallorca1 - 2Getafe
AMallorca1 - 2Real Madrid
HMallorca2 - 1Valladolid
AMallorca0 - 1Girona
AMallorca0 - 1Barcelona
HMallorca0 - 0Leganes
AMallorca2 - 0R.Sociedad
HMallorca1 - 2Celta
AMallorca0 - 1Valencia
HMallorca2 - 1Espanyol
AMallorca1 - 1A.Bilbao
HMallorca1 - 1Alaves
AMallorca1 - 1Sevilla
HMallorca3 - 1Las Palmas
HMallorca1 - 1Osasuna
AMallorca0 - 2A.Madrid
HMallorca0 - 1Real Betis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Real Madrid have beaten Mallorca in 5 consecutive home league meetings
5
Real Madrid have not lost to Mallorca in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2020
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
15
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
RMD
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid6 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
RMD
2
D
1
MLL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mallorca
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 0
0 - 3Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is decent for Real Madrid in their meeting with Mallorca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive La Liga games.

With a PG of just 0.7, Mallorca look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive La Liga matches, and it could be a long night for Jagoba Arrasate's men.

Real Madrid 3rd Mallorca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Mallorca will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Mallorca have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Mallorca
2.5
0.7
Attack rating
0%
better
RMD
MLL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
RMD
MLL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Real Madrid v Mallorca La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2311
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerK Mbappé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF2
-
D. Huijsen DEF2
-
D Carvajal DEF2
-
D Ceballos MID2
-
F Valverde MID2
-
A Güler MID21
-
A Tchouameni MID2
-
K Mbappé FWD23
1
-
B Díaz FWD21
-
V Junior FWD211
1
-
G. García Torres FWD2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD2
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
Éder Militão DEF1
-
Rodrygo FWD1
-
Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
L RománM BauzàM Morlanes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Román GLK2
-
A Raíllo DEF2
-
M Bauzà DEF21
1
-
J Palacio DEF2
-
M Valjent DEF2
-
P Torre MID2
1
-
A Sánchez MID2
1
-
D Rodríguez MID2
-
O Mascarell MID2
1
-
S Darder MID2
-
M Joseph FWD2
-
T Asano FWD2
1
-
M Kumbulla DEF1
-
T Lato DEF1
-
M Morlanes MID1
1
1
M. Domenech FWD1
-
V Muriqi FWD1
1
A Prats FWD1
-