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Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Feb, 13:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Sunday afternoon sees Xabier Alonso Olano’s Real Madrid and Iñigo Pérez Soto’s Rayo Vallecano go head to head in a La Liga battle at the Santiago Bernabéu. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

As the Real Madrid players prepare themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we use in our predictive algorithms. The Santiago Bernabéu has rarely been an easy place to go for R.Vallecano in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
73%
3/10
4%
3/10
Draw
18%
4/1
9%
19/4
R.Vallecano
10%
9/1
17%
8/1
Real Madrid 2-0
14%
6/1
8%
11/2
Real Madrid 1-0
13%
15/213/2
Real Madrid 3-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
17/27/1
Draw 1-1
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
6%
14/114/1
Real Madrid 4-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Real Madrid 5-0
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/151/2
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
6/47/5
Home 1st Goal
62%
3/10
1%
2/7
Away 1st Goal
34%
12/5
9%
29/10
No 1st Goal
4%
14/112/1
BTTS - Yes
43%
19/20
3%
19/20
BTTS - No
57%
4/5
3%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/8
4%
9/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
BTTS - Away Win
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
Home/draw
90%
1/16
1%
1/16
Away/draw
27%
12/5
9%
12/5
Home/away
82%
1/6
3%
1/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/62/13
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
13/105/4
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
8/133/5
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
3/114/5
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/42/9
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
6/1
13%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/10
2%
1/11
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/66
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/114/1
Home DNB
85%
1/12
2%
1/12
Away DNB
22%
7/1
20%
6/1
Real Madrid win to nil
46%
11/10
5%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
5%
16/1
11%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
45%
4/5
4%
4/5
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
40/1
20%
40/1
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
3/116/5
Draw / R.Vallecano
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
5%
18/116/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
5%
18/1
10%
11/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 13th position in the La Liga on 22 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2016133249 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
2
Real Madrid2015322648 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
3
A.Madrid2012531841 
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
4
Villarreal1913241841 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
May 17
l
 
4-0A
5
Espanyol201046134 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
6
Real Betis20884832 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
7
Celta20884832 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
8
R.Sociedad20668-224 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
9
A.Bilbao207310-924 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
10
Girona20668-1424 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
May 10
w
 
1-3F
11
Elche19586123 
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
12
Osasuna206410-322 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Jan 24
l
 
2-0A
13
R.Vallecano20578-922 
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
14
Mallorca20569-621 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
15
Getafe206311-1121 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
16
Sevilla196211-620 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
17
Valencia20488-1220 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
d
 
1-1F
May 13
18
Alaves205411-919 
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 24
19
Levante193511-1114 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
20
Real Oviedo202711-2013 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
R.Vallecano 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Elche4 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol1 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Oviedo0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Levante0 - 3R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
Osasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Girona1 - 3R.Vallecano
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Las Palmas0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano0 - 2Osasuna
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano3 - 1Girona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Real Madrid have not lost to R.Vallecano in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
RMD
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid10 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
RMD
3
D
3
VAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano3 - 2
0 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Real Madrid 2nd R.Vallecano 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that R.Vallecano will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
R.Vallecano have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
2.2
0.7
Attack rating
51%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games scored18
10
Failed to score2
9
Scored first14
7
Goals scored43
16
Avg. goals scored2.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game15
10
Avg. shots per goal7
13
Conversion rate for14
8
Avg. XG for2.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
23%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded17
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Real Madrid v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201974
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK20
-
A Güler MID2037
1
-
V Junior FWD2055
4
-
F Valverde MID196
2
-
K Mbappé FWD19194
3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1811
3
1
A Tchouameni MID18
4
-
Rodrygo FWD1713
3
-
J Bellingham MID1643
1
-
G. García Torres FWD153
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1411
3
1
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF142
2
-
E Camavinga MID141
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
D Ceballos MID12
-
F. Mastantuono FWD121
3
-
B Díaz FWD122
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF81
-
A Rüdiger DEF7
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF71
1
1
D Alaba DEF4
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
F Mendy DEF1
-
Endrick FWD1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20636
A BatallaJ FrutosU LópezI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK20
3
-
F Lejeune DEF20
3
-
P Chavarría DEF2012
4
-
Álvaro García FWD2032
2
-
I Palazón FWD1922
6
-
A Rațiu DEF181
6
-
J Frutos FWD1861
2
-
P Díaz MID17
-
Óscar Valentín MID17
1
1
F Pérez FWD171
2
-
U López MID163
5
1
A Espino DEF141
-
G Gumbau MID141
2
-
P Ciss MID14
3
1
N Mendy DEF121
3
1
A Alemão FWD121
1
-
S Camello FWD12
2
1
I Balliu DEF9
2
-
L Felipe DEF7
1
-
R Nteka MID6
-
J Vertrouwd DEF5
-
Óscar Trejo MID5
2
-