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Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano, led by manager Iñigo Pérez Soto, visit Álvaro Arbeloa Coca and his Real Madrid side at the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday afternoon in the La Liga. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to La Liga match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Real Madrid's next match is v R.Sociedad at 20:00 on Saturday 14th February
Rayo Vallecano's next match is v A.Madrid at 15:15 on Sunday 15th February
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and R.Vallecano was on Sunday 1st February 2026
Spanish La Liga
February 1st 2026
Real Madrid 2
1 R.Vallecano
 
V. Júnior 15'49' J. De Frutos Sebastián
K. Mbappé 90'
 
RMD
VAL
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
9
4
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
6
18
Yellow/red cards
2/0
7/2
 
Real MadridR.Vallecano
 
T. Courtois
J. Bellingham (B. Abdelkader Diaz 10')
E. Camavinga
F. Valverde Dipetta
V. Júniorfootball icon
K. Mbappéfootball icon
A. Tchouaméni
R. Asencio del Rosario (D. Ceballos Fernández 46')
D. Huijsen (D. Olatukunbo Alaba 77')
A. Guler (R. Silva de Goes 77')
F. Mastantuono (G. García Torres 60')
A. Ratiu
J. Chavarría Pérez
P. Ciss
(L. Ramos Marchi 83') I. Palazón Camacho
A. Batalla Barga
F. Lejeune
(Ó. Martín Luengo 56') G. Gumbau Garriga
(L. Espino García 77') Á. García Rivera
(P. Díaz Fanjul 56') football iconJ. De Frutos Sebastián
N. Mendy
(C. Martín Domínguez 83') Ilias Chakkour

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

As the Real Madrid players prepare themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we use in our predictive algorithms. The Santiago Bernabéu has rarely been an easy place to go for R.Vallecano in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
73%
2/9
9%
1/1000
Draw
17%
6/1
14%
33/1
R.Vallecano
10%
10/1
29%
750/1
Real Madrid 2-0
13%
15/2
15%
3/1
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
9/1
6%
19/5
Real Madrid 3-0
10%
17/2
20%
5/1
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
15/2
5%
19/10
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
14%
4/6
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
9/110/1
Real Madrid 4-0
6%
12/1
25%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
25/1
13%
14/1
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
14/140/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
4%
22/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
26%
22/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
3%
20/1
21%
14/1
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
22/1
24%
25/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
18/1
21%
55/1
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
25/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/113/1
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/52/9
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/3
5%
1/3
Away 1st Goal
35%
9/4
15%
5/2
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
13%
12/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
7/10
10%
5/4
BTTS - No
54%
21/20
11%
4/7
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/5
8%
7/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
13/2
14%
8/13
BTTS - Away Win
5%
10/1
29%
12/1
Home/draw
90%
1/20
3%
1/1000
Away/draw
27%
3/1
20%
2/11
Home/away
83%
1/10
4%
3/1
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/82/13
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
1/125/1
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/51/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
11/590/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
4/111/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/2
13%
1/50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/7
2%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/1001/66
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
25/114/1
Home DNB
85%
1/9
4%
1/14
Away DNB
22%
11/2
30%
6/1
Real Madrid win to nil
44%
6/4
19%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
5%
14/1
11%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
48%
4/5
10%
1/6
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
40/1
20%
16/1
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
13/2
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
3/118/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
4%
18/1
10%
33/1
Draw / Draw
8%
17/2
11%
25/1
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
5%
16/1
11%
100/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
6%
14/1
29%
80/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
4%
20/1
17%
90/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 16th position in the La Liga on 22 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 3. R.Vallecano have conceded 26 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2319134058 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
2
Real Madrid2318323157 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid2313642045 
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
4
Villarreal2214351945 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 17
l
 
4-0A
5
Real Betis231085938 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 21
6
Espanyol231049-434 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
7
Celta23896533 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
8
R.Sociedad23878231 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
9
Osasuna238510029 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
10
A.Bilbao238411-828 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
Feb 28
l
 
1-0A
11
Getafe237511-926 
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
12
Girona23689-1526 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
May 10
w
 
1-3F
13
Sevilla237412-825 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
14
Alaves237412-925 
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 24
15
Elche23599-424 
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
16
Mallorca236611-924 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
17
Valencia235810-1423 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 13
18
R.Vallecano225710-1222 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
19
Levante224612-1218 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
20
Real Oviedo223712-2216 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
-
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
R.Vallecano 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Elche4 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol1 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Oviedo0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Levante0 - 3R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
Osasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Girona1 - 3R.Vallecano
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Las Palmas0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano0 - 2Osasuna
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Real Madrid have not lost to R.Vallecano in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
RMD
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid10 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
RMD
3
D
3
VAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano3 - 2
0 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Real Madrid 2nd R.Vallecano 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
R.Vallecano have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
2.3
0.7
Attack rating
52%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games scored19
11
Failed to score2
10
Scored first15
7
Goals scored45
17
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game15
10
Avg. shots per goal7
13
Conversion rate for15
8
Avg. XG for2.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
35%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first5
11
Goals conceded17
28
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+35%

Real Madrid v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
232375
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK23
-
F Valverde DEF226
2
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF172
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF1712
3
1
E Camavinga DEF171
-
A Güler MID2337
1
-
A Tchouameni MID20
4
-
J Bellingham MID1843
1
-
F. Mastantuono FWD151
4
-
K Mbappé FWD22234
3
-
V Junior FWD2265
5
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
F. González Pérez GLK
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
D Alaba DEF5
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2021
4
1
F García DEF71
1
1
D Ceballos MID13
1
-
B Díaz MID154
1
-
Rodrygo FWD1813
3
-
G. García Torres FWD183
1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22737
A BatallaJ FrutosI PalazónI Palazón
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK22
3
-
A Rațiu DEF191
6
-
F Lejeune DEF22
3
-
N Mendy DEF131
3
1
P Chavarría DEF2212
5
1
P Ciss MID161
4
2
G Gumbau MID151
3
-
I Akhomach MID2
1
-
I Palazón MID2123
7
-
Álvaro García MID2233
2
-
J Frutos FWD2071
2
-
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK
-
L Felipe DEF8
1
-
I Balliu DEF9
2
-
A Espino DEF161
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID5
2
-
R Nteka MID6
-
F Pérez MID181
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID19
2
1
P Díaz MID19
1
-
A Alemão FWD131
1
-
S Camello FWD13
2
1
C Martín FWD4
1
-