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Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Real Madrid side enjoy home advantage in the La Liga on Saturday night, as Beñat San José Gil's Rayo Vallecano arrive at the Santiago Bernabéu. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for each one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this La Liga match, a bet on win / draw / win for Real Madrid to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for R.Vallecano, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Real Madrid claiming victory is the bet come Sunday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
85%
1.10-
Draw
10%
8.50-
R.Vallecano
5%
17.00-
Real Madrid 3-0
11%
7.50-
Real Madrid 2-0
11%
7.50-
Real Madrid 4-0
9%
9.00-
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
11.00-
Real Madrid 2-1
7%
11.00-
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
11.00-
Real Madrid 4-1
6%
13.00-
Real Madrid 5-0
6%
13.00-
Draw 1-1
5%
17.00-
Real Madrid 5-1
4%
21.00-
Real Madrid 6-0
3%
23.00-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
26.00-
Draw 2-2
3%
29.00-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
34.00-
Draw 0-0
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1.30-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
3.50-
Home 1st Goal
65%
1.22-
Away 1st Goal
34%
4.00-
No 1st Goal
1%
29.00-
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.00-
BTTS - No
52%
1.75-
BTTS - Home Win
37%
2.50-
BTTS - Draw
8%
10.00-
BTTS - Away Win
3%
23.00-
Home/draw
95%
1.03-
Away/draw
15%
7.00-
Home/away
90%
1.08-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1.08-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
8.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
1.80-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
2.00-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
2.75-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1.44-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
4.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1.20-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
26.00-
Home DNB
92%
1.03-
Away DNB
12%
15.00-
Real Madrid win to nil
48%
1.83-
R.Vallecano win to nil
2%
26.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
56%
1.44-
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
1%
67.00-
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
23.00-
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
4.00-
Draw / R.Vallecano
2%
34.00-
Draw / Draw
6%
13.00-
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
5%
17.00-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
3%
29.00-
R.Vallecano / Draw
3%
29.00-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3300109 
May 9
Oct 25
Mar 21
l
 
5-2F
2
Real Madrid330089 
-
-
Jan 31
Sep 12
3
A.Madrid321047 
Apr 4
Sep 20
Jan 3
May 16
4
Alaves321047 
Nov 29
May 23
d
 
1-1F
Apr 18
5
Osasuna321027 
Dec 13
Apr 11
Mar 7
Sep 19
6
Sevilla320116 
Oct 18
Feb 21
Jan 17
l
 
2-1F
7
Real Betis3201-16 
Jan 24
Sep 4
May 23
Nov 29
8
Deportivo312025 
May 30
Dec 20
May 9
Jan 10
9
Levante311104 
Jan 10
May 2
Dec 6
Apr 4
10
R.Santander311104 
May 16
Nov 1
Sep 5
Feb 28
11
R.Sociedad4112-34 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 7
Apr 11
Nov 8
12
Espanyol310213 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Sep 15
Feb 7
13
A.Bilbao3102-23 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Oct 11
May 30
14
Getafe3102-33 
Jan 3
Apr 18
Feb 21
Oct 18
15
Villarreal3021-12 
Oct 11
Mar 7
May 2
Dec 13
16
Celta4022-32 
Nov 22
Mar 21
Nov 1
Feb 14
17
Valencia3012-31 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Nov 22
Apr 21
18
R.Vallecano3012-41 
Sep 12
Jan 31
-
-
19
Elche3012-61 
Apr 21
Sep 15
Oct 25
Jan 24
20
Malaga3012-61 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
Dec 20
Mar 14
Win / draw / win form
5
Real Madrid have won 5 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 0Malaga
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
Real Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid1 - 1Girona
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
Real Madrid0 - 1Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Levante
Real Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
Real Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid4 - 0Malaga
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 1Espanyol
HReal Madrid4 - 2A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AReal Madrid0 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
R.Vallecano 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona5 - 2R.Vallecano
Sevilla2 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 2R.Vallecano
Valencia1 - 1R.Vallecano
Getafe0 - 2R.Vallecano
Mallorca3 - 0R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Elche4 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol1 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Oviedo0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Levante0 - 3R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
Osasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano2 - 5Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Alaves
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Alaves
HR.Vallecano2 - 0Villarreal
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Getafe
HR.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Espanyol
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Elche
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano3 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
HR.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
24
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
RMD
7
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid10 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
RMD
3
D
3
VAL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano3 - 2
0 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive La Liga matches. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Real Madrid 2nd R.Vallecano 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.2
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
5+
25%
There is a 26% probability that Real Madrid will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
R.Vallecano have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
3.2
0.7
Attack rating
24%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
3
Goals scored10
4
Avg. goals scored3.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game14
7
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
18
Avg. XG for2.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
53%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded2
8
Avg. goals conceded0.7
2.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
5
Conversion rate against9%
20%
Avg. XG against0.8
2.3
KickOff rating
+53%

Real Madrid v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3421
T CourtoisK MbappéJ BellinghamE Camavinga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK3
-
M Cucurella  DEF3
-
D. Huijsen DEF3
-
B Silva MID3
-
J Bellingham MID322
-
F Valverde MID31
-
A Güler MID311
-
E Camavinga MID3
1
-
K Mbappé FWD341
-
V Junior FWD312
1
-
Y. Diomande FWD3
-
D Dumfries DEF2
-
I Konaté DEF2
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF21
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2
1
-
B Díaz FWD2
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD21
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
F LejeuneS CamelloU LópezU López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF3
-
P Ciss MID3
-
R Nteka MID3
-
U López MID31
1
-
Óscar Valentín MID3
-
S Camello FWD33
1
-
J Frutos FWD31
-
F Pérez FWD3
1
-
Álvaro García FWD311
1
-
A Batalla GLK2
-
D Cárdenas GLK2
-
J Vertrouwd DEF2
-
P. Fernández Balboa DEF2
-
A Rațiu DEF2
-
I Balliu DEF2
-
P Díaz MID2
-
I Palazón FWD2
-
A Alemão FWD2
1
-
A Pedrosa DEF1
1
-