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Athletic Bilbao v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Mamés, Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao and their boss Ernesto Valverde Tejedor will be looking to get one over on Diego Pablo Simeone and his Atletico de Madrid side on Saturday night, as the pair go head to head at the San Mamés in the La Liga. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Athletic Bilbao's next match is v PSG at 20:00 on Wednesday 10th December
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v PSV at 20:00 on Tuesday 9th December
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Bilbao and A.Madrid was on Saturday 6th December 2025
Spanish La Liga
December 6th 2025
A.Bilbao 1
0 A.Madrid
 
A. Berenguer Remiro 85'
 
ATH
ATM
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
5
6
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
A.BilbaoA.Madrid
 
U. Simón Mendibil
A. Paredes Casamichana
J. Areso Blanco (A. Gorosabel Espinosa 82')
A. Laporte (D. Vivian Moreno 33')
O. Sancet Tirapu (U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi 82')
A. Berenguer Remirofootball icon
N. Williams Arthuer
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez (U. Gómez Etxebarria 66')
Y. Berchiche Izeta
I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria (A. Rego Mora 66')
M. Jauregizar Alboniga
J. Oblak
(M. Ruggeri 62') C. Lenglet
(J. Resurrección Merodio 46') C. Gallagher
Pablo Barrios Rivas
(A. Sørloth 62') T. Almada
N. Molina Lucero
D. Hancko
M. Pubill Pagès
(A. Griezmann 66') J. Álvarez
G. Simeone
(G. Raspadori 72') N. González

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 80% chance of A.Bilbao and A.Madrid a maximum of 3 goals combined during this La Liga fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
34%
9/51/18
Draw
28%
11/59/1
A.Madrid
37%
31/2080/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/116/1
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
13/219/4
A.Bilbao 1-0
11%
7/15/1
Draw 0-0
10%
7/14/9
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
9/166/1
A.Bilbao 2-1
7%
10/166/1
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
11/128/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
6%
12/128/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1150/1
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
20/1200/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
3%
22/1200/1
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
25/1100/1
A.Bilbao 3-0
2%
28/1100/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1200/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
33/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
11/1033/1
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/111/1000
Home 1st Goal
46%
21/204/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/2119/5
No 1st Goal
7%
15/24/9
BTTS - Yes
47%
10/118/1
BTTS - No
53%
10/111/18
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/150/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/250/1
Home/draw
63%
1/21/1000
Away/draw
66%
2/58/1
Home/away
72%
4/111/25
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/1117/4
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/52/15
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3/1100/1
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/41/500
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/121/200
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/500
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/1417/10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/14/9
Home DNB
54%
10/1110/11
Away DNB
57%
4/54/5
A.Bilbao win to nil
21%
7/2-
A.Madrid win to nil
23%
3/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
18%
7/210/1
A.Bilbao / A.Madrid
3%
28/133/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/120/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
13%
11/214/5
Draw / A.Madrid
14%
5/15/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/413/8
A.Madrid / A.Bilbao
3%
28/133/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
19%
10/39/1
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/120/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 1. A.Bilbao have conceded 10 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A.Bilbao have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 4th place on 31 points in the La Liga league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1613122740 
Mar 8
l
 
4-0A
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid1511311936 
l
 
0-3A
May 24
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
3
Villarreal1511221835 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 24
4
A.Madrid169431331 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
-
-
5
Real Betis15663624 
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
6
Espanyol14734224 
Dec 22
May 13
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
7
A.Bilbao16727-523 
-
-
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
8
Getafe15627-420 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
9
Alaves15537-218 
l
 
0-1A
May 3
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
10
R.Vallecano14455-217 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
11
Elche14374-216 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
12
R.Sociedad15447-316 
Feb 1
l
 
3-2A
Mar 8
Jan 4
13
Celta14374-316 
May 17
Dec 14
May 10
d
 
1-1F
14
Sevilla14518-416 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 25
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
15
Mallorca15357-714 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
16
Valencia14356-914 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Dec 13
May 3
17
Osasuna14338-612 
Apr 22
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
May 13
18
Girona14266-1312 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
May 17
Dec 21
19
Real Oviedo15249-1510 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
20
Levante14239-109 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 1
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have beaten A.Bilbao in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
ATH
4
D
2
ATM
5
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
19
6
Games: Scored
9 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
2 / 11
D
2
ATM
9
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 7th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
ATH
ATM
51%
better
view stats
Games scored8
15
Failed to score7
0
Scored first6
15
Goals scored14
28
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
ATH
ATM
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first8
0
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against18%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+35%

A.Bilbao v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16326
U SimónN WilliamsÁlex BerenguerI Galarreta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK16
-
J Areso DEF131
1
-
A Paredes DEF91
1
-
A Laporte DEF111
2
-
Y Berchiche DEF15
2
-
I Galarreta MID14
6
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID161
2
-
Álex Berenguer MID1412
2
-
O Sancet MID111
1
1
N Williams MID1232
1
-
G Guruzeta FWD141
1
-
Subs
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1
A Gorosabel DEF71
1
-
D Vivian DEF15
4
1
I Lekue DEF5
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF3
-
M Vesga MID12
-
U Gómez MID10
-
A. Rego Mora MID111
1
-
S. Sánchez Camilo MID3
-
N Serrano  FWD6
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD5
1
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15744
J OblakJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneKoke
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK15
-
N Molina DEF121
1
-
M Pubill DEF4
-
C Lenglet DEF9
2
1
D Hancko DEF162
-
G Simeone MID1524
1
-
C Gallagher MID161
2
-
P Barrios MID151
-
N González MID131
2
-
T Almada FWD921
-
J Álvarez FWD1672
2
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
1
-
M Luis GLK
-
M Ruggeri DEF10
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
R Normand DEF101
2
-
J. Franco DEF
-
A. Puric DEF
-
Koke MID152
4
-
A Griezmann FWD164
-
A Sörloth FWD154
2
1
C Martín FWD
-
G Raspadori FWD10
-