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Real Madrid v Malaga : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho welcomes Juan Francisco Funes Arjona to the Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday afternoon, as their Real Madrid and Malaga troops do battle in the La Liga. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this La Liga clash.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Inter at 20:00 on Tuesday 8th September
Malaga's next match is v Levante at 17:30 on Sunday 6th September
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and Malaga was on Sunday 30th August 2026
Spanish La Liga
August 30th 2026
Real Madrid 4
0 Malaga
 
J. Bellingham 19'
A. Herrero Peinador (OG) 26'
K. Mbappé 30'
A. Guler 90'
 
RMD
MAL
Shots On
8
1
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
9
6
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
6
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Real MadridMalaga
 
T. Courtois
D. Huijsen
T. Alexander-Arnold
J. Bellinghamfootball icon (A. Guler 87')
E. Camavinga
F. Valverde Dipetta (B. Silva 77')
V. Júnior
K. Mbappéfootball icon
M. Cucurella
A. Rüdiger
B. Abdelkader Diaz (Y. Diomande 65')
football iconA. Herrero Peinador
(J. Salinas Morán 60') C. Puga Medina
(H. Abaida 74') E. Galilea Azaceta
C. Dotor Gonzalez
C. Ruiz Rubio
D. Larrubia Romano
(J. Díaz Espósito 61') J. Muñoz Benavides
?. Recio Gutiérrez
R. Garrido Hierro
(P. Martínez Andrés 46') R. Rodríguez Ruiz
(R. Enríquez Rodríguez 87') I. Merino Rodríguez

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We are predicting Real Madrid will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Santiago Bernabéu.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 88% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
88%
1/11-
Draw
8%
10/1-
Malaga
4%
20/1-
Real Madrid 3-0
11%
7/1-
Real Madrid 4-0
10%
15/2-
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8/1-
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/1-
Real Madrid 5-0
7%
11/1-
Real Madrid 4-1
7%
11/1-
Real Madrid 2-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
5%
14/1-
Real Madrid 5-1
5%
16/1-
Real Madrid 6-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 1-1
3%
20/1-
Real Madrid 6-1
3%
25/1-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
25/1-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
28/1-
Real Madrid 7-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
79%
2/9-
Under 2.5 Goals
20%
10/3-
Home 1st Goal
66%
1/5-
Away 1st Goal
33%
10/3-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Draw
6%
10/1-
BTTS - Away Win
2%
28/1-
Home/draw
96%
1/66-
Away/draw
11%
7/1-
Home/away
92%
1/20-
Over 1.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 1.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
61%
8/13-
Under 3.5 Goals
38%
13/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
42%
13/10-
Under 4.5 Goals
58%
8/13-
Over 5.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 5.5 Goals
74%
2/7-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
1%
28/1-
Home DNB
94%
1/50-
Away DNB
9%
18/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
49%
5/6-
Malaga win to nil
1%
40/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
60%
4/11-
Real Madrid / Malaga
2%
66/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
3%
25/1-
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/3-
Draw / Malaga
2%
40/1-
Draw / Draw
5%
16/1-
Malaga / Real Madrid
5%
16/1-
Malaga / Malaga
2%
40/1-
Malaga / Draw
2%
33/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Malaga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3300109 
May 9
Oct 25
Dec 13
May 23
2
Real Madrid430179 
-
-
Jan 17
l
 
4-0A
3
Real Betis430109 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
Feb 21
Nov 1
4
Deportivo422038 
May 30
Dec 20
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
5
Alaves321047 
Nov 29
May 23
Jan 31
Oct 25
6
Osasuna321027 
Dec 13
Apr 11
Apr 4
Nov 22
7
A.Madrid421117 
Apr 4
Sep 20
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
8
A.Bilbao420216 
Feb 14
Dec 6
Nov 29
May 9
9
Sevilla320116 
Oct 18
Feb 21
May 30
Dec 6
10
Levante311104 
Jan 10
May 2
Sep 6
Feb 14
11
R.Santander4112-14 
May 16
Nov 1
Nov 8
Apr 21
12
R.Vallecano4112-34 
Sep 12
Jan 31
Mar 14
Dec 20
13
R.Sociedad4112-34 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 7
Oct 18
Jan 24
14
Espanyol310213 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
Oct 11
Apr 11
15
Getafe3102-33 
Jan 3
Apr 18
May 2
Sep 20
16
Villarreal4022-22 
Oct 11
Mar 7
Sep 17
Mar 21
17
Celta4022-32 
Nov 22
Mar 21
May 16
Sep 13
18
Valencia3012-31 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Apr 18
Jan 10
19
Elche3012-61 
Apr 21
Sep 15
Jan 3
Mar 7
20
Malaga3012-61 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 17
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Malaga 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Malaga in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Malaga
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
RMD
3
D
1
League games at Malaga since 2014
Malaga
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
RMD
3
D
1
Goal Statistics
Real Madrid 2nd Malaga 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
5+
31%
There is a 32% probability that Real Madrid will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Malaga will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+42
Malaga have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Malaga
3.6
0.7
Attack rating
73%
better
RMD
MAL
view stats
Games scored2
1
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
0
Goals scored6
1
Avg. goals scored3
0.5
Avg. shots per game15
7
Avg. shots per goal5
13
Conversion rate for21
8
Avg. XG for2.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+73%
Defence rating
29%
better
RMD
MAL
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded2
3
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%

Real Madrid v Malaga La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4422
T CourtoisK MbappéJ BellinghamE Camavinga
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK4
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF31
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
D. Huijsen DEF4
-
M Cucurella  DEF4
-
F Valverde MID41
-
E Camavinga MID4
2
-
B Díaz MID2
-
J Bellingham MID422
-
V Junior MID412
2
-
K Mbappé FWD441
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK
-
J. Navarro Jiménez GLK
-
I Konaté DEF3
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3
1
-
D Dumfries DEF3
-
M. Rivas Lagos DEF
-
A Güler MID411
1
-
B Silva MID4
-
J. Cestero Sancho MID
-
A. Ciria Flores MID
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD31
-
Y. Diomande FWD4
-
Malaga La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3102
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioR Enríquez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK3
-
C. Puga Medina DEF3
1
-
Ángel Recio DEF3
-
E Galilea DEF3
-
R. Garrido Hierro DEF3
-
D Larrubia MID3
1
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID3
-
R Rodríguez MID3
-
J Muñoz MID3
-
C Dotor FWD3
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD31
1
-
Subs
C López GLK
-
Álex Pastor DEF
-
J Salinas DEF2
-
J. Otu MID
-
R Enríquez MID3
2
-
P Martínez MID1
-
J Cruz MID3
1
-
H Abaida FWD2
-
E Jauregi FWD1
-
J Lobete FWD1
-
J. Fernández Martin FWD
-