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Real Madrid v Sevilla : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Matías Jesús Almeyda guides his Sevilla troops to the Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga on Saturday night, with Xabier Alonso Olano's Real Madrid their challengers. Analysing both clubs' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

A La Liga victory in front of their own fans for Xabier Alonso Olano's Real Madrid side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Real Madrid win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
64%
1/4
10%
-
Draw
20%
9/2
21%
-
Sevilla
16%
10/1
27%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
11%
7/1
7%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
10/1-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
10/1
27%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
15/2
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
27%
-
Sevilla 1-0
5%
33/1
17%
-
Sevilla 2-1
4%
28/1
29%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
11/1
26%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
14/1
15%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Sevilla 2-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
2/5
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2/1
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
3/10
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/4
10%
-
BTTS - No
47%
1/1
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
6/4-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2
24%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
16/1
19%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/20
2%
-
Away/draw
36%
11/4
32%
-
Home/away
80%
1/7
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/9
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
10/11-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
10/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
11/5
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
4/11
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/2
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/7
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
17%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/14
3%
-
Away DNB
30%
8/1
31%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
34%
5/4
18%
-
Sevilla win to nil
7%
20/1
19%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
49%
4/6
9%
-
Real Madrid / Sevilla
2%
40/1
20%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
18/1
17%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
3/1-
Draw / Sevilla
4%
22/1
21%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
17%
-
Sevilla / Real Madrid
5%
16/1-
Sevilla / Sevilla
4%
18/1
34%
-
Sevilla / Draw
4%
20/1
19%
-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 7 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Sevilla are in 13th position in the La Liga on 17 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Sevilla have conceded 18 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1613122740 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
4-1F
Mar 15
2
Real Madrid1611321736 
-
-
May 17
Dec 20
3
Villarreal1511221835 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
l
 
1-2A
May 13
4
A.Madrid169431331 
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
Apr 12
l
 
3-0A
5
Espanyol15834327 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
May 10
l
 
2-1A
6
Real Betis15663624 
Jan 4
Apr 19
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
7
A.Bilbao16727-523 
May 24
w
 
0-3F
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
8
Getafe15627-420 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
Feb 22
9
Elche15474119 
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Jan 18
10
Celta15474-119 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
Jan 11
May 24
11
Alaves15537-218 
Apr 22
Dec 14
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
12
R.Vallecano15456-317 
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
13
Sevilla15528-417 
Dec 20
May 17
-
-
14
R.Sociedad15447-316 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
May 3
l
 
2-1A
15
Valencia15366-915 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
16
Mallorca15357-714 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
17
Osasuna14338-612 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
18
Girona15267-1612 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
19
Real Oviedo15249-1510 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Dec 14
Apr 5
20
Levante14239-109 
Jan 18
w
 
1-4F
Jan 4
Apr 22
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Valencia
Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
Sevilla 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia1 - 1Sevilla
Espanyol2 - 1Sevilla
A.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
R.Sociedad2 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
Alaves1 - 2Sevilla
Girona0 - 2Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 2Sevilla
Villarreal4 - 2Sevilla
Celta3 - 2Sevilla
Osasuna1 - 0Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Sevilla
Real Betis2 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
R.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
Valladolid0 - 4Sevilla
Getafe0 - 0Sevilla
Girona1 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASevilla1 - 1Valencia
HSevilla0 - 2Real Betis
ASevilla1 - 2Espanyol
HSevilla1 - 0Osasuna
ASevilla0 - 3A.Madrid
ASevilla1 - 2R.Sociedad
HSevilla1 - 3Mallorca
HSevilla4 - 1Barcelona
ASevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
HSevilla1 - 2Villarreal
ASevilla2 - 1Alaves
HSevilla2 - 2Elche
ASevilla2 - 0Girona
HSevilla1 - 2Getafe
ASevilla2 - 3A.Bilbao
ASevilla2 - 4Villarreal
HSevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
HSevilla1 - 0Las Palmas
ASevilla2 - 3Celta
HSevilla2 - 2Leganes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Sevilla in 4 consecutive home league meetings
13
Real Madrid have not lost to Sevilla in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
31
9
Games: Scored
11 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
0 / 11
RMD
10
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 2
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 1
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
18
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
RMD
6
D
1
SEV
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sevilla
0 - 2Real Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
Sevilla3 - 0
Sevilla3 - 2
Sevilla2 - 1
Sevilla3 - 2
2 - 3Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Sevilla have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 4 consecutive La Liga matches. This run could continue, with Real Madrid's PG an impressive 2.1.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sevilla fans, as should a 6 La Liga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Real Madrid 2nd Sevilla 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sevilla scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+23
Sevilla have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Sevilla
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
23%
better
RMD
SEV
view stats
Games scored14
12
Failed to score1
2
Scored first10
7
Goals scored32
19
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game14
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
36%
better
RMD
SEV
view stats
Games conceded8
11
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded13
23
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
21%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+36%

Real Madrid v Sevilla La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161654
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK16
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1611
3
1
F Valverde MID164
2
-
A Güler MID1635
1
-
K Mbappé FWD16164
3
-
V Junior FWD1654
2
-
A Tchouameni MID14
3
-
Rodrygo FWD14
2
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
J Bellingham MID1232
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1111
3
1
E Camavinga MID111
-
B Díaz FWD112
1
-
G. García Torres FWD11
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF10
1
-
D Ceballos MID10
-
F. Mastantuono FWD91
3
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF81
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF5
1
1
A Rüdiger DEF4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
Endrick FWD1
-
Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12348
J CarmonaR VargasR VargasJ Carmona
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Carmona DEF1313
8
-
A Adams FWD1321
1
-
M Marcão DEF121
3
-
L Agoumé MID1211
5
-
N Gudelj MID121
3
-
J Sánchez MID121
-
P Fernández  FWD121
5
-
R Vargas FWD1234
1
-
O Vlachodimos GLK11
1
-
G Suazo DEF112
3
-
B Mendy MID11
2
-
D Sow MID111
2
-
C Ejuke FWD111
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD113
3
1
A Sánchez FWD1021
-
C Azpilicueta DEF9
3
-
A González FWD91
-
A Castrín DEF7
3
-
A Januzaj FWD7
1
-
T Nianzou DEF5
4
-
K Salas DEF5
-
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
F Cardoso DEF2
-
R. Martinez Gil DEF2
-
M Bueno MID2
-
J Jordán MID1
-