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Atletico de Madrid v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 13:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Saturday afternoon sees Diego Pablo Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid and Carlos Corberán Vallet’s Valencia CF go up against one another in a La Liga clash at the Wanda Metropolitano. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for A.Madrid to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


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Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

We're predicting A.Madrid will come out on top after 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Wanda Metropolitano.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
76%
1/4-
Draw
16%
4/1-
Valencia
8%
11/1-
A.Madrid 2-0
14%
5/1-
A.Madrid 1-0
11%
11/2-
A.Madrid 3-0
11%
13/2-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 1-1
7%
9/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
7%
11/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
4%
18/1-
Valencia 1-0
3%
22/1-
A.Madrid 5-0
3%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1-
Valencia 2-1
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid 5-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
63%
2/7-
Away 1st Goal
34%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/4-
BTTS - No
56%
4/7-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
11%
6/1-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
22/1-
Home/draw
92%
1/20-
Away/draw
24%
11/4-
Home/away
84%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
87%
1/16-
Away DNB
19%
9/1-
A.Madrid win to nil
47%
5/6-
Valencia win to nil
4%
18/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
46%
4/5-
A.Madrid / Valencia
2%
50/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
22%
11/4-
Draw / Valencia
4%
20/1-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Valencia / A.Madrid
4%
20/1-
Valencia / Valencia
4%
20/1-
Valencia / Draw
4%
22/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Valencia are in 16th position in the La Liga on 14 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Valencia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Valencia have conceded 17 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Valencia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1613122740 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
May 24
l
 
6-0A
2
Real Madrid1511311936 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
Feb 8
l
 
4-0A
3
Villarreal1511221835 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
l
 
0-2A
Feb 22
4
A.Madrid169431331 
-
-
May 3
Dec 13
5
Real Betis15663624 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
6
Espanyol14734224 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
Jan 25
d
 
2-2F
7
A.Bilbao16727-523 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
8
Getafe15627-420 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
9
Alaves15537-218 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
10
R.Vallecano14455-217 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
May 13
d
 
1-1A
11
Elche14374-216 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
Jan 11
Apr 12
12
R.Sociedad15447-316 
Mar 8
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
May 17
13
Celta14374-316 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 5
Jan 3
14
Sevilla14518-416 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
Dec 7
Mar 22
15
Mallorca15357-714 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Dec 19
Apr 22
16
Valencia14356-914 
Dec 13
May 3
-
-
17
Osasuna14338-612 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
18
Girona14266-1312 
May 17
Dec 21
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
19
Real Oviedo15249-1510 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
20
Levante14239-109 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
7
A.Madrid have won 7 consecutive home league games
12
A.Madrid have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
9
Valencia have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Valencia 16TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have beaten Valencia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
11
A.Madrid have not lost to Valencia in 11 consecutive home league meetings
3
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Valencia
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
25
8
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
ATM
9
D
2
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
17
Games: Scored
6 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
5 / 11
ATM
5
D
4
VAL
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Atletico de Madrid in their clash with Valencia CF, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive La Liga games.

A truly awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Valencia CF fans, as should a 8 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

A.Madrid 4th Valencia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Valencia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
A.Madrid have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Valencia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
2.4
0.7
Attack rating
48%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games scored15
9
Failed to score0
5
Scored first15
6
Goals scored28
13
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
36%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first0
7
Goals conceded14
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+36%

A.Madrid v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15744
J ÁlvarezJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneKoke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Hancko DEF162
-
C Gallagher MID161
2
-
J Álvarez FWD1672
2
-
A Griezmann FWD164
-
J Oblak GLK15
-
Koke MID152
4
-
P Barrios MID151
-
G Simeone FWD1524
1
-
A Sörloth FWD154
2
1
M Llorente DEF133
3
-
N González FWD131
2
-
N Molina DEF121
1
-
R Normand DEF101
2
-
M Ruggeri DEF10
1
-
G Raspadori FWD10
-
Álex Baena FWD1021
2
-
C Lenglet DEF9
2
1
T Almada FWD921
-
J Giménez DEF7
2
-
J Galán DEF5
-
M Pubill DEF4
-
Johnny MID4
2
-
J Musso GLK1
1
-
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14435
J AgirrezabalaH DuroL RiojaJ Gayà
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
-
C Tárrega DEF14
4
-
B Santamaría MID1411
2
-
J Guerra MID142
2
-
A Danjuma FWD1431
-
H Duro FWD144
2
-
D López FWD143
2
-
L Rioja FWD1413
1
-
J Gayà DEF121
4
1
Pepelu MID12
1
-
J Copete DEF11
2
-
L Beltrán MID11
-
D Raba FWD111
-
J Vázquez DEF9
-
T Correia DEF9
2
-
D Foulquier DEF8
-
A Almeida MID8
-
M Diakhaby DEF71
3
-
F Ugrinic  MID51
-
L Ramazani FWD51
-
E Cömert DEF2
-