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Atletico de Madrid v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Valencia CF are on the road on Sunday night, as manager Rubén Baraja Vegas takes his men to visit Atletico de Madrid and Diego Simeone at the Wanda Metropolitano in the La Liga. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v RB Leipzig at 20:00 on Thursday 19th September
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and Valencia was on Sunday 15th September 2024
Spanish La Liga
September 15th 2024
A.Madrid 3
0 Valencia
 
C. Gallagher 39'
A. Griezmann 54'
J. Álvarez 90'
 
ATM
VAL
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
9
3
Corners
7
3
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
A.MadridValencia
 
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
C. Azpilicueta Tanco (R. Mandava 77')
R. Le Normand
M. Llorente Moreno
S. Dias Lino (R. Riquelme Reche 67')
J. Resurrección Merodio
R. de Paul (Á. Correa 61')
C. Gallagherfootball icon
A. Sørloth (J. Álvarez 61')
A. Griezmannfootball icon (G. Simeone 76')
G. Mamardashvili
T. Rendall Correia
C. Tárrega Requeni
C. Mosquera
(J. Vazquez Alcalde 71') D. Foulquier
(E. Barrenechea 46') H. Guillamón Sanmartín
(G. Karabinaite 79') J. Guerra Moreno
J. García Vayá
(M. Tejón Fauli 79') D. Gómez Alcón
(S. Canós Tenes 70') L. Rioja González
D. López Noguerol
Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

We are predicting A.Madrid will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Wanda Metropolitano.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
73%
1.36
3%
1.35
1%
Draw
18%
4.33
4%
5.00
4%
Valencia
9%
9.50
12%
9.00
6%
A.Madrid 2-0
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
A.Madrid 1-0
13%
6.00
9%
5.75
5%
A.Madrid 3-0
10%
8.507.50
6%
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
8.50
6%
8.50
A.Madrid 3-1
7%
12.00
20%
11.00
Draw 0-0
6%
10.00
18%
10.00
5%
A.Madrid 4-0
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
Valencia 1-0
4%
21.00
40%
15.00
A.Madrid 4-1
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
Draw 2-2
3%
23.00
21%
19.00
Valencia 2-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
A.Madrid 5-0
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
A.Madrid 5-1
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.91
9%
1.80
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.91
10%
1.91
3%
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.25
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
4.50
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10.00
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
2.20
12%
2.25
BTTS - No
58%
1.62
8%
1.60
2%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.60
10%
3.40
3%
BTTS - Draw
12%
6.50
7%
6.50
BTTS - Away Win
4%
19.0015.00
Home/draw
91%
1.07
1%
1.06
1%
Away/draw
27%
3.00
9%
3.20
7%
Home/away
82%
1.20
2%
1.17
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
5%
1.25
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
17%
3.50
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.20
20%
3.00
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36
9%
1.35
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.00
25%
5.50
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.12
4%
1.13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
24%
10.00
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
2%
1.04
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.06
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10.00
18%
10.00
5%
Home DNB
85%
1.08
3%
1.08
1%
Away DNB
22%
8.00
23%
6.50
A.Madrid win to nil
47%
2.00
5%
-
Valencia win to nil
5%
15.00
36%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
42%
2.05
2%
1.95
3%
A.Madrid / Valencia
2%
51.0046.00
12%
A.Madrid / Draw
4%
17.00
11%
17.00
Draw / A.Madrid
22%
3.753.80
Draw / Valencia
4%
17.00
13%
15.00
Draw / Draw
12%
6.50
18%
6.50
8%
Valencia / A.Madrid
4%
21.00
9%
19.00
Valencia / Valencia
5%
15.0013.00
8%
Valencia / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table
A.Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Valencia
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 16
Dec 22
 Barcelona55001315 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 26
-
-
 A.Madrid Home5320711 
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
Sep 29
Feb 9
 Real Madrid5320711 
Nov 3
Apr 6
Jan 26
d
 
2-2A
 Villarreal5320311 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
Feb 16
Sep 26
 Celta530239 
Feb 2
l
 
3-1F
Nov 24
May 4
 Alaves521217 
Dec 22
May 14
w
 
3-0F
May 25
 Girona521207 
Sep 21
Mar 16
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
 A.Bilbao521207 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
 Espanyol521207 
Apr 23
Nov 10
Jan 11
May 14
 Osasuna4211-27 
Sep 24
Mar 2
May 18
Oct 27
 Real Betis412105 
Nov 24
May 25
Feb 2
Nov 10
 Mallorca5122-15 
Mar 30
Dec 1
Dec 8
Apr 6
 Sevilla5122-25 
Apr 13
Jan 11
Oct 20
Jan 19
 Leganes5122-25 
Feb 9
Oct 4
Apr 23
Sep 22
 R.Vallecano4112-14 
Dec 8
Apr 20
May 11
Oct 6
 R.Sociedad5113-34 
Jan 19
Sep 28
Apr 13
Dec 1
 Valladolid5113-114 
Mar 9
Dec 15
Dec 15
Mar 9
 Getafe4031-13 
May 11
Oct 27
Nov 3
Apr 20
 Las Palmas5023-42 
Oct 20
May 4
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
 Valencia Away5014-71 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
11
Valencia have not won in 11 consecutive league games
5
A.Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
3
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Valencia 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A.Madrid have beaten Valencia in 4 consecutive home league meetings
10
A.Madrid have not lost to Valencia in 10 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
10 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
0 / 10
ATM
8
D
2
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
ATM
4
D
4
VAL
2
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

With a PG of just 0.6, Valencia CF look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Atletico de Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive La Liga games, and it could be a long night for R. Baraja Vegas's men.

A.Madrid 4th Valencia 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Valencia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Valencia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278216/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
2.2
0.6
Attack rating
14%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored6
3
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
56%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games conceded1
4
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
5
Conversion rate against7%
21%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+56%

A.Madrid v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4221
R NormandM LlorenteA GriezmannR Normand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK3
-
M Llorente DEF421
-
R Normand DEF4
1
-
J Giménez DEF3
-
C Azpilicueta DEF3
-
S Lino DEF4
1
-
R Paul MID4
1
-
Koke MID41
1
-
C Gallagher MID2
-
A Sörloth FWD311
-
A Griezmann FWD412
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
J Musso GLK1
-
C Lenglet DEF
-
N Molina DEF2
-
A Witsel DEF2
-
J Galán DEF
-
R Mandava DEF4
-
R Riquelme MID3
-
J Serrano MID
-
Ángel Correa FWD41
-
J Álvarez FWD4
-
G Simeone FWD1
-
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
G MamardashviliD LópezD LópezPepelu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Mamardashvili GLK4
-
D Foulquier DEF4
1
-
C Mosquera DEF4
1
-
C Tárrega DEF2
-
T Correia DEF4
-
D López MID411
-
Pepelu MID4
2
-
H Guillamón MID3
1
-
L Rioja MID3
-
D Gómez FWD3
-
J Guerra FWD4
-
Subs
S Dimitrievski GLK
-
M Caufriez DEF
-
J Vázquez DEF4
1
-
Y. Gasiorowski Hernandis DEF2
-
E Barrenechea MID
-
S Canós MID1
-
M. Tejón Fauli MID3
-
G Valera FWD
-
W Madrigal FWD
-