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Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

The La Liga is the focus for both Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano on Sunday evening, as managers Marcelino Toral and Iñigo Pérez Soto go head to head at the Estadio de la Cerámica. For each and every La Liga fixture, KickOff delves into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Villarreal's next match is v Celta at 15:15 on Sunday 5th May
Rayo Vallecano's next match is v Almeria at 20:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Villarreal and R.Vallecano was on Sunday 28th April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 28th 2024
Villarreal 3
0 R.Vallecano
 
A. Sørloth 18'
Y. Mosquera 69'
A. Sørloth 74'
 
VIL
VAL
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
3
10
Corners
3
6
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
15
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
VillarrealR.Vallecano
 
F. Jörgensen
R. Albiol Tortajada
A. Moreno Pérez (A. Pedraza Sag 72')
Y. Mosquerafootball icon
F. Femenía Far
A. Rodríguez
S. Comesaña Veiga
D. Parejo Muñoz (M. Trigueros Muñoz 84')
A. Sørlothfootball iconfootball icon (J. Morales Nogales 84')
G. Ganchinho Guedes (R. Terrats Espacio 84')
Ilias Chakkour (F. Coquelin 72')
S. Dimitrievski
A. Ratiu
J. Chavarría Pérez
F. Lejeune
A. Mumin
(R. García Zárate 80') P. Ciss
(Á. García Rivera 64') U. López Cabrera
(Ó. Martín Luengo 80') M. Crespo da Silva
J. De Frutos Sebastián
(Ó. Trejo 80') I. Palazón Camacho
(R. Ntekja 64') S. Camello Pérez
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this game will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Villarreal and R.Vallecano have seldom served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Villarreal
52%
4/5
4%
4/5
4%
4/5-
Draw
25%
11/4
4%
5/2
3%
11/4-
R.Vallecano
22%
7/2
5%
7/2
13%
7/2-
Villarreal 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
6/1
13%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/113/2-
Villarreal 2-0
10%
15/215/2
11%
8/1-
Villarreal 2-1
9%
15/215/2
6%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
9%
10/1
15%
11/1-
R.Vallecano 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
8%
14/1-
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
14/114/1
15%
12/1-
Villarreal 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
12%
14/1-
Villarreal 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
14/112/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
12/1-
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
25/1
13%
22/1-
Villarreal 3-2
2%
25/1
13%
25/1
13%
22/1-
Villarreal 4-0
2%
28/133/128/1-
Villarreal 4-1
2%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
28/1-
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
33/140/1
21%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
6%
10/11
10%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
5%
4/5
10%
Evs-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/28/13
3%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
5%
7/4
8%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
9%
10/1
15%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11
9%
4/5
8%
8/11-
BTTS - No
51%
10/11
5%
10/11
11%
Evs-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
11%
11/4
7%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
2%
18/5-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/27/1
23%
13/2-
Home/draw
78%
2/112/11
3%
1/5-
Away/draw
48%
19/20
5%
20/21
2%
21/20-
Home/away
75%
1/4
3%
2/72/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10
4%
2/7
6%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2
13%
12/5
11%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
12/5
13%
9/4
16%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/3
5%
3/10
7%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
18%
11/2
24%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9
3%
1/9
3%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
14/1
36%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
9/1
17%
9/1-
Home DNB
70%
1/3
3%
1/3
5%
1/3-
Away DNB
40%
9/4
7%
9/4
18%
9/4-
Villarreal win to nil
31%
2/12/1
12%
2/1-
R.Vallecano win to nil
12%
6/1
22%
7/17/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
30%
15/8
5%
2/1
3%
7/4-
Villarreal / R.Vallecano
2%
33/150/1
24%
40/1-
Villarreal / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1-
Draw / Villarreal
18%
15/4
6%
7/2
5%
18/5-
Draw / R.Vallecano
8%
8/1
5%
8/1
6%
10/1-
Draw / Draw
16%
9/221/5
5%
9/2-
R.Vallecano / Villarreal
4%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
20/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
11%
13/27/1
14%
6/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
14/116/1
13%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Villarreal have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Villarreal have played 16 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 26 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 15th position in the La Liga on 34 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 8 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 8 and won 5. R.Vallecano have conceded 34 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Villarreal
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
R.Vallecano
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 19
l
 
4-1A
 Real Madrid3326614984 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-4A
w
 
3-5F
 Barcelona3322742973 
d
 
1-1F
May 19
l
 
1-2F
May 14
 Girona3322562971 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
 A.Madrid3320492364 
l
 
0-7A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
 A.Bilbao34171072261 
May 26
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-3F
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
 Real Betis3312138249 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Valencia3313812-147 
l
 
0-1A
May 12
-
-
 Villarreal Home3312912-145 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Getafe34101311-643 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 26
 Osasuna3311616-1239 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Alaves3310815-738 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
1-1A
 Sevilla3391113-438 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Las Palmas3310716-1137 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 R.Vallecano A3371313-1534 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Mallorca3361413-1232 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
May 5
 Celta3371016-1331 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
 Cadiz3341415-2326 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Granada334920-2521 
May 15
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Almeria3311121-3514 
May 5
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Villarreal 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
R.Vallecano 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
VIL
4
VAL
1
All league games since 2014
Villarreal
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
VIL
5
D
2
VAL
4
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Rayo Vallecano on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Villarreal 9th R.Vallecano 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Villarreal have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-32
R.Vallecano have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261550/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
41%
better
VIL
VAL
view stats
Games scored29
18
Failed to score4
15
Scored first15
12
Goals scored54
27
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
11
Conversion rate19%
9%
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
VIL
VAL
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
21
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded55
42
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
14%
KickOff rating
+20%

Villarreal v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3014910
F JörgensenA SörlothÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK30
3
-
K Femenía DEF17
5
-
Albiol DEF231
5
-
Y Mosquera DEF9
3
-
A Moreno DEF2311
2
-
I Akhomach MID2412
3
-
S Comesaña MID222
7
-
D Parejo MID2634
4
-
Álex Baena MID2829
9
1
G Guedes FWD1022
-
A Sörloth FWD27146
3
-
Subs
P Reina GLK1
1
1
J Cuenca DEF233
6
-
A Mandi DEF141
3
-
A Pedraza MID1612
4
1
Étienne Capoue MID2811
8
-
M Trigueros MID11
-
F Coquelin MID12
2
-
R Terrats MID141
3
-
G Moreno FWD28104
-
J Morales FWD236
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31628
S DimitrievskiÁlvaro GarcíaU LópezP Ciss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dimitrievski GLK31
2
-
A Rațiu DEF9
1
-
A Mumin DEF141
3
1
F Lejeune DEF3021
5
-
P Chavarría DEF161
4
-
M Crespo MID8
3
-
P Ciss MID251
8
-
I Palazón MID3031
7
-
U López MID2812
6
-
J Frutos MID291
-
S Camello FWD2631
3
-
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK
-
I Balliu DEF28
4
-
A Espino DEF281
8
-
Óscar Valentín MID281
4
-
Óscar Trejo MID25
3
-
Álvaro García MID2661
7
-
J Pozo MID2
-
R Nteka MID1211
2
-
R Tomás FWD2212
5
-
R Falcao FWD171
2
-
Bebé FWD162
1
-