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Real Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Marcelino Toral takes his Villarreal side to the Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga on Saturday night, with Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid waiting for them. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
51%
--
Draw
23%
--
Villarreal
25%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
--
Villarreal 2-1
6%
--
Villarreal 1-0
6%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
--
Villarreal 2-0
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
--
Villarreal 3-1
3%
--
Villarreal 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
26%
--
Villarreal win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid5500815 
-
-
Jan 25
Oct 4
2
Barcelona43101010 
Oct 26
May 10
Dec 21
Mar 1
3
Villarreal5311610 
Oct 4
Jan 25
-
-
4
Espanyol5311110 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
Feb 8
Nov 9
5
Getafe430129 
Mar 1
Oct 19
Dec 7
Feb 15
6
Elche523039 
Mar 15
Nov 23
Mar 8
Jan 4
7
A.Bilbao530209 
May 24
Jan 11
Sep 27
Apr 12
8
Real Betis623129 
Jan 4
Apr 19
Oct 18
Jan 18
9
Sevilla521217 
Dec 21
May 17
May 13
Sep 23
10
Alaves521207 
Apr 22
Dec 14
Jan 11
Mar 15
11
Valencia5212-27 
Nov 2
Feb 8
Feb 22
Oct 26
12
A.Madrid513116 
Mar 22
Sep 27
May 24
l
 
2-0A
13
Osasuna520306 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
14
R.Vallecano5122-15 
Feb 1
Nov 9
Nov 2
May 17
15
Celta6051-25 
Dec 7
Mar 8
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
16
Levante511304 
Jan 18
Sep 23
May 3
Dec 14
17
Real Oviedo5104-73 
May 13
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
18
R.Sociedad5023-42 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
Mar 22
Nov 30
19
Mallorca5023-52 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
Nov 23
May 10
20
Girona5014-131 
Apr 12
Nov 30
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Real Madrid3 - 2Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid3 - 2Leganes
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
HReal Madrid3 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 0Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid3 - 2Leganes
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
Villarreal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Real Betis1 - 2Villarreal
Getafe1 - 2Villarreal
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
R.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
Las Palmas1 - 2Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
Leganes2 - 5Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Valladolid1 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Espanyol1 - 2Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 1Villarreal
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal2 - 1Osasuna
AVillarreal0 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 1Celta
HVillarreal5 - 0Girona
HVillarreal2 - 0Real Oviedo
HVillarreal4 - 2Sevilla
AVillarreal3 - 2Barcelona
HVillarreal3 - 0Leganes
AVillarreal1 - 0Girona
HVillarreal4 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal1 - 0Espanyol
AVillarreal0 - 3Celta
HVillarreal2 - 2R.Sociedad
AVillarreal2 - 1Real Betis
HVillarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
AVillarreal2 - 1Getafe
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
AVillarreal0 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal1 - 0R.Vallecano
HVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
20
11
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
RMD
6
D
3
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
RMD
3
D
6
VIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Villarreal on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Xabi Alonso's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive La Liga outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Villarreal makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid 1st Villarreal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
17%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
8
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
15%
better
RMD
VIL
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded2
3
Avg. goals conceded0.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded5
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
7
Conversion rate against8%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+15%

Real Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5522
T CourtoisK MbappéF ValverdeK Mbappé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK5
-
D Carvajal DEF5
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF5
-
F Valverde MID52
-
A Güler MID521
-
A Tchouameni MID5
1
-
K Mbappé FWD551
2
-
B Díaz FWD51
-
V Junior FWD522
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF4
-
D. Huijsen DEF41
1
1
Éder Militão DEF41
1
-
D Ceballos MID4
-
F. Mastantuono FWD4
1
-
G. García Torres FWD4
-
Rodrygo FWD3
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF2
-
F García DEF1
-
D Alaba DEF1
-
A Rüdiger DEF1
-
J Bellingham MID1
-
E Camavinga MID1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
L JúniorT BuchananN PépéS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Júnior GLK5
1
-
J Foyth DEF5
-
T Partey MID5
-
S Comesaña MID5
1
-
P Gueye MID52
1
-
T Buchanan FWD53
-
A Moleiro FWD5
-
N Pépé FWD521
-
S Cardona DEF41
-
R Marín DEF41
-
R Veiga DEF4
1
-
S Mouriño DEF41
2
-
D Parejo MID4
1
-
A Pedraza DEF3
1
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD31
-
I Akhomach FWD3
-
G Mikautadze FWD21
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF1
1
-
G Moreno FWD1
-
A Pérez FWD1
-
M Solomon FWD11
-