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Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 20:00 BST, Anoeta, San Sebastián (Guipúzcoa)

It's an away match for Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao side on Sunday night, as they make their way to the Anoeta for a La Liga showdown with Imanol Alguacil's Real Sociedad. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as R.Sociedad and A.Bilbao go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think R.Sociedad are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Sociedad
37%
11/8
3%
-
Draw
30%
2/1-
A.Bilbao
32%
23/10
6%
-
R.Sociedad 1-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
13%
11/2-
A.Bilbao 1-0
13%
7/1
7%
-
R.Sociedad 2-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
R.Sociedad 2-1
7%
9/1
9%
-
A.Bilbao 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
A.Bilbao 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
R.Sociedad 3-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
R.Sociedad 3-1
3%
22/1-
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
A.Bilbao 3-0
2%
33/1-
R.Sociedad 3-2
1%
40/1-
A.Bilbao 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
41%
21/20-
BTTS - No
59%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
14%
-
Home/draw
68%
1/3
2%
-
Away/draw
63%
8/15
2%
-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
11/2
7%
-
Home DNB
59%
8/13
6%
-
Away DNB
53%
6/5
10%
-
R.Sociedad win to nil
25%
5/2
7%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
21%
4/1
15%
-
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
21%
3/1
8%
-
R.Sociedad / A.Bilbao
2%
33/1-
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / R.Sociedad
15%
9/2-
Draw / A.Bilbao
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
A.Bilbao / R.Sociedad
3%
28/1
15%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
15%
9/2
10%
-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Sociedad have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 3. R.Sociedad have conceded 22 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Sociedad have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

A.Bilbao lay in 4th place on 60 points in the La Liga league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 12 and losing 1 game. They have scored 47 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Bilbao have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Bilbao have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3324455776 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
May 25
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid3322653572 
l
 
0-2A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
A.Madrid3319952966 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Bilbao Away33161252460 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Villarreal33151081155 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Real Betis331599954 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
7
Celta3313713146 
May 13
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
10
R.Sociedad Home3312615-542 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 4
11
R.Vallecano33101112-741 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
12
Getafe3310914139 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 15
13
Espanyol3310914-739 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Girona339816-1235 
May 18
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
R.Sociedad 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
R.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
R.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
R.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
R.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
R.Sociedad1 - 0Barcelona
R.Sociedad0 - 2Osasuna
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
R.Sociedad3 - 0Valencia
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Alaves
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 0Valencia
R.Sociedad2 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Alaves
AR.Sociedad2 - 2Villarreal
HR.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
AR.Sociedad3 - 1Las Palmas
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
AR.Sociedad2 - 2R.Vallecano
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad0 - 4Barcelona
HR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
AR.Sociedad0 - 3Real Betis
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Osasuna
HR.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Valencia
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
AR.Sociedad0 - 2Celta
HR.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
AR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
HR.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
AR.Sociedad0 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Espanyol1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Betis2 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta1 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 2A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
Valladolid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona2 - 1A.Bilbao
Leganes0 - 2A.Bilbao
Las Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona2 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 1A.Bilbao
Getafe0 - 2A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Bilbao0 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao7 - 1Valladolid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
R.Sociedad have not lost to A.Bilbao in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RSO
5
D
4
ATH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
R.Sociedad3 - 0
R.Sociedad3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Sociedad2 - 1
R.Sociedad2 - 1
R.Sociedad3 - 1
0 - 2A.Bilbao
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
RSO
3
D
2
ATH
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao1 - 0
A.Bilbao2 - 1
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Bilbao4 - 0
0 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao2 - 0
1 - 3R.Sociedad
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Bilbao3 - 2
0 - 1R.Sociedad
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive La Liga outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Real Sociedad makes sense in this context.

R.Sociedad 10th A.Bilbao 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of A.Bilbao scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
R.Sociedad have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278478/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
R.Sociedad
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.1
1
Attack rating
RSO
ATH
30%
better
view stats
Games scored18
26
Failed to score15
7
Scored first14
16
Goals scored32
50
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
RSO
ATH
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
22
Clean sheets12
11
Conceded first16
13
Goals conceded37
26
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+13%

R.Sociedad v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32859
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalS GómezJ Aramburu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK32
-
S Gómez DEF3225
4
-
M Zubimendi MID3121
4
-
T Kubo FWD315
5
-
J Aramburu DEF3011
9
-
M Oyarzabal FWD3082
4
1
J López DEF26
4
-
I Zubeldia DEF25
6
1
A Barrenetxea FWD2513
5
-
L Sučić MID2411
4
-
B Méndez MID2332
3
-
O Óskarsson FWD233
1
-
S Becker FWD2121
1
1
N Aguerd DEF20
5
-
Olasagasti MID2011
2
-
A Elustondo DEF19
2
1
A Muñoz DEF18
4
-
B Turrientes  MID18
5
-
P Marín MID182
2
-
J Pacheco DEF14
3
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF101
2
-
H Traoré DEF81
1
-
A Zakharyan MID31
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF2
1
-
U Marrero GLK1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281587
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Berenguer FWD3257
4
-
G Guruzeta FWD3262
2
-
I Williams FWD3268
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID2921
4
1
N Williams FWD2855
1
-
D Vivian DEF273
3
-
B Prados MID271
7
-
U Gómez MID2712
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF262
4
-
O Sancet MID25151
2
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF234
-
I Galarreta MID214
4
-
M Vesga MID21
1
-
A Paredes DEF203
3
1
Y Álvarez DEF191
4
-
A Gorosabel DEF182
4
-
U Simón GLK16
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF15
2
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD151
1
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
I Lekue DEF12
1
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1111
-
U Núñez DEF9
4
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID7
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD1
-