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Sevilla v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 20:00 BST, Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Atletico de Madrid are away on Saturday night, as manager Diego Pablo Simeone takes his team to visit Sevilla and Matías Jesús Almeyda at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in the La Liga. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Sevilla and A.Madrid have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
31%
12/5
21%
-
Draw
28%
23/10
6%
-
A.Madrid
41%
11/10
17%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
7/1
7%
-
Sevilla 1-0
10%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1-
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
8/1
6%
-
A.Madrid 2-0
8%
9/1
11%
-
Sevilla 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Sevilla 2-0
6%
16/1
19%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Sevilla 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
-
Sevilla 3-0
2%
40/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
25/1-
Sevilla 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
45%
5/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
52%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
11/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
10/3
8%
-
Home/draw
59%
7/10
7%
-
Away/draw
69%
3/10
4%
-
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Home DNB
51%
6/4
9%
-
Away DNB
60%
1/2
7%
-
Sevilla win to nil
18%
5/1
14%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
24%
11/4
10%
-
Sevilla / Sevilla
15%
9/2
15%
-
Sevilla / A.Madrid
4%
22/1-
Sevilla / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sevilla
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
A.Madrid / Sevilla
3%
28/1
15%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
25%
12/5
10%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Sevilla have conceded 35 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sevilla have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 4th place on 57 points in the La Liga league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 39 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2924145073 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
5-2A
Apr 4
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid2922343769 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
3
Villarreal2918472058 
l
 
1-2A
May 13
w
 
2-0F
May 24
4
A.Madrid2917662157 
Apr 11
l
 
3-0A
-
-
5
Real Betis2911117744 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
Celta2910118641 
l
 
0-1A
May 24
May 10
d
 
1-1F
7
R.Sociedad2910811-138 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
8
Getafe2911513-638 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
A.Bilbao2911513-938 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
10
Osasuna2910712-137 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
May 13
11
Espanyol2910712-837 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
12
Valencia299812-1035 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 3
13
Girona2981011-1334 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-3F
14
R.Vallecano2971111-732 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
15
Alaves298714-1131 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Sevilla298714-1231 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
17
Elche2961112-829 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
18
Mallorca297715-1328 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Levante296815-1426 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Real Oviedo294916-2821 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Sevilla 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla0 - 2Valencia
Sevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Girona
Sevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1Celta
Sevilla0 - 3Levante
Sevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
Sevilla0 - 2Real Betis
Sevilla1 - 0Osasuna
Sevilla1 - 3Mallorca
Sevilla4 - 1Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Sevilla2 - 2Elche
Sevilla1 - 2Getafe
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0Las Palmas
Sevilla2 - 2Leganes
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSevilla0 - 2Valencia
ASevilla2 - 5Barcelona
HSevilla1 - 1R.Vallecano
ASevilla2 - 2Real Betis
ASevilla1 - 0Getafe
HSevilla1 - 1Alaves
HSevilla1 - 1Girona
ASevilla1 - 4Mallorca
HSevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
ASevilla2 - 2Elche
HSevilla0 - 1Celta
HSevilla0 - 3Levante
ASevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
HSevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
ASevilla1 - 1Valencia
HSevilla0 - 2Real Betis
ASevilla1 - 2Espanyol
HSevilla1 - 0Osasuna
ASevilla0 - 3A.Madrid
ASevilla1 - 2R.Sociedad
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
Levante0 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Espanyol2 - 1A.Madrid
Girona0 - 4A.Madrid
Osasuna2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 0A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol1 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid2 - 3Real Madrid
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
HA.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid0 - 3R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 0Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 1Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
AA.Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have beaten Sevilla in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
SEV
4
D
3
ATM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sevilla
1 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla2 - 1
Sevilla1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 5A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0
0 - 3A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
29
9
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
D
4
ATM
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid4 - 3
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid6 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid4 - 0
Goal Statistics
Sevilla 16th A.Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Sevilla have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
A.Madrid have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
SEV
ATM
19%
better
view stats
Games scored23
25
Failed to score6
4
Scored first12
24
Goals scored37
49
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
SEV
ATM
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
17
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first17
4
Goals conceded49
28
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+41%

Sevilla v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
257410
O VlachodimosA AdamsA AdamsJ Carmona
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Carmona DEF2713
10
-
L Agoumé MID2612
9
-
O Vlachodimos GLK25
1
-
N Gudelj MID251
7
-
D Sow MID2551
3
-
J Sánchez MID243
3
1
A Adams FWD2474
1
-
B Mendy MID231
6
-
G Suazo DEF212
5
-
P Fernández  FWD2121
7
-
A Sánchez FWD2131
1
-
C Ejuke FWD2111
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD214
6
-
K Salas DEF171
-
C Azpilicueta DEF151
4
-
R Vargas FWD1534
1
-
M Marcão DEF131
4
1
A Januzaj FWD12
1
-
A Castrín DEF11
3
-
T Nianzou DEF11
5
-
A González FWD101
-
M Bueno MID5
-
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
F Cardoso DEF4
-
J Jordán MID4
1
1
R. Martinez Gil DEF2
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261065
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2984
2
-
A Sörloth FWD2810
4
1
Koke MID2722
4
-
J Oblak GLK26
-
D Hancko DEF262
2
-
A Griezmann FWD2661
-
G Simeone FWD2636
1
-
M Llorente DEF254
5
-
R Normand DEF211
3
-
N Molina DEF2121
3
-
P Barrios MID2111
-
N González FWD213
3
-
M Ruggeri DEF203
4
-
Álex Baena FWD2022
3
-
T Almada FWD2031
1
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
J Giménez DEF141
3
-
Johnny MID13
5
-
M Pubill DEF121
1
-
C Lenglet DEF12
3
1
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
J Musso GLK3
1
-