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Valencia CF v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 20:00 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca pays counterpart Carlos Corberán Vallet a visit on Sunday night in the La Liga, as their Real Madrid and Valencia CF charges face each other at the Mestalla. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Valencia and Real Madrid will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
26%
6.25
11%
5.25
19%
Draw
24%
4.204.50
2%
Real Madrid
50%
1.48
3%
1.55
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.507.50
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
8.50
13%
7.50
7%
Valencia 1-0
7%
21.0013.00
13%
Valencia 2-1
7%
19.00
10%
13.00
13%
Draw 0-0
6%
17.00
13%
15.00
25%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
11.0010.00
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
11.00
10%
10.00
11%
Valencia 2-0
4%
34.00
17%
21.00
9%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
21.00
9%
15.00
21%
Valencia 3-1
3%
41.00
20%
26.00
24%
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
19.0017.00
13%
Valencia 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.57
3%
1.57
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.38
3%
2.30
5%
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.75
8%
2.88
11%
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.44
3%
1.44
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70
6%
1.67
7%
BTTS - No
44%
2.05
5%
2.10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
10.00
17%
7.50
25%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
2.88
4%
2.90
Home/draw
50%
2.632.40
8%
Away/draw
74%
1.13
3%
1.15
4%
Home/away
76%
1.221.20
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.17
3%
1.17
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5.00
11%
4.60
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.38
10%
2.40
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.57
5%
1.53
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.33
4%
4.20
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.22
2%
1.20
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8.00
11%
7.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.08
1%
1.07
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Home DNB
43%
5.00
9%
3.90
19%
Away DNB
67%
1.17
3%
1.22
6%
Valencia win to nil
12%
13.00-
Real Madrid win to nil
26%
2.75
10%
-
Valencia / Valencia
9%
10.00
9%
7.50
17%
Valencia / Real Madrid
4%
19.0017.00
Valencia / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
13%
Draw / Valencia
7%
13.00
13%
10.00
17%
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
4.334.50
4%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
8%
Real Madrid / Valencia
2%
41.0029.00
15%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
36%
2.20
5%
2.25
7%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valencia have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Valencia have conceded 32 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valencia have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 54 points in the La Liga league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 11 away games, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valencia
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2218133755 
May 24
l
 
6-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid2217322954 
Feb 8
l
 
4-0A
-
-
3
A.Madrid2213632145 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
4
Villarreal2113351642 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 22
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
5
Real Betis22985835 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-1F
Apr 19
6
Espanyol221048-134 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
7
Celta22895633 
Apr 5
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
8
R.Sociedad22778028 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
9
Osasuna227510-126 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 21
10
Alaves227411-725 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
11
A.Bilbao227411-1025 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
May 24
w
 
0-3F
12
Girona22679-1525 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
13
Elche22598-224 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
14
Mallorca226610-624 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 22
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
15
Sevilla227312-824 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
May 17
16
Getafe226511-1123 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
17
Valencia22589-1223 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
18
R.Vallecano225710-1222 
May 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Levante214611-1018 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo223712-2216 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Real Madrid have won 6 consecutive league games
6
Valencia have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
7
Real Madrid have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games
Valencia 17TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia3 - 2Espanyol
Valencia1 - 1Elche
Valencia1 - 1Mallorca
Valencia1 - 1Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Levante
Valencia1 - 1Real Betis
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
Valencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1R.Sociedad
Valencia0 - 1A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1Espanyol
Valencia1 - 0Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Mallorca
Valencia2 - 1Valladolid
Valencia0 - 3A.Madrid
Valencia2 - 0Leganes
Valencia2 - 1Celta
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AValencia1 - 2Real Betis
HValencia3 - 2Espanyol
AValencia1 - 0Getafe
HValencia1 - 1Elche
AValencia1 - 4Celta
HValencia1 - 1Mallorca
AValencia1 - 2A.Madrid
HValencia1 - 1Sevilla
AValencia1 - 1R.Vallecano
HValencia1 - 0Levante
HValencia1 - 1Real Betis
AValencia0 - 4Real Madrid
HValencia0 - 2Villarreal
AValencia0 - 0Alaves
AValencia1 - 2Girona
HValencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
AValencia2 - 2Espanyol
HValencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
AValencia0 - 6Barcelona
HValencia3 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Valencia since 2015
Valencia
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
19
17
Games: Scored
11 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
0 / 11
VAL
5
D
3
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Valencia1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Valencia2 - 1
1 - 4Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Valencia2 - 1
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
31
11
Games: Scored
12 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
0 / 12
VAL
1
D
2
RMD
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 0
1 - 2Valencia
Real Madrid5 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Á. Arbeloa Coca's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive La Liga outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Valencia CF makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.7 against Valencia CF on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Valencia 17th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Valencia will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Valencia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
VAL
RMD
34%
better
view stats
Games scored17
20
Failed to score5
2
Scored first9
16
Goals scored23
47
Avg. goals scored1
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.3
2.2
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
VAL
RMD
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
12
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first12
5
Goals conceded35
18
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+39%

Valencia v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18736
C TárregaH DuroL RiojaJ Gayà
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D López FWD223
2
-
J Guerra MID212
2
-
A Danjuma FWD2132
-
H Duro FWD217
5
-
L Rioja FWD2123
1
-
C Tárrega DEF20
5
-
Pepelu MID202
3
-
J Copete DEF19
4
-
L Beltrán MID1912
-
J Agirrezabala GLK18
1
-
J Gayà DEF1811
5
1
B Santamaría MID1811
2
-
D Foulquier DEF15
1
-
T Correia DEF141
3
-
A Almeida MID141
-
J Vázquez DEF13
1
-
F Ugrinic  MID123
2
-
D Raba FWD111
-
L Ramazani FWD1111
2
-
M Diakhaby DEF81
3
-
E Cömert DEF51
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK4
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
222274
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK22
-
A Güler MID2237
1
-
V Junior FWD2265
4
-
F Valverde MID216
2
-
K Mbappé FWD21224
3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1911
3
1
A Tchouameni MID19
4
-
J Bellingham MID1843
1
-
Rodrygo FWD1813
3
-
G. García Torres FWD173
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1611
3
1
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF162
2
-
E Camavinga MID161
-
F. Mastantuono FWD141
4
-
B Díaz FWD143
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
D Ceballos MID13
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF81
-
A Rüdiger DEF7
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF71
1
1
D Alaba DEF5
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
F Mendy DEF1
-
Endrick FWD1
-