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FC Barcelona v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Camp Nou, Barcelona

Real Madrid are away on Sunday night, as manager Álvaro Arbeloa Coca takes his side to visit FC Barcelona and Hans-Dieter Flick at the Camp Nou in the La Liga. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.

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FC Barcelona's next match is v Valencia at 20:00 on Saturday 23rd May
Real Madrid's next match is v A.Bilbao at 20:00 on Saturday 23rd May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Barcelona and Real Madrid was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Spanish La Liga
May 10th 2026
Barcelona 2
0 Real Madrid
 
M. Rashford 9'
F. Torres García 18'
 
BCN
RMD
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
2
6
Corners
4
8
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
18
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
BarcelonaReal Madrid
 
J. Cavaco Cancelo
P. Cubarsí Paredes
F. Torres Garcíafootball icon (R. Lewandowski 77')
J. Pons
G. Martín Langreo
Pablo Gaviria (M. Bernal Casas 77')
P. López
M. Rashfordfootball icon (Raphinha 64')
E. García
D. Olmo Carvajal (F. de Jong 64')
F. López Marín (A. Balde Martínez 88')
T. Courtois
T. Alexander-Arnold
J. Bellingham
(T. Pitarch Pinar 70') E. Camavinga
A. Tchouaméni
V. Júnior
(C. Palacios Pérez 79') G. García Torres
F. García Torres
A. Rüdiger
D. Huijsen
(F. Mastantuono 79') B. Abdelkader Diaz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this La Liga clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Barcelona are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barcelona
56%
8/131/200
Draw
22%
15/450/1
Real Madrid
23%
10/3150/1
Barcelona 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
10%
9/110/1
Barcelona 2-0
8%
11/12/7
Barcelona 1-0
8%
12/114/1
Barcelona 3-1
7%
10/128/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/150/1
Real Madrid 2-1
6%
14/116/1
Barcelona 3-0
5%
14/119/4
Real Madrid 1-0
5%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
25/116/1
Barcelona 3-2
4%
16/1100/1
Barcelona 4-1
3%
18/1100/1
Real Madrid 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Barcelona 4-0
3%
22/133/1
Real Madrid 3-1
2%
28/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/1123/10
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
11/53/10
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/158/15
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/88/5
No 1st Goal
3%
25/116/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/96/1
BTTS - No
39%
13/81/12
BTTS - Home Win
30%
8/56/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/140/1
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/1125/1
Home/draw
77%
2/91/300
Away/draw
44%
6/540/1
Home/away
78%
2/111/200
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/91/66
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
11/214/1
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
10/1116/1
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
10/111/150
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
11/555/1
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
4/111/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
4/1150/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/61/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/1001/150
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
25/116/1
Home DNB
71%
3/101/200
Away DNB
38%
12/5125/1
Barcelona win to nil
26%
11/4-
Real Madrid win to nil
9%
10/1-
Barcelona / Barcelona
33%
6/41/12
Barcelona / Real Madrid
3%
25/118/1
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/18/1
Draw / Barcelona
15%
4/166/1
Draw / Real Madrid
8%
9/170/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/170/1
Real Madrid / Barcelona
5%
16/1150/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
13%
6/1150/1
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1150/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Barcelona have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. Barcelona have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 9 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 29, drawn 1 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Barcelona have outscored their opponents by 89 goals to 70 goals.

Home League Performance

Barcelona have played 17 games at home winning 17, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 52 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 77 points having played 34 matches so far this season. Real Madrid have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 31 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Real Madrid have conceded 1 goal, scored 2, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3731156194 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
2
Real Madrid3726564083 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
3
Villarreal37216102269 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid37216102269 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis37141581057 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-5A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta37131212451 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Getafe3714617-748 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Vallecano37111412-447 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Valencia37121015-1146 
w
 
6-0F
May 23
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
R.Sociedad37111214-245 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Espanyol3712916-1245 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
A.Bilbao3713618-1345 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 23
w
 
0-3F
13
Alaves37111016-1143 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Sevilla3712718-1343 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Osasuna3711917-542 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Elche37101215-842 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
17
Levante3711917-1342 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Girona3791315-1640 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Mallorca3710918-1339 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
20
Real Oviedo3761120-3129 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
59
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
19
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona1 - 0Celta
Barcelona4 - 1Espanyol
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Barcelona5 - 2Sevilla
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 0Levante
Barcelona3 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
Barcelona2 - 0Osasuna
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Barcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
Barcelona3 - 1Elche
Barcelona2 - 1Girona
Barcelona2 - 1R.Sociedad
Barcelona3 - 0Getafe
Barcelona6 - 0Valencia
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0Mallorca
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarcelona2 - 1Osasuna
ABarcelona2 - 0Getafe
HBarcelona1 - 0Celta
HBarcelona4 - 1Espanyol
ABarcelona2 - 1A.Madrid
HBarcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
HBarcelona5 - 2Sevilla
ABarcelona1 - 0A.Bilbao
HBarcelona4 - 1Villarreal
HBarcelona3 - 0Levante
ABarcelona1 - 2Girona
HBarcelona3 - 0Mallorca
ABarcelona3 - 1Elche
HBarcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
ABarcelona1 - 2R.Sociedad
ABarcelona2 - 0Espanyol
ABarcelona2 - 0Villarreal
HBarcelona2 - 0Osasuna
ABarcelona5 - 3Real Betis
HBarcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol0 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca2 - 1Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 1Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
BCN
4
D
3
RMD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barcelona
Barcelona4 - 3
1 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona2 - 1
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Barcelona5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona2 - 1
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
17
25
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
BCN
6
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid3 - 1
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
0 - 1Barcelona
0 - 3Barcelona
2 - 3Barcelona
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for FC Barcelona in their clash with Real Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 83 consecutive La Liga games.

FC Barcelona's defensive record is very strong, H. Flick's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive La Liga matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

Barcelona 1st Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 60% probability that Barcelona will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Barcelona have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Barcelona
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
2
1.2
Attack rating
27%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games scored34
31
Failed to score0
3
Scored first24
24
Goals scored89
70
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.1
Avg. shots per game14
13
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2.3
2.1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
3%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets14
12
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded31
31
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%

Barcelona v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311696
E GarcíaF TorresPedriE García
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J García GLK30
1
-
E García DEF3312
6
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF311
3
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF31
6
-
J Cancelo DEF1522
1
-
Gavi MID101
3
-
Pedri MID2929
1
1
F. López Marín MID3069
3
-
D Olmo MID3278
1
-
M Rashford MID3188
3
-
F Torres FWD32161
2
-
Subs
W Szczęsny GLK7
-
E. Aller González GLK
-
J Koundé DEF3013
6
-
X. Espart Font DEF3
-
A Balde DEF272
2
-
R Araújo DEF233
2
-
M Torras MID231
1
-
F Jong MID2415
4
1
M. Bernal Casas MID2121
4
-
R Lewandowski  FWD30132
2
-
Raphinha FWD22133
5
-
R Bardghji FWD2111
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321668
V JuniorV JuniorB DíazV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK31
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF214
4
-
A Rüdiger DEF181
-
D. Huijsen DEF2722
6
1
F García DEF1311
1
1
B Díaz MID296
2
-
A Tchouameni MID331
7
-
E Camavinga MID291
2
-
J Bellingham MID2754
2
-
G. García Torres FWD2951
2
-
V Junior FWD36165
8
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK7
1
1
S Mestre GLK
-
D Alaba DEF10
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF222
4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2722
5
1
D. Jiménez Corredor DEF2
-
J. Cestero Sancho MID2
-
C. Palacios Pérez MID5
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID9
1
-
F. Mastantuono FWD221
4
1