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FC Barcelona v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona

Sunday afternoon at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, and it’s a La Liga showdown between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. Hans-Dieter Flick and Carlo Ancelotti going all-out to ensure the win. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping over 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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FC Barcelona's next match is v Espanyol at 20:30 on Thursday 15th May
Real Madrid's next match is v Mallorca at 20:30 on Wednesday 14th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Barcelona and Real Madrid was on Sunday 11th May 2025
Spanish La Liga
May 11th 2025
Barcelona 4
3 Real Madrid
 
E. García 19'5' K. Mbappé
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana 32'14' K. Mbappé
Raphinha 34'70' K. Mbappé
Raphinha 45'
 
BCN
RMD
Shots On
9
5
Shots Off
9
2
Corners
10
2
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
17
15
Yellow/red cards
4/0
3/0
 
BarcelonaReal Madrid
 
W. Szczęsny
P. Cubarsí Paredes (A. Christensen 57')
E. Garcíafootball icon (H. García 77')
Í. Martínez Berridi
G. Martín Langreo (A. Balde Martínez 57')
D. Olmo Carvajal (F. Lopez Marin 77')
F. de Jong
P. López
Raphinhafootball iconfootball icon
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebanafootball icon
F. Torres García (Pablo Gaviria 89')
T. Courtois
R. Asencio del Rosario
(E. Moreira de Sousa 84') L. Vázquez Iglesias
F. García Torres
F. Valverde Dipetta
A. Tchouaméni
(B. Abdelkader Diaz 46') A. Guler
J. Bellingham
(L. Modrić 46') D. Ceballos Fernández
football iconfootball iconfootball iconK. Mbappé
(V. Muñoz Villanueva 88') V. Júnior

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Hans-Dieter Flick prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both teams possess a number of attacking options, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Barcelona are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barcelona
51%
5/6
6%
-
Draw
22%
10/3
8%
-
Real Madrid
27%
13/5
10%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
10/1
29%
-
Barcelona 2-1
9%
9/1
11%
-
Barcelona 1-0
7%
18/1
58%
-
Barcelona 2-0
7%
16/1
42%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
8%
-
Barcelona 3-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
5%
25/1
37%
-
Barcelona 3-0
4%
20/1
24%
-
Barcelona 3-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
33/1
62%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
3%
28/1
26%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
-
Barcelona 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1/4
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
3/1
45%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
33/1
62%
-
BTTS - Yes
65%
2/7
10%
-
BTTS - No
35%
5/2
34%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
8/5
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
7/2
18%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/7
6%
-
Away/draw
49%
10/11
5%
-
Home/away
78%
1/5
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/14
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
8/1
64%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
4/6
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
6/5
27%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
6/4
29%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
8/15
18%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
3/1
33%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/4
12%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/100
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
25/1
79%
-
Home DNB
66%
2/5
6%
-
Away DNB
42%
7/4
13%
-
Barcelona win to nil
21%
9/2
38%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
10%
10/1
22%
-
Barcelona / Barcelona
30%
7/4-
Barcelona / Real Madrid
4%
20/1
19%
-
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Barcelona
15%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
21%
-
Real Madrid / Barcelona
5%
14/1
21%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
15%
9/2
8%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Barcelona have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 25, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Barcelona have outscored their opponents by 91 goals to 69 goals.

Home League Performance

Barcelona have played 17 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 46 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 75 points having played 34 matches so far this season. Real Madrid have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Real Madrid have conceded 4 goals, scored 0, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona Home3526455982 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
l
 
4-3F
2
Real Madrid A3523663575 
w
 
4-3A
w
 
0-4F
-
-
3
A.Madrid35201053370 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao35171352564 
w
 
2-1F
May 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
5
Villarreal35171081461 
May 18
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
6
Real Betis35161091058 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
7
Celta3514714149 
w
 
4-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
8
R.Vallecano35121112-547 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
9
Mallorca3513814-747 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-5F
May 14
d
 
1-1F
10
Valencia35111212-845 
w
 
7-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
11
Osasuna35101510-845 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
R.Sociedad3512716-943 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 25
w
 
0-2F
13
Getafe3510916-339 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
Espanyol3510916-939 
w
 
3-1F
May 15
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
15
Sevilla3591115-1038 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2F
May 18
16
Girona3510817-1238 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
17
Alaves3581116-1235 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
18
Leganes3571315-1834 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
19
Las Palmas358819-1732 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
20
Valladolid354427-5916 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
4
Barcelona have won 4 consecutive league games
15
Barcelona have not lost in 15 consecutive league games
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
16
15
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
BCN
3
D
3
RMD
4
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
15
24
Games: Scored
6 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
5 / 11
BCN
6
RMD
5
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for FC Barcelona in their meeting with Real Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 45 consecutive La Liga outings.

Barcelona 1st Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Barcelona have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278488/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Barcelona
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
2
1.4
Attack rating
11%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games scored32
32
Failed to score2
2
Scored first26
23
Goals scored91
69
Avg. goals scored2.7
2
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
BCN
RMD
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets11
13
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded33
33
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%

Barcelona v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3225135
PedriR Lewandowski L YamalI Martínez 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Szczęsny GLK14
-
E García DEF2622
3
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF323
3
-
I Martínez  DEF274
5
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF2513
2
-
F Jong MID2322
3
-
Pedri MID3445
3
-
L Yamal MID32713
3
-
D Olmo MID2293
-
Raphinha MID331811
3
-
F Torres FWD27106
1
1
Subs
M Stegen GLK7
-
I Peña GLK15
1
-
A Balde DEF294
2
-
R Araújo DEF1011
3
-
A Christensen DEF3
2
-
H. García DEF15
2
-
Gavi MID2311
4
-
F. Lopez Marin MID2544
4
1
M Torras MID2313
3
1
R Lewandowski  FWD31252
1
-
A Fati FWD6
1
-
P Victor FWD1921
2
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3127810
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK29
1
-
L Vázquez DEF3015
3
-
A Tchouameni DEF30
5
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF211
3
-
F García DEF282
-
A Güler MID2534
1
-
F Valverde MID3364
5
-
D Ceballos MID20
4
-
J Bellingham MID2988
3
1
K Mbappé FWD31273
3
1
V Junior FWD29117
8
2
Subs
A Lunin GLK51
-
S Mestre GLK
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF
-
J. Naveros DEF1
1
-
L Modric MID3224
8
-
B Díaz MID3042
1
-
Rodrygo FWD3065
-
Endrick FWD201
1
-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD1
-