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FC Barcelona v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 20:00 BST, Camp Nou, Barcelona

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca pays counterpart Hans-Dieter Flick a visit on Sunday night in the La Liga, as their Real Madrid and FC Barcelona sides face each other at the Camp Nou. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this La Liga clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Barcelona are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barcelona
56%
-5/6
Draw
20%
-10/3
Real Madrid
24%
-27/10
Barcelona 2-1
9%
-15/2
Draw 1-1
9%
-8/1
Barcelona 2-0
7%
-12/1
Barcelona 3-1
7%
-10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-17/2
Barcelona 1-0
6%
-14/1
Real Madrid 2-1
6%
-11/1
Barcelona 3-0
5%
-16/1
Barcelona 3-2
5%
-11/1
Real Madrid 1-0
4%
-18/1
Barcelona 4-1
4%
-14/1
Draw 0-0
3%
-22/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
-16/1
Real Madrid 2-0
3%
-22/1
Barcelona 4-0
3%
-22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
-1/4
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
-13/5
Home 1st Goal
54%
-3/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
-13/10
No 1st Goal
1%
-20/1
BTTS - Yes
66%
-2/7
BTTS - No
34%
-12/5
BTTS - Home Win
33%
-29/20
BTTS - Draw
18%
-10/3
BTTS - Away Win
15%
-7/2
Home/draw
76%
-2/7
Away/draw
44%
-19/20
Home/away
80%
-2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
-1/16
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
-7/1
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
-8/13
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
-6/5
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
-11/8
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
-8/15
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
-11/4
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
-1/4
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-20/1
Home DNB
70%
-2/5
Away DNB
38%
-7/4
Barcelona win to nil
23%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
8%
--
Barcelona / Barcelona
30%
-13/8
Barcelona / Real Madrid
4%
-20/1
Barcelona / Draw
7%
-10/1
Draw / Barcelona
14%
-9/2
Draw / Real Madrid
9%
-15/2
Draw / Draw
10%
-13/2
Real Madrid / Barcelona
5%
-14/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
15%
-17/4
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Barcelona have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. Barcelona have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 9 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 28, drawn 1 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Barcelona have outscored their opponents by 87 goals to 68 goals.

Home League Performance

Barcelona have played 17 games at home winning 17, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 52 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 74 points having played 33 matches so far this season. Real Madrid have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 29 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Real Madrid have conceded 1 goal, scored 2, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3328145785 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid3323553774 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
-
-
3
Villarreal3320582165 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
4
A.Madrid3318691960 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Real Betis3312147850 
May 17
w
 
3-5A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
6
Celta33111111244 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Getafe3313515-644 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Sociedad33111012043 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
9
Osasuna3311913-142 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
10
A.Bilbao3312516-1241 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 24
w
 
0-3F
11
R.Vallecano3391212-839 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
12
Valencia3310914-1139 
w
 
6-0F
May 24
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Elche3391113-638 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2A
14
Espanyol3210814-1238 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
15
Girona3391113-1438 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
16
Alaves339915-1136 
w
 
3-1A
May 13
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
17
Mallorca339816-1035 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
18
Sevilla339717-1534 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 17
19
Levante328816-1332 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo3361017-2528 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
May 14
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
17
Barcelona have won 17 consecutive home league games
17
Barcelona have not lost in 17 consecutive home league games
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Home
17
Overall
Goals: Scored
59
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
19
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona1 - 0Celta
Barcelona4 - 1Espanyol
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Barcelona5 - 2Sevilla
Barcelona4 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 0Levante
Barcelona3 - 0Mallorca
Barcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
Barcelona2 - 0Osasuna
Barcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Barcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
Barcelona3 - 1Elche
Barcelona2 - 1Girona
Barcelona2 - 1R.Sociedad
Barcelona3 - 0Getafe
Barcelona6 - 0Valencia
Barcelona2 - 3Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0Mallorca
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarcelona2 - 0Getafe
HBarcelona1 - 0Celta
HBarcelona4 - 1Espanyol
ABarcelona2 - 1A.Madrid
HBarcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
HBarcelona5 - 2Sevilla
ABarcelona1 - 0A.Bilbao
HBarcelona4 - 1Villarreal
HBarcelona3 - 0Levante
ABarcelona1 - 2Girona
HBarcelona3 - 0Mallorca
ABarcelona3 - 1Elche
HBarcelona3 - 0Real Oviedo
ABarcelona1 - 2R.Sociedad
ABarcelona2 - 0Espanyol
ABarcelona2 - 0Villarreal
HBarcelona2 - 0Osasuna
ABarcelona5 - 3Real Betis
HBarcelona3 - 1A.Madrid
HBarcelona3 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Betis1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca2 - 1Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 1Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2Mallorca
HReal Madrid3 - 2A.Madrid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Elche
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
BCN
4
D
3
RMD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barcelona
Barcelona4 - 3
1 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona2 - 1
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Barcelona5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona2 - 1
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
17
25
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
BCN
6
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid3 - 1
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
0 - 1Barcelona
0 - 3Barcelona
2 - 3Barcelona
0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for FC Barcelona in their clash with Real Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 82 consecutive La Liga outings.

FC Barcelona's defensive record is very strong, H. Flick's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive La Liga games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

Barcelona 1st Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Barcelona will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Barcelona have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Barcelona
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
2.2
1.4
Attack rating
26%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games scored33
30
Failed to score0
3
Scored first23
23
Goals scored87
68
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.1
Avg. shots per game14
14
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
5%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets14
11
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded30
31
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

Barcelona v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2816116
E GarcíaL YamalL YamalG. Martín Langreo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E García DEF3012
5
-
F Torres FWD29141
2
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF281
3
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF28
6
-
J Koundé DEF2813
5
-
D Olmo MID2877
-
M Rashford FWD2877
2
-
L Yamal FWD281611
1
-
J García GLK27
1
-
F. López Marín MID2768
3
-
R Lewandowski  FWD26122
2
-
Pedri MID2528
1
1
A Balde DEF242
2
-
F Jong MID2215
4
1
R Araújo DEF213
2
-
M Torras MID211
1
-
Raphinha FWD20113
4
-
R Bardghji FWD1811
-
M. Bernal Casas MID1721
4
-
A Christensen DEF12
1
-
Gavi MID71
2
-
W Szczęsny GLK6
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292497
F ValverdeK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID3249
1
-
V Junior FWD32135
7
-
F Valverde MID3158
3
1
A Tchouameni MID291
7
-
T Courtois GLK28
1
-
K Mbappé FWD28244
4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2622
5
1
D. Huijsen DEF2522
6
1
E Camavinga MID251
1
-
B Díaz FWD255
1
-
G. García Torres FWD254
1
-
J Bellingham MID2343
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF202
3
-
Rodrygo FWD1913
3
-
F. Mastantuono FWD181
4
1
T Alexander-Arnold DEF174
2
-
Éder Militão DEF1621
2
-
A Rüdiger DEF151
-
D Ceballos MID15
1
-
D Carvajal DEF14
-
F García DEF1011
1
1
D Alaba DEF9
1
-
A Lunin GLK6
1
1
F Mendy DEF4
-
Endrick FWD1
1