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Malaga v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 17:30 BST, La Rosaleda, Málaga

Juan Francisco Funes Arjona welcomes Pellegrino Matarazzo to the La Rosaleda on Sunday evening, as their Malaga and Real Sociedad sides do battle in the La Liga. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Malaga and R.Sociedad will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of R.Sociedad coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Malaga
31%
21/10
5%
-
Draw
24%
5/2-
R.Sociedad
44%
6/5
5%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
R.Sociedad 2-1
9%
8/1-
R.Sociedad 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Malaga 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Malaga 1-0
7%
10/1-
R.Sociedad 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
R.Sociedad 3-1
5%
16/1-
Malaga 2-0
5%
16/1-
R.Sociedad 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Malaga 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
R.Sociedad 3-2
3%
22/1-
Malaga 3-2
3%
28/1-
Malaga 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6-
BTTS - No
42%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/1-
Home/draw
56%
4/6
2%
-
Away/draw
69%
4/11
2%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
48%
6/5
8%
-
Away DNB
61%
8/13
6%
-
Malaga win to nil
15%
5/1-
R.Sociedad win to nil
21%
3/1
7%
-
Malaga / Malaga
16%
4/1
9%
-
Malaga / R.Sociedad
4%
22/1-
Malaga / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Malaga
12%
6/1
7%
-
Draw / R.Sociedad
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
R.Sociedad / Malaga
3%
28/1-
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
23%
13/5
6%
-
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Malaga
R.Sociedad
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona77002421 
Dec 13
May 23
May 16
Dec 20
2
A.Madrid7511916 
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Jan 17
3
Real Betis7511216 
Feb 21
Oct 31
Feb 14
l
 
1-0A
4
Real Madrid75021015 
Jan 17
l
 
4-0A
Feb 7
l
 
4-1A
5
Sevilla7412113 
May 30
Dec 6
Nov 29
Mar 7
6
Alaves7322511 
Jan 31
Oct 23
Mar 21
Jan 10
7
Deportivo7241210 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
Oct 11
Feb 21
8
R.Sociedad7313-410 
Oct 18
Jan 24
-
-
9
Villarreal722318 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 21
May 30
Dec 6
10
A.Bilbao622218 
Nov 29
May 9
May 2
Nov 1
11
Getafe7223-38 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
Dec 13
Mar 14
12
R.Vallecano7223-58 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Nov 8
Apr 11
13
Osasuna7223-78 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Jan 3
May 9
14
Celta714227 
May 16
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 23
15
Espanyol721407 
Oct 9
Apr 11
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
16
R.Santander7214-107 
Nov 8
Apr 21
Apr 18
Nov 22
17
Levante6123-45 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Oct 25
Jan 31
18
Elche7124-65 
Jan 3
Mar 7
Feb 28
w
 
2-3F
19
Valencia7115-94 
Apr 18
Jan 10
Apr 4
w
 
2-3F
20
Malaga7034-93 
-
-
Jan 24
Oct 18
Win / draw / win form
Malaga 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malaga1 - 3Villarreal
Malaga0 - 0Levante
Malaga1 - 1Deportivo
Malaga0 - 0Almeria
Malaga1 - 1Las Palmas
Malaga1 - 1R.Santander
Malaga2 - 1S.Gijon
Malaga2 - 3Castellon
Malaga2 - 0Las Palmas
Malaga0 - 0Leganes
Malaga5 - 3Huesca
Malaga3 - 3Valladolid
Malaga1 - 0Albacete
Malaga2 - 1Cultural Leonesa
Malaga3 - 0Burgos
Malaga2 - 1Ceuta
Malaga2 - 1Almeria
Malaga1 - 1Zaragoza
Malaga3 - 2Mirandes
Malaga2 - 2Cordoba
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMalaga0 - 1Getafe
HMalaga1 - 3Villarreal
AMalaga1 - 1Celta
HMalaga0 - 0Levante
AMalaga0 - 4Real Madrid
HMalaga1 - 1Deportivo
AMalaga0 - 2A.Madrid
AMalaga2 - 1Almeria
HMalaga0 - 0Almeria
HMalaga1 - 1Las Palmas
AMalaga1 - 0Las Palmas
AMalaga2 - 0Zaragoza
HMalaga1 - 1R.Santander
AMalaga4 - 1Ceuta
HMalaga2 - 1S.Gijon
AMalaga4 - 2Eibar
HMalaga2 - 3Castellon
AMalaga2 - 3Almeria
HMalaga2 - 0Las Palmas
AMalaga1 - 1Deportivo
R.Sociedad 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia2 - 3R.Sociedad
Elche2 - 3R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Betis1 - 0R.Sociedad
Espanyol1 - 1R.Sociedad
Girona1 - 1R.Sociedad
Sevilla1 - 0R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano3 - 3R.Sociedad
Villarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
Mallorca0 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 1R.Sociedad
Getafe1 - 2R.Sociedad
Levante1 - 1R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Osasuna1 - 3R.Sociedad
Elche1 - 1R.Sociedad
Celta1 - 1R.Sociedad
Barcelona2 - 1R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Sociedad3 - 2Valencia
HR.Sociedad0 - 3A.Madrid
AR.Sociedad3 - 2Elche
HR.Sociedad0 - 0Celta
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 4Real Madrid
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Real Betis
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Espanyol
HR.Sociedad3 - 4Valencia
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Girona
HR.Sociedad2 - 2Real Betis
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad3 - 3R.Vallecano
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Getafe
HR.Sociedad3 - 3Alaves
HR.Sociedad2 - 0Levante
AR.Sociedad1 - 3Villarreal
HR.Sociedad3 - 1Osasuna
AR.Sociedad2 - 3A.Madrid
AR.Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Malaga since 2015
Malaga
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
MAL
2
D
1
RSO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Malaga
Malaga2 - 0
0 - 2R.Sociedad
Malaga3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
Malaga
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
MAL
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
0 - 2Malaga
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Malaga
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Malaga of late. It has been 7 La Liga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Real Sociedad.

Real Sociedad have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Malaga on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Malaga 20th R.Sociedad 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Malaga will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that R.Sociedad will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Malaga’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
R.Sociedad have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2026/2027 season
Malaga
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
MAL
RSO
46%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score4
3
Scored first1
3
Goals scored3
9
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal16
7
Conversion rate for6
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
MAL
RSO
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded12
13
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+6%

Malaga v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Malaga La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7113
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ CruzR Enríquez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK7
1
-
R. Garrido Hierro DEF7
1
-
Ángel Recio DEF7
-
R Enríquez MID7
3
-
J Cruz FWD71
1
-
J Muñoz FWD7
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD71
1
-
D Larrubia FWD7
3
-
J Salinas DEF6
1
-
E Galilea DEF6
2
-
C. Puga Medina DEF6
2
-
C Dotor MID61
-
D Lorenzo MID6
1
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID6
-
P Martínez MID51
1
-
R Rodríguez MID4
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD31
-
J Berrocal DEF2
-
E Jauregi FWD2
1
-
H Abaida FWD2
-
J Cajuste MID1
-
J Lobete FWD1
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7333
S GómezL SučićJ. Nguono OchiengJ Aramburu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Gómez DEF7
1
-
J Aramburu DEF7
3
-
L Sučić MID73
2
-
Y Herrera MID71
3
-
C Soler MID712
-
M Oyarzabal FWD72
1
-
Álex Remiro GLK6
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF6
1
G Guedes FWD6
-
A Barrenetxea FWD62
-
O Óskarsson FWD61
1
1
I Zubeldia DEF5
2
-
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID5
-
T Kubo FWD5
-
B Turrientes  MID4
1
-
A. Marchal Garcia FWD4
-
J. Nguono Ochieng FWD413
-
L. Beitia Aguirregomezcorta DEF3
1
-
A Zakharyan MID3
-
M Sarr DEF2
-
A Muñoz DEF2
-
U Marrero GLK1
-
H. García DEF1
-
J Pacheco DEF1
-