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Villarreal v Elche CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Eder Sarabia Armesto pays counterpart Marcelino García Toral a visit on Sunday afternoon in the La Liga, as their Elche CF and Villarreal sides go head to head at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Villarreal's next match is v Alaves at 20:00 on Friday 13th March
Elche CF's next match is v Real Madrid at 20:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Villarreal and Elche was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Spanish La Liga
March 8th 2026
Villarreal 2
1 Elche
 
T. Buchanan 31'82' A. Valente Silva
?. Mouriño González 41'
 
VIL
ELC
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
4
6
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
11
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
VillarrealElche
 
L. Reis Júnior
R. Marín Zamora
P. Navarro Badenes (R. Palma Veiga 75')
G. Mikautadze
S. Cardona Bermúdez
S. Comesaña Veiga (D. Parejo Muñoz 75')
P. Gueye (T. Partey 75')
T. Buchananfootball icon (A. González Martínez 65')
N. Pépé
A. Moleiro González (G. Moreno Balaguero 65')
?. Mouriño Gonzálezfootball icon
M. Dituro
(J. Fernández Pomares 68') A. Sangaré Traoré
(F. Redondo Solari 68') M. Aguado Pallares
(A. Valente Silva 77') R. Mir Vicente
G. Karabinaite
(G. Villar del Fraile 68') A. Febas Pérez
L. Pétrot
D. Affengruber
V. Chust García
(M. Carvalho Neto 59') G. Diangana
?. Rodríguez Muñoz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Villarreal to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Villarreal. Their latest form stats show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Elche too. The odds point towards Marcelino García Toral's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
64%
9/201/50
Draw
20%
7/214/1
Elche
16%
11/2100/1
Villarreal 2-0
11%
7/13/4
Villarreal 1-0
10%
15/29/2
Villarreal 2-1
10%
15/27/20
Draw 1-1
9%
15/27/1
Villarreal 3-0
7%
9/129/10
Villarreal 3-1
7%
10/117/4
Draw 0-0
5%
14/16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/17/1
Elche 1-0
5%
20/19/1
Elche 2-1
4%
18/118/1
Villarreal 4-0
4%
18/114/1
Villarreal 4-1
4%
18/125/1
Villarreal 3-2
3%
22/122/1
Elche 2-0
2%
33/120/1
Villarreal 4-2
2%
33/180/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/1319/20
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/103/4
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/51/2
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/89/4
No 1st Goal
3%
14/16/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/416/5
BTTS - No
46%
1/11/5
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/11/14
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/213/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/145/1
Home/draw
84%
1/91/1000
Away/draw
36%
13/812/1
Home/away
80%
2/111/66
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/51/9
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/29/2
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
6/411/2
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
8/151/11
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/240/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/51/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/121/300
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/14
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/16/1
Home DNB
78%
1/61/1000
Away DNB
30%
4/140/1
Villarreal win to nil
34%
13/8-
Elche win to nil
7%
12/1-
Villarreal / Villarreal
38%
11/101/80
Villarreal / Elche
2%
40/140/1
Villarreal / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Villarreal
18%
10/3100/1
Draw / Elche
6%
12/1150/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1125/1
Elche / Villarreal
4%
18/11/50
Elche / Elche
8%
10/11/50
Elche / Draw
5%
16/11/50
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Villarreal have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Villarreal have played 13 games at home winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Elche are in 17th position in the La Liga on 26 points having played 26 matches so far this season. Elche are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 11 and won 3. Elche have conceded 33 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Elche
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
Apr 22
d
 
1-1A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
5
Real Betis2711106843 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 13
6
Celta2710107740 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 3
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
Mar 20
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
9
Getafe2710512-635 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
May 17
l
 
1-0A
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
11
Osasuna279711034 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
w
 
4-0F
May 17
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
14
Sevilla278712-731 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
15
Girona2771010-1531 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
May 24
16
Alaves277614-1227 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
May 10
l
 
3-1A
17
Elche2751111-626 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
-
-
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
19
Levante275715-1622 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2F
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
3
Elche have lost 3 consecutive away league games
12
Elche have not won in 12 consecutive away league games
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Elche 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
Elche
Goals: Scored
9
1
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
VIL
3
D
1
League games at Elche since 2015
Elche
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
VIL
1
D
2
ELC
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Villarreal in their meeting with Elche CF, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 35 consecutive La Liga matches.

Villarreal 4th Elche 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Villarreal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Elche scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Villarreal have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Elche have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Elche
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
17%
better
VIL
ELC
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score4
4
Scored first17
10
Goals scored48
34
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
16%
better
VIL
ELC
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first9
14
Goals conceded31
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+16%

Villarreal v Elche La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24949
L JúniorA MoleiroA MoleiroS Mouriño
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Júnior GLK241
3
-
S Mouriño DEF2012
8
1
P. Navarro Badenes DEF15
3
-
R Marín DEF171
1
-
S Cardona DEF223
3
-
T Buchanan MID2561
7
-
S Comesaña MID2533
4
1
P Gueye MID2142
7
-
A Moleiro MID2694
3
-
N Pépé FWD2634
3
-
G Mikautadze FWD2284
1
-
Subs
A Tenas GLK3
-
A Freeman DEF3
-
A Pedraza DEF2012
6
-
D Parejo MID23
2
-
R Veiga MID24
3
1
T Partey MID17
-
G Moreno FWD137
-
A González FWD3
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD2121
1
-
Elche La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26757
A FebasR MirM NetoV Chust
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dituro GLK11
1
-
A. Sangaré Traoré DEF2
-
D Affengruber DEF25
5
1
V Chust DEF21
6
1
L Pétrot DEF24
1
-
G Diangana MID151
2
-
A Febas MID2622
7
-
M Aguado MID2611
2
-
G Valera MID2643
2
-
Álvaro Rodríguez FWD2454
-
R Mir FWD227
2
-
Subs
A Iturbe GLK
-
I Peña GLK16
-
A Pedrosa DEF1711
4
-
P Bigas DEF192
3
-
F Redondo MID8
1
G Villar MID2
1
-
M Neto MID2125
2
-
Josan MID142
2
-
T Morente FWD3
1
-
L Cepeda FWD5
1
-
A. Boayar Benaisa FWD71
-
A Silva FWD217
1
-