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Villarreal v FC Barcelona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Dec, 15:15 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Sunday afternoon sees Marcelino García Toral’s Villarreal and Hans-Dieter Flick’s FC Barcelona go up against one another in a La Liga battle at the Estadio de la Cerámica. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This La Liga clash, with Villarreal and Barcelona going head-to-head, offers great potential in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
45%
21/10
6%
-
Draw
21%
31/10
3%
-
Barcelona
34%
1/1
5%
-
Villarreal 2-1
8%
12/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
9/1
9%
-
Barcelona 2-1
7%
9/1
11%
-
Villarreal 3-1
6%
20/1
9%
-
Villarreal 3-2
5%
20/1
9%
-
Villarreal 2-0
5%
22/1-
Villarreal 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Barcelona 3-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Barcelona 3-1
4%
12/1-
Barcelona 1-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Barcelona 2-0
3%
16/1
31%
-
Villarreal 3-0
3%
40/1-
Draw 3-3
3%
22/1
12%
-
Villarreal 4-1
3%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1/3
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
12/5
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
72%
1/3
5%
-
BTTS - No
28%
9/4
18%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
10/3
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
15/8-
Home/draw
66%
4/5
6%
-
Away/draw
55%
4/11
2%
-
Home/away
79%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
7/1
23%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
4/5
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
1/1
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
7/4
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
4/9
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
7/2
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/5
5%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/1-
Home DNB
59%
11/8
10%
-
Away DNB
49%
8/15
6%
-
Villarreal win to nil
15%
8/1-
Barcelona win to nil
11%
9/2
22%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
17%
15/4
14%
-
Villarreal / Barcelona
5%
16/1-
Villarreal / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Villarreal
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Barcelona
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
7%
-
Barcelona / Villarreal
4%
20/1
9%
-
Barcelona / Barcelona
27%
21/10
8%
-
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Villarreal have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games. Villarreal are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Villarreal have conceded 3 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Villarreal have played 8 games at home, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Barcelona lay in 1st place on 40 points in the La Liga league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Barcelona have conceded 20 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Barcelona have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1613122740 
Dec 21
Mar 1
-
-
2
Real Madrid1611321736 
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
May 10
l
 
2-1A
3
Villarreal1511221835 
-
-
Mar 1
Dec 21
4
A.Madrid169431331 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 5
5
Espanyol15834327 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
Jan 3
6
Real Betis15663624 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 18
May 17
w
 
3-5A
7
A.Bilbao16727-523 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
w
 
4-0F
Mar 8
8
Getafe15627-420 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
9
Elche15474119 
Mar 8
Jan 3
w
 
3-1F
Feb 1
10
Celta15474-119 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
2-4F
11
Alaves15537-218 
Jan 11
Mar 15
w
 
3-1A
May 13
12
R.Vallecano15456-317 
w
 
4-0F
May 17
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
13
Sevilla15528-417 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
Mar 15
l
 
4-1A
14
R.Sociedad15447-316 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
15
Valencia15366-915 
Feb 22
w
 
0-2F
w
 
6-0F
May 24
16
Mallorca15357-714 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Feb 8
w
 
0-3F
17
Osasuna14338-612 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Dec 13
May 3
18
Girona15267-1612 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
19
Real Oviedo15249-1510 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
Jan 25
w
 
1-3A
20
Levante14239-109 
May 3
Dec 14
Feb 22
w
 
2-3A
Win / draw / win form
3
Villarreal have won 3 consecutive home league games
14
Villarreal have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
Villarreal 3RD
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Barcelona have beaten Villarreal in 6 consecutive away league meetings
11
Barcelona have not lost to Villarreal in 11 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
14
29
Games: Scored
8 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
3 / 11
D
3
BCN
8
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
31
15
Games: Scored
10 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
1 / 11
VIL
3
BCN
8
Goal Statistics

Villarreal's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

FC Barcelona have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 36 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Villarreal 3rd Barcelona 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Villarreal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Villarreal have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+16
Barcelona have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
2
1.8
Attack rating
VIL
BCN
20%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score1
0
Scored first12
8
Goals scored31
47
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.9
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
20
Avg. XG for1.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
33%
better
VIL
BCN
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first3
8
Goals conceded13
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%

Villarreal v Barcelona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12636
A MoleiroA MoleiroA PérezS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Buchanan FWD155
4
-
A Moleiro FWD1562
2
-
S Comesaña MID1422
2
-
N Pépé FWD1421
2
-
R Veiga DEF13
1
-
P Gueye MID1321
5
-
L Júnior GLK121
3
-
S Cardona DEF122
1
-
D Parejo MID12
2
-
T Partey MID12
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1221
-
A Pedraza DEF112
3
-
R Marín DEF111
1
-
S Mouriño DEF101
5
1
G Mikautadze FWD1032
-
J Foyth DEF9
1
-
I Akhomach FWD9
-
A Pérez FWD823
1
-
G Moreno FWD74
-
M Solomon FWD611
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF5
2
-
A Tenas GLK3
-
A Altimira DEF1
-
Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141173
E GarcíaF TorresM RashfordJ Koundé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E García DEF1611
-
J Koundé DEF1511
3
-
M Rashford FWD1527
2
-
F Torres FWD15111
2
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF14
3
-
Pedri MID1324
1
1
D Olmo MID1342
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF12
1
-
A Balde DEF122
2
-
L Yamal FWD1267
-
R Lewandowski  FWD1281
1
-
A Christensen DEF11
1
-
R Araújo DEF112
2
-
F Jong MID112
2
1
M Torras MID111
-
J García GLK10
1
-
F. López Marín MID1042
1
-
Raphinha FWD943
2
-
R Bardghji FWD811
-
W Szczęsny GLK6
-
M. Bernal Casas MID61
1
-
Gavi MID21
-