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Villarreal v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 20:00 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Real Madrid pay La Liga rivals Villarreal a visit on Saturday night, as Xabier Alonso Olano leads his team into an away clash with Marcelino García Toral & co. at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
46%
--
Draw
24%
--
Real Madrid
30%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Villarreal 2-1
9%
--
Villarreal 1-0
8%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
7%
--
Villarreal 2-0
7%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Villarreal 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
4%
--
Villarreal 3-0
4%
--
Villarreal 3-2
4%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Villarreal 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
--
BTTS - No
40%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Villarreal win to nil
21%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Villarreal have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Villarreal have conceded 5 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Villarreal have played 10 games at home, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 45 points in the La Liga league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 39 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 10 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1916123349 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid1914322445 
Jan 24
l
 
3-1A
-
-
3
Villarreal1813232041 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
4
A.Madrid1911531738 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
5
Espanyol181035333 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
6
Real Betis19784629 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
w
 
5-1F
Apr 19
7
Celta18684426 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
8
A.Bilbao19739-824 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
May 24
w
 
0-3F
9
Elche19586123 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
10
R.Sociedad19568-321 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3F
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
11
Getafe196310-1021 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
12
Girona19568-1621 
w
 
5-0F
Apr 5
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
13
Sevilla186210-520 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 17
14
Osasuna195410-419 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
15
R.Vallecano18477-719 
w
 
4-0F
May 17
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
16
Alaves195410-819 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
17
Mallorca18468-618 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
18
Valencia19388-1317 
Feb 22
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
19
Levante173410-913 
May 3
-
Jan 17
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo192710-1913 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 22
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Real Madrid have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal3 - 1Alaves
Villarreal0 - 2Barcelona
Villarreal2 - 0Getafe
Villarreal2 - 1Mallorca
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal2 - 2Real Betis
Villarreal1 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal2 - 1Osasuna
Villarreal5 - 0Girona
Villarreal2 - 0Real Oviedo
Villarreal4 - 2Sevilla
Villarreal3 - 0Leganes
Villarreal4 - 2Osasuna
Villarreal1 - 0Espanyol
Villarreal2 - 2R.Sociedad
Villarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 1Valencia
Villarreal5 - 1Valladolid
Villarreal4 - 0Mallorca
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal3 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal3 - 1Elche
HVillarreal0 - 2Barcelona
HVillarreal2 - 0Getafe
AVillarreal3 - 2R.Sociedad
HVillarreal2 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal2 - 0Espanyol
HVillarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
AVillarreal2 - 0Valencia
HVillarreal2 - 2Real Betis
AVillarreal1 - 3Real Madrid
HVillarreal1 - 0A.Bilbao
AVillarreal2 - 1Sevilla
HVillarreal2 - 1Osasuna
AVillarreal0 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 1Celta
HVillarreal5 - 0Girona
HVillarreal2 - 0Real Oviedo
HVillarreal4 - 2Sevilla
AVillarreal3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Real Madrid have beaten Villarreal in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Real Madrid have not lost to Villarreal in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
VIL
2
D
6
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
VIL
2
D
3
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Villarreal 4th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Villarreal have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
VIL
RMD
2%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score2
2
Scored first13
13
Goals scored34
41
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game10
15
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.8
2.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
4%
better
VIL
RMD
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded16
17
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

Villarreal v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15836
A MoleiroA MoleiroA MoleiroS Mouriño
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moleiro FWD1883
2
-
S Comesaña MID1722
3
-
N Pépé FWD1722
2
-
T Buchanan FWD175
5
-
L Júnior GLK151
3
-
S Cardona DEF153
2
-
R Veiga DEF15
1
1
D Parejo MID15
2
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD1521
-
A Pedraza DEF1312
3
-
R Marín DEF131
1
-
T Partey MID13
-
P Gueye MID1321
5
-
G Mikautadze FWD1353
-
S Mouriño DEF121
5
1
J Foyth DEF11
1
-
A Pérez FWD1123
2
-
G Moreno FWD95
-
I Akhomach FWD9
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF7
2
-
M Solomon FWD611
-
A Tenas GLK3
-
A Altimira DEF1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191864
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK19
-
A Güler MID1936
1
-
V Junior FWD1955
4
-
F Valverde MID186
2
-
K Mbappé FWD18184
3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1711
3
1
A Tchouameni MID17
3
-
Rodrygo FWD1713
3
-
J Bellingham MID1543
1
-
G. García Torres FWD143
-
D. Huijsen DEF1311
3
1
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF131
2
-
E Camavinga MID131
-
B Díaz FWD122
1
-
D Ceballos MID11
-
F. Mastantuono FWD111
3
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF81
-
A Rüdiger DEF7
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF71
1
1
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
F Mendy DEF1
-
Endrick FWD1
-