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Athletic Bilbao v Sporting Lisbon : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Jan, 20:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Wednesday night, as Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and his Athletic Bilbao side host Rui Manuel Gomes Borges’s Sporting Lisbon at the San Mamés. Champions League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Champions League fixture, with A.Bilbao and S. Lisbon going head-to-head, offers great potential in the highly popular 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having studied the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
51%
23/2010/11
Draw
22%
9/45/2
7%
S. Lisbon
27%
12/53/1
5%
Draw 1-1
9%
11/211/2
7%
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
8/17/1
A.Bilbao 1-0
7%
9/115/2
A.Bilbao 2-0
7%
11/19/1
5%
S. Lisbon 2-1
7%
11/111/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/110/1
8%
A.Bilbao 3-1
6%
16/112/1
8%
S. Lisbon 1-0
5%
12/112/1
8%
A.Bilbao 3-0
4%
20/114/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
4%
22/118/1
Draw 0-0
3%
12/110/1
8%
S. Lisbon 2-0
3%
18/118/1
12%
A.Bilbao 4-1
3%
33/120/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
3%
22/122/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/114/6
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
11/1011/10
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/118/13
2%
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/56/4
2%
No 1st Goal
2%
12/19/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/78/13
2%
BTTS - No
35%
5/46/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3/112/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/116/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/15/1
Home/draw
73%
3/102/9
2%
Away/draw
49%
4/617/20
Home/away
78%
1/33/10
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
7/48/5
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
4/118/5
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/61/6
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/115/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/161/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/19/1
9%
Home DNB
66%
8/154/11
3%
Away DNB
42%
11/815/8
5%
A.Bilbao win to nil
21%
10/3-
S. Lisbon win to nil
10%
11/2-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
27%
12/515/8
3%
A.Bilbao / S. Lisbon
3%
28/125/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
7%
12/110/1
8%
Draw / A.Bilbao
15%
9/24/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
9%
13/215/2
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/14/1
9%
S. Lisbon / A.Bilbao
5%
20/116/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
13%
4/15/1
4%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal77001821 
l
 
0-2A
-
-
-
2
Bayern76011318 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1F
3
Real Madrid75021115 
-
-
-
-
4
Liverpool7502615 
-
-
-
-
5
Spurs7421814 
-
-
-
-
6
PSG74121013 
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
2-1F
-
7
Newcastle74121013 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
8
Chelsea7412613 
-
-
-
-
9
Barcelona7412513 
-
-
-
-
10
S. Lisbon7412513 
Jan 28
-
-
-
11
Man City7412413 
-
-
-
-
12
A.Madrid7412313 
-
-
-
-
13
Atalanta7412113 
-
w
 
2-3A
-
-
14
Inter7403612 
-
-
-
-
15
Juventus7331412 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
16
Dortmund7322411 
-
l
 
4-1A
-
-
17
Galatasaray7313010 
-
-
-
-
18
Qarabag7313-210 
w
 
3-1A
-
-
-
19
Marseille730409 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
-
20
Leverkusen7232-49 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco7232-69 
-
-
-
-
22
PSV722318 
-
-
-
-
23
A.Bilbao7223-48 
-
-
-
Jan 28
24
Olympiakos7223-58 
-
-
-
-
25
Napoli7223-58 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
26
Kobenhavn7223-68 
-
-
-
-
27
Brugge7214-57 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
28
Bodø7133-26 
-
-
-
-
29
Benfica7205-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Paphos7133-66 
-
-
-
-
31
Union SG7205-106 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax7205-126 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt7115-94 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia7034-113 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
35
Villarreal7016-101 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty7016-141 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
S. Lisbon have not won in 6 consecutive away european games
A.Bilbao 28TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
A.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
A.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
A.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
A.Bilbao2 - 0Rangers
A.Bilbao3 - 1Roma
A.Bilbao3 - 1Plzen
A.Bilbao3 - 0Elfsborg
A.Bilbao1 - 0Slavia
A.Bilbao2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
A.Bilbao1 - 2Marseille
A.Bilbao1 - 2Spartak M
A.Bilbao3 - 2H.Berlin
A.Bilbao1 - 0Ostersunds
A.Bilbao0 - 1Luhansk
A.Bilbao3 - 2Apoel
A.Bilbao3 - 2Sassuolo
A.Bilbao5 - 3Genk
A.Bilbao1 - 0Rapid Wien
A.Bilbao1 - 2Sevilla
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Atalanta
HA.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Slavia
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Newcastle
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Dortmund
HA.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Man Utd
HA.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Rangers
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Rangers
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Roma
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Roma
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Plzen
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Besiktas
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Fenerbahce
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Elfsborg
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Ludogorets
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Slavia
HA.Bilbao2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
S. Lisbon 14TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern3 - 1S. Lisbon
Juventus1 - 1S. Lisbon
Napoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
Dortmund0 - 0S. Lisbon
RB Leipzig2 - 1S. Lisbon
Brugge2 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz0 - 2S. Lisbon
PSV1 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
Young Boys1 - 3S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rakow1 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz1 - 2S. Lisbon
Juventus1 - 0S. Lisbon
Arsenal1 - 1S. Lisbon
Midtjylland0 - 3S. Lisbon
Spurs1 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
E.Frankfurt0 - 3S. Lisbon
Man City0 - 0S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon2 - 1PSG
AS. Lisbon1 - 3Bayern
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Brugge
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Juventus
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Marseille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Napoli
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Kairat Almaty
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Dortmund
HS. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Bologna
AS. Lisbon1 - 2RB Leipzig
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Brugge
HS. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Sturm Graz
AS. Lisbon1 - 1PSV
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Lille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Young Boys
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 28th S. Lisbon 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that S. Lisbon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
2
1.4
Attack rating
ATH
SCL
59%
better
view stats
Games scored10
20
Failed to score9
0
Scored first6
17
Goals scored18
49
Avg. goals scored0.9
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
20
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
ATH
SCL
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded26
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against17%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+34%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Bilbao v S. Lisbon will show here when available.

A.Bilbao Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7423
U SimónG GuruzetaM. Jauregizar AlbonigaM. Jauregizar Alboniga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK7
-
A. Rego Mora MID7
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID72
3
-
A Paredes DEF6
3
-
A Gorosabel DEF6
1
-
D Vivian DEF6
1
-
I Galarreta MID6
1
-
U Gómez MID6
1
-
G Guruzeta FWD64
1
-
R Navarro FWD622
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF5
-
J Areso DEF5
1
-
M Vesga MID5
-
O Sancet MID51
-
Álex Berenguer FWD51
1
-
N Serrano  FWD41
-
I Lekue DEF3
-
Y Berchiche DEF3
-
I Williams FWD3
-
N Williams FWD3
-
A Laporte DEF2
-
S. Sánchez Camilo MID2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7423
M VilchesL SuárezG Catamo M Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vilches DEF71
2
-
A Santos FWD72
-
L Suárez FWD741
2
-
R Silva GLK6
1
-
G Inácio DEF6
-
I Fresneda DEF61
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID6
-
G Catamo  MID612
-
H Morita MID61
-
M Hjulmand MID6
3
-
F Trincão FWD632
-
M Reis DEF5
-
F Ioannidis FWD51
-
G. Quenda FWD522
1
-
O Diomande DEF4
-
E Quaresma DEF4
-
P Gonçalves FWD41
2
-
Z Debast DEF3
1
-
G Vagiannidis DEF31
-
R Mangas DEF2
1
-
G Kochorashvili MID21
1
-
J Virgínia GLK1
-
D Bragança  MID1
-