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AEK Athens v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Nov, 17:45 BST, OPAP Arena, Athens

It's a long trek for José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Real Madrid side on Wednesday evening, as they head to the OPAP Arena for a Champions League tie with Marko Nikolić's AEK Athens. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Champions League match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

Absolutely no club, players or staff in the Champions League wants to lose in front of their own supporters, but the statistics below are suggesting that will be AEK's fate as they go head-to-head with Real Madrid at OPAP Arena on Wednesday evening. The UK's top bookmakers agree, each suggesting an away win is the most likely outcome at odds of 1.38, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 69% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AEK
14%
21/4
4%
-
Draw
17%
9/2-
Real Madrid
69%
19/50
1%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
9/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
AEK 2-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
AEK 1-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
28/1-
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2/1
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
15/8
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
58%
4/11-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
5%
-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
37%
6/4
4%
-
Home/draw
31%
2/1-
Away/draw
86%
1/8
2%
-
Home/away
83%
1/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/8
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
1/1
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
4/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
12/5
3%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1/3
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
9/2
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
10%
-
Home DNB
26%
4/1
9%
-
Away DNB
81%
1/6
3%
-
AEK win to nil
5%
14/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
32%
7/4
5%
-
AEK / AEK
7%
11/1
8%
-
AEK / Real Madrid
5%
16/1-
AEK / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / AEK
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2-
Real Madrid / AEK
2%
33/1
17%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
42%
20/21-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
AEK have won 3 consecutive home european games
AEK 29TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEK1 - 0LASK Linz
AEK4 - 0Levski
AEK3 - 1R.Vallecano
AEK0 - 2Celje
AEK3 - 2Universitatea Craiova
AEK1 - 1Shamrock
AEK6 - 0Aberdeen
AEK2 - 0Anderlecht
AEK1 - 1Aris
AEK1 - 0Beer Sheva
AEK1 - 0Noah
AEK4 - 3Inter Club d'Escaldes
AEK0 - 1Brighton
AEK0 - 2Marseille
AEK1 - 1Ajax
AEK1 - 2Antwerp
AEK2 - 2D. Zagreb
AEK1 - 0Velez
AEK2 - 4Braga
AEK0 - 3Luhansk
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAEK1 - 5Man City
AAEK1 - 3Shakhtar
HAEK1 - 0LASK Linz
HAEK4 - 0Levski
AAEK0 - 0Levski
HAEK3 - 1R.Vallecano
AAEK0 - 3R.Vallecano
HAEK0 - 2Celje
AAEK4 - 0Celje
HAEK3 - 2Universitatea Craiova
AAEK2 - 1Samsunspor
AAEK1 - 0Fiorentina
HAEK1 - 1Shamrock
HAEK6 - 0Aberdeen
AAEK1 - 3Celje
HAEK2 - 0Anderlecht
AAEK1 - 1Anderlecht
HAEK1 - 1Aris
AAEK2 - 2Aris
AAEK0 - 0Beer Sheva
Real Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma3 - 4Real Madrid
Bayern4 - 3Real Madrid
Man City1 - 2Real Madrid
Benfica0 - 1Real Madrid
Benfica4 - 2Real Madrid
Olympiakos3 - 4Real Madrid
Liverpool1 - 0Real Madrid
Kairat Almaty0 - 5Real Madrid
Arsenal3 - 0Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Brest0 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid4 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid4 - 3Roma
HReal Madrid2 - 1Inter
AReal Madrid3 - 4Bayern
HReal Madrid1 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 0Man City
HReal Madrid2 - 1Benfica
AReal Madrid1 - 0Benfica
AReal Madrid2 - 4Benfica
HReal Madrid6 - 1Monaco
HReal Madrid1 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid4 - 3Olympiakos
AReal Madrid0 - 1Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 0Juventus
AReal Madrid5 - 0Kairat Almaty
HReal Madrid2 - 1Marseille
HReal Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

AEK Athens have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Real Madrid on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

AEK 29th Real Madrid 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that AEK will score no more than 1 goal
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
AEK have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2026/2027 season
AEK
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.1
2.5
Attack rating
AEK
RMD
13%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
2
Scored first14
15
Goals scored37
44
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.2
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for1.9
2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
16%
better
AEK
RMD
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded19
23
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between AEK v Real Madrid will show here when available.

AEK Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
F RelvasR MarinF RelvasR Marin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Relvas DEF51
-
H Moukoudi DEF5
1
-
S Pilios DEF511
1
-
L Rota DEF51
-
L Majer MID511
1
-
M Gacinovic  MID5
-
R Marin MID52
2
-
A Koita FWD5
-
B Varga FWD52
1
-
L Jović  FWD51
1
-
Zini FWD51
1
-
O Zubkov FWD4
-
A Brignoli GLK3
-
K Arriaga MID3
-
M. Vitális MID3
-
K Kairinen MID3
-
T Strakosha GLK2
-
J Mário MID2
-
P Mantalos MID2
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3332
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3
2
-
M Cucurella  DEF3
-
J Bellingham MID3
-
F Valverde MID31
-
K Mbappé FWD331
-
C. Espí Escrihuela FWD31
-
Y. Diomande FWD312
-
V Junior FWD3
-
I Konaté DEF2
-
D. Huijsen DEF2
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF21
-
D Dumfries DEF2
-
B Silva MID21
-
A Güler MID213
-
A Tchouameni MID2
-
Endrick FWD211
-
B Díaz FWD22
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF1
-
E Camavinga MID1
-