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Bayer Leverkusen v Villarreal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Jan, 20:00 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

the BayArena crowd welcome Villarreal's fans on Wednesday night, as Kasper Hjulmand's Bayer Leverkusen go head to head with Marcelino García Toral's troops in the Champions League. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Champions League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Champions League fixture, with Leverkusen and Villarreal going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Attackers on both sides will look to take advantage of an open match and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Leverkusen 55%	4/5	5/6 4%
Draw 21%	13/5	5/2 6%
Villarreal 24%	10/3	10/3
Leverkusen 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1
Draw 1-1 9%	6/1	6/1 8%
Leverkusen 2-0 7%	17/2	17/2 5%
Leverkusen 1-0 7%	15/2	15/2
Leverkusen 3-1 7%	12/1	11/1 8%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Villarreal 2-1 6%	14/1	12/1 8%
Leverkusen 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1 13%
Leverkusen 3-2 4%	22/1	16/1
Villarreal 1-0 4%	14/1	12/1
Leverkusen 4-1 4%	25/1	20/1
Draw 0-0 3%	12/1	10/1 10%
Villarreal 2-0 3%	22/1	20/1
Villarreal 3-2 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Villarreal 3-1 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	8/11	13/20 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	11/10	11/10
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/13	3/5 1%
Away 1st Goal 45%	7/5	8/5
No 1st Goal 2%	12/1	9/1 5%
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/6	8/13 3%
BTTS - No 35%	11/10	6/5 2%
BTTS - Home Win 32%	5/2	9/4 2%
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	16/5 5%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 76%	1/5	1/5 2%
Away/draw 45%	19/20	19/20 5%
Home/away 79%	2/7	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	2/9	1/5 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	10/3	3/1
Over 3.5 Goals 45%	7/4	8/5
Under 3.5 Goals 55%	4/9	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	4/1	7/2
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/6	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	9/1	15/2 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1/16	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/25	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	12/1	9/1 5%
Home DNB 70%	1/3	1/3 1%
Away DNB 39%	9/4	21/10 3%
Leverkusen win to nil 23%	12/5	-
Villarreal win to nil 9%	7/1	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 29%	15/8	17/10 7%
Leverkusen / Villarreal 3%	33/1	25/1
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Draw / Leverkusen 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Villarreal 9%	8/1	8/1 6%
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1	17/4 9%
Villarreal / Leverkusen 5%	20/1	16/1 11%
Villarreal / Villarreal 12%	6/1	11/2
Villarreal / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Leverkusen Villarreal
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	7	7	0	0	18	21	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	7	6	0	1	13	18	-	-	-	-
3	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	11	15	-	-	-	-
4	Liverpool	7	5	0	2	6	15	-	-	-	-
5	Spurs	7	4	2	1	8	14	-	-	-	l 1-0A
6	PSG	7	4	1	2	10	13	l 2-7A	-	-	-
7	Newcastle	7	4	1	2	10	13	d 2-2F	-	-	-
8	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	6	13	-	-	-	-
9	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	5	13	-	-	-	-
10	S. Lisbon	7	4	1	2	5	13	-	-	-	-
11	Man City	7	4	1	2	4	13	-	w 0-2F	l 0-2A	-
12	A.Madrid	7	4	1	2	3	13	-	-	-	-
13	Atalanta	7	4	1	2	1	13	-	-	-	-
14	Inter	7	4	0	3	6	12	-	-	-	-
15	Juventus	7	3	3	1	4	12	-	-	d 2-2F	-
16	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	4	11	-	-	-	l 4-0A
17	Galatasaray	7	3	1	3	0	10	-	-	-	-
18	Qarabag	7	3	1	3	-2	10	-	-	-	-
19	Marseille	7	3	0	4	0	9	-	-	-	-
20	Leverkusen	7	2	3	2	-4	9	-	-	-	Jan 28
21	Monaco	7	2	3	2	-6	9	-	-	-	-
22	PSV	7	2	2	3	1	8	d 1-1F	-	-	-
23	A.Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-4	8	-	-	-	-
24	Olympiakos	7	2	2	3	-5	8	-	l 2-0A	-	-
25	Napoli	7	2	2	3	-5	8	-	-	-	-
26	Kobenhavn	7	2	2	3	-6	8	-	d 2-2A	l 2-3A	-
27	Brugge	7	2	1	4	-5	7	-	-	-	-
28	Bodø	7	1	3	3	-2	6	-	-	-	-
29	Benfica	7	2	0	5	-4	6	-	w 0-1F	-	-
30	Paphos	7	1	3	3	-6	6	-	-	-	l 1-0A
31	Union SG	7	2	0	5	-10	6	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	7	2	0	5	-12	6	-	-	l 1-2F	-
33	E.Frankfurt	7	1	1	5	-9	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	7	0	3	4	-11	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	7	0	1	6	-10	1	Jan 28	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	7	0	1	6	-14	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Villarreal have lost 3 consecutive away european games

Villarreal have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen	2 - 2	Newcastle
Leverkusen	2 - 7	PSG
Leverkusen	1 - 1	PSV
Leverkusen	0 - 2	Bayern
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Sparta
Leverkusen	1 - 0	Inter
Leverkusen	5 - 0	Salzburg
Leverkusen	1 - 0	Milan
Leverkusen	2 - 2	Roma
Leverkusen	2 - 0	West Ham
Leverkusen	3 - 2	Qarabag
Leverkusen	5 - 1	Molde
Leverkusen	5 - 1	Qarabag
Leverkusen	4 - 0	Häcken
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Roma
Leverkusen	1 - 1	Union SG
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Ferencvaros
Leverkusen	2 - 3	Monaco
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Brugge
Leverkusen	0 - 3	Porto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Olympiakos
H	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Newcastle
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Man City
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Benfica
H	Leverkusen	2 - 7	PSG
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	PSV
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Kobenhavn
H	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Sparta
A	Leverkusen	1 - 2	A.Madrid
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Inter
H	Leverkusen	5 - 0	Salzburg
A	Leverkusen	0 - 4	Liverpool
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	Brest
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Milan
A	Leverkusen	4 - 0	Feyenoord
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Atalanta
H	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Roma
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Roma

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	4 - 0	Villarreal
Paphos	1 - 0	Villarreal
Spurs	1 - 0	Villarreal
Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
Rennes	2 - 3	Villarreal
M. Haifa	1 - 2	Villarreal
Panathinaikos	2 - 0	Villarreal
Anderlecht	1 - 1	Villarreal
Lech Poznan	3 - 0	Villarreal
Austria Wien	0 - 1	Villarreal
Beer Sheva	1 - 2	Villarreal
Hajduk Split	0 - 2	Villarreal
Liverpool	2 - 0	Villarreal
Bayern	1 - 1	Villarreal
Juventus	0 - 3	Villarreal
Atalanta	2 - 3	Villarreal
Young Boys	1 - 4	Villarreal
Man Utd	2 - 1	Villarreal
Arsenal	0 - 0	Villarreal
D. Zagreb	0 - 1	Villarreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Villarreal	1 - 2	Ajax
H	Villarreal	2 - 3	Kobenhavn
A	Villarreal	0 - 4	Dortmund
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Paphos
H	Villarreal	0 - 2	Man City
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Juventus
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Spurs
H	Villarreal	3 - 1	Marseille
A	Villarreal	0 - 4	Marseille
A	Villarreal	3 - 2	Rennes
H	Villarreal	0 - 0	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	3 - 2	Panathinaikos
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	1 - 0	Rennes
A	Villarreal	0 - 2	Panathinaikos
H	Villarreal	0 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	1 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	0 - 3	Lech Poznan
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Beer Sheva
A	Villarreal	1 - 0	Austria Wien

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Bayer Leverkusen in their meeting with Villarreal, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 29 consecutive Champions League games.

	Leverkusen 20th	Villarreal 35th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-9 Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Villarreal have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

better

B04

VIL

view stats

Games scored	16		14
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	34		34
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.7
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.8
KickOff rating		+9%

better

B04

VIL

view stats

Games conceded	13		14
Clean sheets	7		6
Conceded first	8		8
Goals conceded	30		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.5
KickOff rating		+2%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Leverkusen v Villarreal will show here when available.

Leverkusen Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	3
A Grimaldo	A Grimaldo	I Maza	E Tapsoba

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Badé DEF	7			-
A Grimaldo DEF	7	3	1	1 -
I Maza MID	7		2	1 -
A García MID	7	2		1 -
E Poku FWD	7			1 -
C. Kofane FWD	7	1	1	2 -
M Flekken GLK	6			-
J Quansah DEF	6			-
M Tillman MID	6			1 -
E Tapsoba DEF	5			3 -
Arthur DEF	5			-
P Schick FWD	5	2		-
E Fernández MID	4			-
R Andrich MID	4			1
E Seghir FWD	4			-
J Belocian DEF	2			-
L Vázquez DEF	2			1 -
N Tella FWD	2			-
J Blaswich GLK	1			-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	1			-
M. Amare Culbreath FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	4
A Grimaldo	A Grimaldo	I Maza	I Maza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Grimaldo DEF	3	6	1	2
A García MID	2	2
P Schick FWD	2	5
C. Kofane FWD	1	4	1
L Badé DEF		1		1
I Maza MID		1	2	4
E Poku FWD		2		1
J Quansah DEF		1		1
M Tillman MID		1
Arthur DEF				1
E Fernández MID				1
R Andrich MID		1
L Vázquez DEF		1
N Tella FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
527	21	37
A García	A Grimaldo	A Grimaldo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A García MID	527	8	14
L Badé DEF	400	11	27
A Grimaldo DEF	375	21	37
E Tapsoba DEF	353	6	19
J Quansah DEF	339	3	19
E Fernández MID	245	6	16
R Andrich MID	201	2	8
M Flekken GLK	179	1	2
I Maza MID	165	11	27
E Poku FWD	155	10	22
M Tillman MID	149	10	18
Arthur DEF	86	3	9
L Vázquez DEF	75	2	8
J Belocian DEF	64	2	3
C. Kofane FWD	59	5	14
E Seghir FWD	52	1	6
P Schick FWD	50	2	21
J Blaswich GLK	38
N Tella FWD	9
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	9		4
M. Amare Culbreath FWD	4

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	1	3
R Veiga	T Oluwaseyi	N Pépé	S Mouriño

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Veiga DEF	7	1		2 -
S Cardona DEF	7			-
S Comesaña MID	7	1		1 -
A Moleiro FWD	7			1 -
N Pépé FWD	7		1	-
S Mouriño DEF	6			3 -
P Gueye MID	6			3 -
D Parejo MID	6			-
G Mikautadze FWD	6	1		-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	6	2		-
T Buchanan FWD	6			-
L Júnior GLK	5			-
A Pedraza DEF	5		1	2 -
A Pérez FWD	5			-
J Foyth DEF	4			1
R Marín DEF	4		1	1 -
T Partey MID	4			1 -
A Tenas GLK	2			-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF	2			-
G Moreno FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	4
T Oluwaseyi	N Pépé	N Pépé	N Pépé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Oluwaseyi FWD	2	3
R Veiga DEF	1	2
S Comesaña MID	1	3		2
G Mikautadze FWD	1	1
S Cardona DEF		2		2
A Moleiro FWD		1		2
N Pépé FWD		5	1	4
S Mouriño DEF				1
P Gueye MID		4		1
T Buchanan FWD		1
A Pedraza DEF		1	1
A Pérez FWD		1		2
R Marín DEF		2	1	1
T Partey MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
401	31	51
R Veiga	S Mouriño	S Mouriño

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Veiga DEF	401	7	19
S Mouriño DEF	261	31	51
P Gueye MID	249	13	37
S Comesaña MID	211	6	24
J Foyth DEF	203	7	15
R Marín DEF	186	5	14
N Pépé FWD	169	11	33
S Cardona DEF	150	8	17
D Parejo MID	109	4	6
A Pedraza DEF	101	6	11
T Partey MID	100	5	7
L Júnior GLK	87		4
A Moleiro FWD	75		8
A Tenas GLK	74
T Buchanan FWD	73	4	23
P. Navarro Badenes DEF	66	4	7
G Mikautadze FWD	57	3	11
A Pérez FWD	57	2	18
T Oluwaseyi FWD	37	1	13
G Moreno FWD	21		5