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Napoli v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Jan, 20:00 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Antonio Conte welcomes Liam Rosenior to the San Paolo on Wednesday night, as their Napoli and Chelsea troops do battle in the Champions League. For each and every Champions League match, KickOff delves into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Champions League clash, with Napoli and Chelsea going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

Napoli 1-1 Chelsea is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 8% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Napoli 38%	2.50	2.60
Draw 22%	3.50	3.75 1%
Chelsea 40%	2.63	2.50
Draw 1-1 8%	-	7.50
Chelsea 2-1 8%	-	9.00
Napoli 2-1 8%	-	9.50
Draw 2-2 7%	-	10.00 5%
Chelsea 3-1 5%	-	15.00
Napoli 3-1 5%	-	15.00
Chelsea 1-0 5%	-	11.00 8%
Chelsea 3-2 5%	-	17.00
Napoli 1-0 4%	-	11.00 8%
Napoli 3-2 4%	-	17.00
Chelsea 2-0 4%	-	13.00 13%
Napoli 2-0 4%	-	13.00 13%
Draw 3-3 3%	-	26.00 13%
Chelsea 3-0 3%	-	21.00
Napoli 3-0 2%	-	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	1.67	1.50 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	2.20	2.45 2%
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	1.91
Away 1st Goal 50%	-	1.95
No 1st Goal 1%	-	13.00
BTTS - Yes 71%	-	1.48 3%
BTTS - No 29%	-	2.60 1%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	-	3.90 3%
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	4.20 5%
BTTS - Away Win 27%	-	3.80 1%
Home/draw 60%	-	1.50
Away/draw 62%	-	1.50
Home/away 78%	-	1.25 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%	-	1.15 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 12%	-	4.80 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%	-	2.25 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 49%	-	1.60 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%	-	3.80 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 69%	-	1.22 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	-	7.00 8%
Under 5.5 Goals 83%	-	1.08 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	-	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	13.00 13%
Home DNB 53%	-	1.85
Away DNB 55%	-	1.83
Napoli win to nil 13%	-	-
Chelsea win to nil 14%	-	-
Napoli / Napoli 20%	-	3.80
Napoli / Chelsea 4%	-	19.00
Napoli / Draw 7%	-	11.00
Draw / Napoli 12%	-	6.50
Draw / Chelsea 13%	-	6.00 8%
Draw / Draw 13%	-	6.00
Chelsea / Napoli 4%	-	19.00
Chelsea / Chelsea 20%	-	3.75
Chelsea / Draw 7%	-	11.00

Correct score Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Napoli Chelsea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	7	7	0	0	18	21	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	7	6	0	1	13	18	-	-	-	l 3-1A
3	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	11	15	-	-	-	-
4	Liverpool	7	5	0	2	6	15	-	-	-	-
5	Spurs	7	4	2	1	8	14	-	-	-	-
6	PSG	7	4	1	2	10	13	-	-	-	-
7	Newcastle	7	4	1	2	10	13	-	-	-	-
8	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	6	13	Jan 28	-	-	-
9	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	5	13	-	-	w 3-0F	-
10	S. Lisbon	7	4	1	2	5	13	w 2-1F	-	-	-
11	Man City	7	4	1	2	4	13	-	l 2-0A	-	-
12	A.Madrid	7	4	1	2	3	13	-	-	-	-
13	Atalanta	7	4	1	2	1	13	-	-	-	l 2-1F
14	Inter	7	4	0	3	6	12	-	-	-	-
15	Juventus	7	3	3	1	4	12	-	-	-	-
16	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	4	11	-	-	-	-
17	Galatasaray	7	3	1	3	0	10	-	-	-	-
18	Qarabag	7	3	1	3	-2	10	w 2-0F	-	-	d 2-2F
19	Marseille	7	3	0	4	0	9	-	-	-	-
20	Leverkusen	7	2	3	2	-4	9	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	7	2	3	2	-6	9	-	-	-	-
22	PSV	7	2	2	3	1	8	-	l 6-2F	-	-
23	A.Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-4	8	-	-	-	-
24	Olympiakos	7	2	2	3	-5	8	-	-	-	-
25	Napoli	7	2	2	3	-5	8	-	-	-	Jan 28
26	Kobenhavn	7	2	2	3	-6	8	-	d 1-1F	-	-
27	Brugge	7	2	1	4	-5	7	-	-	-	-
28	Bodø	7	1	3	3	-2	6	-	-	-	-
29	Benfica	7	2	0	5	-4	6	-	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	-
30	Paphos	7	1	3	3	-6	6	-	-	w 1-0F	-
31	Union SG	7	2	0	5	-10	6	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	7	2	0	5	-12	6	-	-	w 5-1F	-
33	E.Frankfurt	7	1	1	5	-9	4	d 0-00-0	-	-	-
34	Slavia	7	0	3	4	-11	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	7	0	1	6	-10	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	7	0	1	6	-14	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
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Correct score form

Home

Overall

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

Away

Overall

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 21 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Napoli on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Napoli 23rd	Chelsea 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Napoli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

NAP

CHE

25%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		18
Failed to score	6		1
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	25		35
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		2
KickOff rating		+25%

11%

better

NAP

CHE

view stats

Games conceded	11		12
Clean sheets	9		7
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	20		22
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+11%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Napoli v Chelsea will show here when available.

Napoli Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	4	2	2
V Milinković-Savić	S McTominay	K Bruyne	G Lorenzo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Milinković-Savić GLK	7			-
S McTominay MID	7	4		-
A Buongiorno DEF	6			-
G Lorenzo DEF	6			1 1
J Jesus DEF	6			-
E Elmas MID	6		1	-
R Höjlund FWD	6	2		1 -
D Neres FWD	6		1	-
M Politano FWD	6			1 -
N Lang FWD	6			2 -
M Olivera DEF	5			-
L Spinazzola DEF	5		1	1 -
S Beukema DEF	5			-
S Lobotka MID	5			-
L Lucca FWD	5			1
M Gutiérrez DEF	4			1 -
F Anguissa MID	4			-
A Rrahmani DEF	3			2 -
K Bruyne MID	3		2	-
A Vergara MID	3			1 -
B Gilmour MID	3			-
G Ambrosino FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	6	2	3
S McTominay	S McTominay	K Bruyne	M Politano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S McTominay MID	4	6		1
R Höjlund FWD	2	4
A Buongiorno DEF		2		1
G Lorenzo DEF				1
E Elmas MID		2	1	2
D Neres FWD		3	1	1
M Politano FWD		1		3
N Lang FWD		1
M Olivera DEF		2
L Spinazzola DEF			1	1
S Beukema DEF		1
F Anguissa MID				1
K Bruyne MID			2	2
A Vergara MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
354	10	34
A Buongiorno	A Buongiorno	S McTominay

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Buongiorno DEF	354	10	28
S Lobotka MID	329	8	15
G Lorenzo DEF	318	4	13
S McTominay MID	293	9	34
A Rrahmani DEF	248	5	15
S Beukema DEF	247	3	11
V Milinković-Savić GLK	242		3
J Jesus DEF	218	7	9
E Elmas MID	160	5	17
M Gutiérrez DEF	159	5	12
L Spinazzola DEF	153	3	8
F Anguissa MID	148	3	22
M Politano FWD	143	4	9
M Olivera DEF	102	8	11
R Höjlund FWD	96	2	17
D Neres FWD	91	3	11
N Lang FWD	84	4	21
K Bruyne MID	79	4	11
B Gilmour MID	66
L Lucca FWD	21	3	8
A Vergara MID	21	5	11
G Ambrosino FWD	9	1	1

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	2
E Fernández	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	R James	E Fernández

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Fernández MID	7	1	1	2 -
M Caicedo MID	7	2		1 -
R Sánchez GLK	6			-
M Cucurella DEF	6			-
R James DEF	6		2	1 -
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	6	3		1 -
A Garnacho FWD	6	1		-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	6		1	1 -
M Gusto DEF	5		1	1 -
T Chalobah DEF	5			1 -
J Pedro FWD	5	1		1 1
P Neto FWD	5			1 -
J. Acheampong DEF	4			-
T Adarabioyo DEF	4			1 -
W Fofana DEF	4		1	-
A Santos MID	4		2	2 -
T. George FWD	4	1		-
J Hato DEF	3			-
B Badiashile DEF	3			-
L Delap FWD	3	1		-
F Jörgensen GLK	2			-
R Lavia MID	2			-
C Palmer MID	1	1		-
M Guiu FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	R James	E Fernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	3	7		1
M Caicedo MID	2	5		1
E Fernández MID	1	3	1	3
A Garnacho FWD	1	5		1
J Pedro FWD	1	2
T. George FWD	1	2
L Delap FWD	1	1
C Palmer MID	1	1		1
M Guiu FWD	1	2
R Sánchez GLK				1
R James DEF		2	2	1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	1	1
M Gusto DEF			1
P Neto FWD		3
J. Acheampong DEF		1		1
W Fofana DEF			1	2
A Santos MID			2	1
J Hato DEF		1
B Badiashile DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
444	19	29
M Caicedo	M Caicedo	E Fernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Caicedo MID	444	19	28
E Fernández MID	283	6	29
T Chalobah DEF	278	1	10
B Badiashile DEF	278	4	6
R James DEF	266	6	12
M Cucurella DEF	236	17	29
W Fofana DEF	236	2	8
T Adarabioyo DEF	212	5	8
R Sánchez GLK	199		3
J Hato DEF	187	5	14
M Gusto DEF	167	8	15
P Neto FWD	142	4	18
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	129	5	22
A Santos MID	126	5	8
A Garnacho FWD	113	7	18
J. Acheampong DEF	107	5	9
J Pedro FWD	89	2	16
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	72	4	20
R Lavia MID	53	2	2
T. George FWD	49	1	2
C Palmer MID	27	1	3
F Jörgensen GLK	20
L Delap FWD	18	1	4
M Guiu FWD	3