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PSV v Atletico de Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 9th Dec, 20:00 BST, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

the Philips Stadion masses welcome Atletico de Madrid's supporters on Tuesday night, as Peter Bosz's PSV go head to head with Diego Pablo Simeone's troops in the Champions League. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

PSV may feel optimistic ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might A.Madrid. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear winner in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSV
32%
11/52/1
Draw
23%
5/214/5
A.Madrid
45%
6/56/5
Draw 1-1
10%
6/113/2
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/115/2
PSV 2-1
7%
11/19/1
A.Madrid 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/110/1
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
12/111/1
PSV 1-0
6%
12/110/1
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
14/112/1
PSV 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/112/1
A.Madrid 3-2
4%
20/116/1
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
20/116/1
PSV 3-1
4%
20/116/1
PSV 3-2
3%
25/118/1
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
4/74/7
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
11/813/10
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/1011/10
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/54/5
No 1st Goal
2%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/158/15
BTTS - No
37%
11/811/8
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/110/3
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/413/5
Home/draw
55%
4/613/20
Away/draw
68%
4/112/5
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/62/11
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/117/5
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/87/5
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/78/15
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/33/1
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/91/5
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
Home DNB
48%
5/423/20
Away DNB
61%
4/78/13
PSV win to nil
13%
11/2-
A.Madrid win to nil
20%
7/2-
PSV / PSV
17%
15/47/2
PSV / A.Madrid
4%
20/116/1
PSV / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / PSV
11%
13/26/1
Draw / A.Madrid
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
A.Madrid / PSV
3%
25/120/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
24%
5/223/10
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
PSV
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal55001315 
-
-
-
l
 
4-0A
2
PSG54011112 
-
-
-
-
3
Bayern5401912 
Jan 28
-
-
-
4
Inter5401912 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
-
5
Real Madrid5401712 
-
-
-
-
6
Dortmund5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Chelsea5311610 
-
-
-
-
8
S. Lisbon5311610 
-
-
-
-
9
Man City5311510 
-
-
-
-
10
Atalanta5311110 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle530279 
-
Jan 21
-
-
12
A.Madrid530229 
Dec 9
-
-
-
13
Liverpool530229 
-
w
 
1-4F
-
l
 
3-2A
14
Galatasaray530219 
-
-
-
Jan 21
15
PSV522158 
-
-
-
Dec 9
16
Spurs522138 
-
-
-
-
17
Leverkusen5221-28 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
-
18
Barcelona521227 
-
-
-
-
19
Qarabag5212-17 
-
-
-
-
20
Napoli5212-37 
w
 
6-2A
-
-
-
21
Marseille520326 
-
-
-
-
22
Juventus513106 
-
-
-
-
23
Monaco5131-26 
-
-
-
-
24
Paphos5131-36 
-
-
-
-
25
Union SG5203-76 
l
 
1-3A
-
w
 
3-1F
-
26
Brugge5113-54 
-
-
-
-
27
A.Bilbao5113-54 
-
-
-
-
28
E.Frankfurt5113-74 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
-
29
Kobenhavn5113-74 
-
-
-
-
30
Benfica5104-43 
-
-
-
-
31
Slavia5032-63 
-
-
-
-
32
Bodø5023-42 
-
-
Jan 28
-
33
Olympiakos5023-82 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
-
34
Villarreal5014-81 
-
-
-
-
35
Kairat Almaty5014-101 
-
-
-
-
36
Ajax5005-150 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
A.Madrid have lost 3 consecutive away european games
PSV 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV6 - 2Napoli
PSV1 - 3Union SG
PSV1 - 7Arsenal
PSV2 - 1Juventus
PSV3 - 2Liverpool
PSV3 - 2Shakhtar
PSV4 - 0Girona
PSV1 - 1S. Lisbon
PSV1 - 1Dortmund
PSV1 - 1Arsenal
PSV1 - 0Lens
PSV2 - 2Sevilla
PSV5 - 1Rangers
PSV4 - 1Sturm Graz
PSV2 - 0Sevilla
PSV2 - 0Arsenal
PSV5 - 0Zurich
PSV1 - 1Bodø
PSV0 - 1Rangers
PSV2 - 2Monaco
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSV4 - 1Liverpool
APSV1 - 1Olympiakos
HPSV6 - 2Napoli
APSV1 - 1Leverkusen
HPSV1 - 3Union SG
APSV2 - 2Arsenal
HPSV1 - 7Arsenal
HPSV2 - 1Juventus
APSV1 - 2Juventus
HPSV3 - 2Liverpool
APSV3 - 2Red Star Bel.
APSV0 - 1Brest
HPSV3 - 2Shakhtar
HPSV4 - 0Girona
APSV1 - 1PSG
HPSV1 - 1S. Lisbon
APSV1 - 3Juventus
APSV0 - 2Dortmund
HPSV1 - 1Dortmund
HPSV1 - 1Arsenal
A.Madrid 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal4 - 0A.Madrid
Liverpool3 - 2A.Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Salzburg1 - 4A.Madrid
Sparta0 - 6A.Madrid
PSG1 - 2A.Madrid
Benfica4 - 0A.Madrid
Dortmund4 - 2A.Madrid
Inter1 - 0A.Madrid
Feyenoord1 - 3A.Madrid
Celtic2 - 2A.Madrid
Lazio1 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Brugge2 - 0A.Madrid
Leverkusen2 - 0A.Madrid
Man City1 - 0A.Madrid
Man Utd0 - 1A.Madrid
Porto1 - 3A.Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0A.Madrid
Milan1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid3 - 1Union SG
AA.Madrid0 - 4Arsenal
HA.Madrid5 - 1E.Frankfurt
AA.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
HA.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
AA.Madrid2 - 1PSG
HA.Madrid1 - 3Lille
AA.Madrid0 - 4Benfica
HA.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at PSV since 2008
PSV
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
0
4
Games: Scored
0 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
3 / 3
D
1
ATM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSV
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3A.Madrid
League games at A.Madrid since 2008
A.Madrid
PSV
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
ATM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for PSV in their meeting with Atletico de Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 100 consecutive Champions League matches.

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 15 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against PSV on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

PSV 15th A.Madrid 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that PSV will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
PSV have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
+17
A.Madrid have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
PSV
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
10%
better
PSV
ATM
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score1
1
Scored first13
17
Goals scored57
39
Avg. goals scored2.9
2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for23
18
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
PSV
ATM
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first6
2
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSV v A.Madrid will show here when available.

PSV Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
M KovářC DriouechG TilI Saibari
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kovář GLK5
-
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis DEF5
1
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF5
-
I Saibari MID52
2
-
J Veerman MID51
1
-
J Schouten MID5
-
G Til MID512
1
-
I Perisic FWD51
1
-
D Man FWD52
-
S Dest DEF41
-
M Júnior DEF42
-
C Driouech FWD431
1
-
R Pepi FWD422
-
R Flamingo DEF3
-
A Obispo DEF3
-
P Wanner MID3
-
E Bajraktarevic FWD3
-
M Boadu FWD2
-
R Bommel FWD11
-
A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
P BarriosM LlorenteJ ÁlvarezR Normand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Gallagher MID51
-
Koke MID5
-
P Barrios MID5
-
A Griezmann FWD511
-
G Simeone FWD511
-
J Oblak GLK4
-
R Normand DEF41
2
-
N Molina DEF4
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
-
M Llorente DEF43
-
N González FWD4
-
J Álvarez FWD432
-
A Sörloth FWD4
-
Álex Baena FWD4
-
J Giménez DEF31
1
-
D Hancko DEF3
-
M Pubill DEF2
-
C Lenglet DEF2
2
-
T Almada FWD21
-
G Raspadori FWD211
-
J Musso GLK1
-
J Galán DEF1
-
Johnny MID1
-
C Martín FWD1
-