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FK Qarabag v Newcastle United : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 18th Feb, 17:45 BST, Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku

FK Qarabag are in Champions League action on Wednesday evening, as Qurban Qurbanov attempts to outsmart Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)). We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Champions League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Newcastle to win

Claiming a victory away from home the Champions League is always cause for celebration, and we predict Eddie Howe and his Newcastle charges will end the game jubilant at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)) on Wednesday evening. The statistics below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, suggest they have a great chance of delivering, and the bookies odds do too. You can get best odds of 1.40 on Newcastle to win. We think it's well worth backing.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 68% chance of Newcastle coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Qarabag 13%	7.00	7.00
Draw 19%	4.75	4.80
Newcastle 68%	1.40	1.44
Newcastle 2-0 11%	7.00	7.00
Newcastle 1-0 10%	7.50	7.00
Newcastle 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Draw 1-1 9%	9.00	8.50
Newcastle 3-0 8%	9.50	9.00
Newcastle 3-1 7%	11.00	10.00
Draw 0-0 5%	15.00	13.00
Newcastle 4-0 5%	17.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	17.00
Qarabag 1-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Newcastle 4-1 4%	21.00	17.00
Qarabag 2-1 4%	21.00	17.00
Newcastle 3-2 3%	23.00	21.00
Newcastle 5-0 2%	34.00	26.00
Newcastle 5-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	1.67	1.65
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	2.20	2.15
Home 1st Goal 38%	3.10	3.40
Away 1st Goal 59%	1.40	1.36
No 1st Goal 3%	15.00	12.00
BTTS - Yes 51%	1.95	1.91
BTTS - No 49%	1.80	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 7%	12.00	11.00
BTTS - Draw 14%	6.00	5.75
BTTS - Away Win 30%	3.10	3.00
Home/draw 32%	2.75	2.80
Away/draw 87%	1.10	1.10
Home/away 81%	1.18	1.18
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1.22	1.20
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	4.33	4.20
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	2.75	2.60
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1.44	1.44
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	5.00	4.60
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1.17	1.17
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	10.00	8.50
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1.06	1.06
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	15.00	12.00
Home DNB 26%	5.50	5.00
Away DNB 81%	1.14	1.14
Qarabag win to nil 6%	13.00	-
Newcastle win to nil 38%	2.25	-
Qarabag / Qarabag 7%	13.00	9.50
Qarabag / Newcastle 4%	21.00	17.00
Qarabag / Draw 5%	19.00	15.00
Draw / Qarabag 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Newcastle 19%	4.00	4.33
Draw / Draw 12%	7.00	6.50
Newcastle / Qarabag 2%	41.00	34.00
Newcastle / Newcastle 40%	2.05	2.00
Newcastle / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Qarabag have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Qarabag are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won zero. Qarabag have conceded 8 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Qarabag have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Newcastle lay in 12th place on 14 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Qarabag Newcastle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	-	-	-	-
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	-	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	-	-	-
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	-	-	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	-	-
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	Feb 18	Feb 24	-	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	-	-	-	-
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	-
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	-	-	-	-
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	-	Feb 24	Feb 18
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	-	-	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	-	-	-
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	-	-	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	-
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	-	-	-	-
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	-	-	-
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	-	-	-	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Qarabag	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
Qarabag	2 - 4	Ajax
Qarabag	2 - 2	Chelsea
Qarabag	2 - 0	Kobenhavn
Qarabag	2 - 3	Ferencvaros
Qarabag	5 - 1	Skendija 79
Qarabag	1 - 0	Shelbourne
Qarabag	2 - 3	FCSB
Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
Qarabag	1 - 2	Malmö
Qarabag	0 - 2	D. Zagreb
Qarabag	1 - 2	Ludogorets
Qarabag	5 - 0	Lincoln Red Imps
Qarabag	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Qarabag	0 - 2	Braga
Qarabag	2 - 1	Häcken
Qarabag	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Qarabag	1 - 0	Molde
Qarabag	1 - 1	Olimpija

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Qarabag	0 - 6	Liverpool
H	Qarabag	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	Qarabag	2 - 4	Ajax
A	Qarabag	0 - 2	Napoli
H	Qarabag	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Qarabag	1 - 3	A.Bilbao
H	Qarabag	2 - 0	Kobenhavn
A	Qarabag	3 - 2	Benfica
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	Ferencvaros
A	Qarabag	3 - 1	Ferencvaros
H	Qarabag	5 - 1	Skendija 79
A	Qarabag	1 - 0	Skendija 79
H	Qarabag	1 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	3 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	Olympiakos
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	FCSB
A	Qarabag	0 - 1	Elfsborg
H	Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
A	Qarabag	2 - 1	Bodø
H	Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 19

Conceded

10 / 19

Clean sheets

9 / 19

Failed to score

7 / 19

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
Leverkusen	2 - 2	Newcastle
Marseille	2 - 1	Newcastle
Union SG	0 - 4	Newcastle
PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
Dortmund	2 - 0	Newcastle
Milan	0 - 0	Newcastle
Benfica	3 - 1	Newcastle
Anzhi Mak	0 - 0	Newcastle
Metalist	0 - 1	Newcastle
Bordeaux	2 - 0	Newcastle
Brugge	2 - 2	Newcastle
Maratimo	0 - 0	Newcastle
AZ Alkmaar	2 - 0	Newcastle
Z.Waregem	1 - 3	Newcastle
E.Frankfurt	0 - 0	Newcastle
Palermo	0 - 1	Newcastle
Levadia	0 - 1	Newcastle
Ventspils	0 - 1	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	PSG
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	PSV
A	Newcastle	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Newcastle	1 - 2	Marseille
H	Newcastle	2 - 0	A.Bilbao
H	Newcastle	3 - 0	Benfica
A	Newcastle	4 - 0	Union SG
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Barcelona
H	Newcastle	1 - 2	Milan
A	Newcastle	1 - 1	PSG
A	Newcastle	0 - 2	Dortmund
H	Newcastle	0 - 1	Dortmund
H	Newcastle	4 - 1	PSG
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Milan
H	Newcastle	1 - 1	Benfica
A	Newcastle	1 - 3	Benfica
H	Newcastle	1 - 0	Anzhi Mak
A	Newcastle	0 - 0	Anzhi Mak
A	Newcastle	1 - 0	Metalist
H	Newcastle	0 - 0	Metalist

Goal Statistics

FK Qarabag have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive Champions League games. This run could continue, with Newcastle United's PG an impressive 2.2.

	Qarabag 22nd	Newcastle 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Qarabag scoring 1 goal or less	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 18% There is a 65% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Qarabag’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Newcastle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

better

FKQ

NEW

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

FKQ

NEW

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Qarabag v Newcastle will show here when available.

Qarabag Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	6	3	4
M Silva	L Andrade	A Zoubir	M Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Cafarquliyev DEF	14		2	-
M Silva DEF	14	1	1	4 -
B Mustafazada DEF	14	1	1	-
P Bicalho MID	14		1	1 -
A Zoubir FWD	14	2	3	-
L Andrade FWD	14	6	2	-
M Kochalski GLK	13			1 -
K Medina DEF	13	1		4 -
E Addai FWD	13	1		-
N Akhundzade FWD	12	2	2	2 -
M Jankovic MID	11	3	2	2 -
K Borges MID	10	1	2	1 -
O Kashchuk FWD	10	2		1 -
M Qurbanly FWD	9	1		-
D Bolt DEF	8			1 -
C. Durán Marquez FWD	8	4	1	1 -
Chriso MID	6			-
J Montiel MID	3			-
S Mmaee DEF	2			-
F Buntic GLK	1			-
A Hüseynov DEF	1			-
H. Cəbrayılzadə MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	8	3	3
L Andrade	C. Durán Marquez	A Zoubir	E Cafarquliyev

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Andrade FWD	6	5	2	2
C. Durán Marquez FWD	4	8	1
M Jankovic MID	3	3	2	1
A Zoubir FWD	2	3	3	1
N Akhundzade FWD	2	1	2	2
O Kashchuk FWD	2	4
M Silva DEF	1	3	1	1
B Mustafazada DEF	1	1	1	1
K Medina DEF	1	1
E Addai FWD	1	5		1
K Borges MID	1	2	2	3
M Qurbanly FWD	1	1
E Cafarquliyev DEF			2	3
P Bicalho MID		1	1
J Montiel MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
499	23	68
K Medina	M Silva	M Silva

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Medina DEF	499	18	55
M Jankovic MID	458	16	52
A Zoubir FWD	440	7	41
P Bicalho MID	427	18	29
E Cafarquliyev DEF	372	13	32
B Mustafazada DEF	369	10	24
M Kochalski GLK	334		5
M Silva DEF	320	23	68
K Borges MID	165	7	29
L Andrade FWD	160	8	16
E Addai FWD	124	5	30
J Montiel MID	83		11
C. Durán Marquez FWD	61	9	19
N Akhundzade FWD	45		16
O Kashchuk FWD	40	3	16
D Bolt DEF	27	4	11
S Mmaee DEF	18		1
M Qurbanly FWD	8
Chriso MID	4		1

Newcastle Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	6	2	2
M Thiaw	A Gordon	A Gordon	M Thiaw

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Thiaw DEF	8			2 -
H Barnes FWD	8	5	1	-
N Woltemade FWD	8	1		-
A Gordon FWD	8	6	2	1 -
N Pope GLK	7		1	-
D Burn DEF	7	1	1	2 -
S Tonali MID	7		1	1 -
L Miley MID	7	1		-
B Guimarães MID	7			1 -
A Elanga FWD	7			1 -
L Hall DEF	6			-
S Botman DEF	6			-
J Ramsey MID	6			-
Joelinton MID	6	1	1	2 -
K Trippier DEF	5		1	-
J Willock MID	5	1		1 -
J Murphy FWD	5		2	-
T Livramento DEF	3			-
F Schär DEF	3			-
Y Wissa FWD	3	1	1	-
W Osula FWD	2		1	-
A Ramsdale GLK	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	2	3
A Gordon	H Barnes	A Gordon	H Barnes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Gordon FWD	6	8	2	2
H Barnes FWD	5	11	1	3
N Woltemade FWD	1	2
D Burn DEF	1	4	1	2
L Miley MID	1	1
Joelinton MID	1	3	1	1
J Willock MID	1	3
Y Wissa FWD	1	1	1	1
M Thiaw DEF		2
N Pope GLK			1
S Tonali MID		4	1	2
B Guimarães MID		2
A Elanga FWD		2		2
L Hall DEF				1
S Botman DEF		2
J Ramsey MID		1
K Trippier DEF			1	1
J Murphy FWD		2	2	2
W Osula FWD			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
380	16	43
S Tonali	D Burn	D Burn

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Tonali MID	380	10	29
M Thiaw DEF	375	10	34
S Botman DEF	284	4	16
D Burn DEF	281	16	43
B Guimarães MID	273	7	24
K Trippier DEF	254	15	21
N Pope GLK	172		2
L Hall DEF	168	10	19
L Miley MID	165	8	12
A Gordon FWD	160	6	25
Joelinton MID	158	5	22
H Barnes FWD	121		11
N Woltemade FWD	105	1	20
T Livramento DEF	99	1	6
A Elanga FWD	92	3	11
J Ramsey MID	85	7	17
J Willock MID	59	4	14
J Murphy FWD	58	3	6
F Schär DEF	45	1	3
A Ramsdale GLK	23
Y Wissa FWD	15		6
W Osula FWD	3

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Galatasaray v Juventus

Benfica v Real Madrid

Tue 17th Feb, 20:00

Qarabag v Newcastle

Wed 18th Feb, 17:45

Olympiakos v Leverkusen

FK Qarabag v Newcastle United : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Qarabag have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Qarabag are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Newcastle lay in 12th place on 14 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Qarabag v Newcastle will show here when available.

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