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Real Madrid v Manchester City : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 00:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Tuesday morning at the Santiago Bernabéu, and it’s a Champions League showdown between Real Madrid and Manchester City. Álvaro Arbeloa Coca and Josep Guardiola i Sala will be doing all they can to claim the win. All of the important stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
44%
--
Draw
21%
--
Man City
35%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Man City 2-1
7%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
5%
--
Man City 3-2
4%
--
Real Madrid 2-0
4%
--
Man City 3-1
4%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
4%
--
Man City 1-0
4%
--
Man City 2-0
3%
--
Draw 3-3
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
--
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
73%
--
BTTS - No
27%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
14%
--
Man City win to nil
11%
--
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league. Real Madrid have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Real Madrid have conceded 3 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Real Madrid have played 5 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Man City lay in 8th place on 16 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man City have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
Mar 10
Mar 17
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
Mar 17
Mar 10
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Lost
7
Man City 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2012
Real Madrid
Man City
Goals: Scored
15
12
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
RMD
4
D
2
MCI
2
League games at Man City since 2012
Man City
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
RMD
1
D
3
MCI
3
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Real Madrid in their meeting with Manchester City, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 64 consecutive Champions League matches.

Manchester City have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Real Madrid on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Real Madrid 9th Man City 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Man City have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
2.1
1.8
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
MCI
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
MCI
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Man City will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
101344
A TchouameniK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID104
1
-
A Tchouameni MID101
2
-
V Junior FWD1034
2
-
T Courtois GLK91
-
F Valverde MID94
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
2
1
Álvaro Fernandez DEF8
4
-
E Camavinga MID811
1
-
K Mbappé FWD8131
1
-
B Díaz FWD81
1
-
J Bellingham MID721
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF6
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD61
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF5
-
F García DEF5
-
Rodrygo FWD511
2
1
G. García Torres FWD51
-
D Ceballos MID4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Rüdiger DEF3
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
1
-
D Carvajal DEF3
1
A Lunin GLK1
-
F Mendy DEF1
-
J. Cestero Sancho MID1
-
Man City Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7733
E HaalandE HaalandT ReijndersB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Reijnders MID83
-
E Haaland FWD87
-
G Donnarumma GLK7
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF712
2
-
N González  MID7
-
P Foden MID721
1
-
J Doku FWD713
-
R Cherki MID63
1
-
B Silva MID61
3
-
S Sávio FWD61
2
-
O Marmoush FWD6
-
J Gvardiol DEF52
-
R Dias DEF5
1
-
M Nunes MID5
-
J Stones DEF4
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
-
R Lewis DEF41
-
R Nouri DEF4
-
N Aké  DEF4
-
Rodri MID3
2
1
J Trafford GLK1
-
M. Alleyne DEF1
-
M Kovacic MID1
-