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FC Porto v Malmo FF : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Malmo FF are on the road on Thursday night, as manager Anes Mravac takes his team to visit FC Porto and Francesco Farioli at the Estádio do Dragão in the Europa League. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

A Europa League win on home turf for Francesco Farioli's Porto side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Porto win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Porto 79%	1/5	2/9
Draw 14%	9/2	11/2
Malmö 7%	12/1	11/1
Porto 2-0 14%	5/1	19/4
Porto 3-0 12%	6/1	6/1
Porto 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Porto 2-1 8%	9/1	15/2
Porto 4-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Porto 3-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw 1-1 7%	10/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 4%	12/1	12/1
Porto 4-1 4%	16/1	16/1
Porto 5-0 4%	18/1	16/1
Malmö 1-0 3%	28/1	20/1
Draw 2-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Porto 5-1 2%	28/1	25/1
Porto 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Malmö 2-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	8/13	8/13
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	13/10	6/5
Home 1st Goal 65%	1/4	2/9
Away 1st Goal 32%	3/1	19/5
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	12/1
BTTS - Yes 41%	5/4	11/8
BTTS - No 59%	4/7	8/15
BTTS - Home Win 29%	9/4	11/5
BTTS - Draw 10%	7/1	7/1
BTTS - Away Win 3%	25/1	18/1
Home/draw 93%	1/25	1/33
Away/draw 21%	10/3	16/5
Home/away 86%	1/7	1/9
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/5	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	13/8	6/4
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	1/2	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2	7/2
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	8/1	15/2
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/14	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	12/1	12/1
Home DNB 89%	1/20	1/25
Away DNB 17%	10/1	8/1
Porto win to nil 50%	4/5	-
Malmö win to nil 4%	20/1	-
Porto / Porto 48%	4/6	7/10
Porto / Malmö 1%	66/1	50/1
Porto / Draw 4%	20/1	18/1
Draw / Porto 21%	11/4	14/5
Draw / Malmö 4%	25/1	18/1
Draw / Draw 10%	15/2	7/1
Malmö / Porto 4%	20/1	18/1
Malmö / Malmö 4%	22/1	14/1
Malmö / Draw 3%	25/1	20/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Porto Malmö
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	5	4	0	1	9	12	-	-	-	-
2	Midtjylland	5	4	0	1	7	12	-	-	-	-
3	A Villa	5	4	0	1	5	12	-	-	-	-
4	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	-	-	-
5	Real Betis	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	-	-	-
6	Ferencvaros	5	3	2	0	4	11	-	-	-	-
7	Braga	5	3	1	1	4	10	-	-	-	-
8	Porto	5	3	1	1	3	10	-	-	-	Dec 11
9	Genk	5	3	1	1	2	10	-	-	-	Jan 29
10	Celta	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
11	Lille	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
12	Stuttgart	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
13	Plzen	5	2	3	0	4	9	-	Jan 22	-	l 3-0A
14	Panathinaikos	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	l 0-1A	-
15	Roma	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	-	-
16	Nottm Forest	5	2	2	1	4	8	-	l 2-0A	-	l 3-0A
17	PAOK	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
18	Bologna	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
19	Brann	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
20	Fenerbahce	5	2	2	1	0	8	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	-	-
22	Red Star Bel.	5	2	1	2	-1	7	w 2-1F	-	Jan 22	-
23	D. Zagreb	5	2	1	2	-3	7	-	-	d 1-1F	-
24	Basel	5	2	0	3	0	6	-	-	-	-
25	Ludogorets	5	2	0	3	-3	6	-	-	l 1-2A	-
26	Young Boys	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	-	-
27	GA Eagles	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	-	-
28	Sturm Graz	5	1	1	3	-3	4	-	-	-	-
29	Salzburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	w 0-1F	-	-
30	Feyenoord	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	-	-	-
31	FCSB	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	-	-	-
32	Utrecht	5	0	1	4	-5	1	-	d 1-1A	-	-
33	Rangers	5	0	1	4	-7	1	Jan 29	-	-	-
34	Malmö	5	0	1	4	-8	1	Dec 11	-	-	-
35	M. Tel-Aviv	5	0	1	4	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Nice	5	0	0	5	-8	0	w 3-0F	-	-	-
37	SK Sigma							-	-	w 3-0F	w 0-2F

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto	3 - 0	Nice
Porto	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Porto	1 - 1	Roma
Porto	0 - 1	Olympiakos
Porto	2 - 0	Midtjylland
Porto	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Porto	3 - 3	Man Utd
Porto	1 - 0	Arsenal
Porto	5 - 3	Shakhtar
Porto	2 - 0	Antwerp
Porto	0 - 1	Barcelona
Porto	0 - 0	Inter
Porto	2 - 1	A.Madrid
Porto	2 - 0	Leverkusen
Porto	0 - 4	Brugge
Porto	0 - 1	Lyon
Porto	2 - 1	Lazio
Porto	1 - 3	A.Madrid
Porto	1 - 0	Milan
Porto	1 - 5	Liverpool

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Porto	3 - 0	Nice
A	Porto	1 - 1	Utrecht
A	Porto	0 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Porto	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Porto	1 - 0	Salzburg
A	Porto	2 - 3	Roma
H	Porto	1 - 1	Roma
A	Porto	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Porto	0 - 1	Olympiakos
H	Porto	2 - 0	Midtjylland
A	Porto	2 - 2	Anderlecht
A	Porto	1 - 2	Lazio
H	Porto	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
H	Porto	3 - 3	Man Utd
A	Porto	2 - 3	Bodø
A	Porto	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Porto	1 - 0	Arsenal
H	Porto	5 - 3	Shakhtar
A	Porto	1 - 2	Barcelona
H	Porto	2 - 0	Antwerp

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest	3 - 0	Malmö
Plzen	3 - 0	Malmö
SK Sigma	0 - 2	Malmö
Kobenhavn	5 - 0	Malmö
Rigas Futbola Skola	1 - 4	Malmö
Saburtalo	1 - 3	Malmö
Slavia	2 - 2	Malmö
Ferencvaros	4 - 1	Malmö
Besiktas	2 - 1	Malmö
Qarabag	1 - 2	Malmö
Sparta	2 - 0	Malmö
PAOK	3 - 3	Malmö
KI Klaksvik	3 - 2	Malmö
Braga	2 - 1	Malmö
Union Berlin	1 - 0	Malmö
Union SG	3 - 2	Malmö
Sivasspor	0 - 2	Malmö
F91 Dudelange	2 - 2	Malmö
VMFD Zalgiris	1 - 0	Malmö
Víkingur	3 - 3	Malmö

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Malmö	0 - 3	Nottm Forest
H	Malmö	0 - 1	Panathinaikos
H	Malmö	1 - 1	D. Zagreb
A	Malmö	0 - 3	Plzen
H	Malmö	1 - 2	Ludogorets
A	Malmö	2 - 0	SK Sigma
H	Malmö	3 - 0	SK Sigma
A	Malmö	0 - 5	Kobenhavn
H	Malmö	0 - 0	Kobenhavn
H	Malmö	1 - 0	Rigas Futbola Skola
A	Malmö	4 - 1	Rigas Futbola Skola
H	Malmö	3 - 1	Saburtalo
A	Malmö	3 - 1	Saburtalo
A	Malmö	2 - 2	Slavia
H	Malmö	2 - 3	Twente
H	Malmö	2 - 2	Galatasaray
A	Malmö	1 - 4	Ferencvaros
A	Malmö	1 - 2	Besiktas
H	Malmö	0 - 1	Olympiakos
A	Malmö	2 - 1	Qarabag

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with Malmo FF, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Europa League games.

	Porto 8th	Malmö 34th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 20% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 24% There is a 72% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 55% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 55% probability that Malmö will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Porto have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Malmö have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

33%

better

PTO

MMO

view stats

Games scored	17		14
Failed to score	3		6
Scored first	14		7
Goals scored	39		25
Avg. goals scored	2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+33%

50%

better

PTO

MMO

view stats

Games conceded	8		15
Clean sheets	12		5
Conceded first	4		12
Goals conceded	13		34
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		6
Conversion rate against	9%		18%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+50%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Porto v Malmö will show here when available.

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	2	2
D Costa	G Veiga	Pepê	A Baio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Costa GLK	5			-
J Bednarek DEF	5			1 -
G Veiga MID	5	2		1 -
V. Froholdt MID	5		1	1 -
P Rosario MID	5			-
Pepê FWD	5		2	1 -
B Sainz FWD	5	1		1 -
A Baio DEF	4			2 -
Zaidu DEF	4			-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	4		1	1 -
R. Mora Carvalho MID	4	1		1 -
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	4	1		-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	4	2		1 -
D Gül FWD	4		1	-
F Moura DEF	3			1 -
J Kiwior DEF	3			-
S Eustaquio MID	3			-
A Varela MID	3			-
D. Prpić DEF	2			2 -
L Jong FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	2
G Veiga	G Veiga	Pepê	Pepê

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Veiga MID	2	6
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	2	3
B Sainz FWD	1	2
R. Mora Carvalho MID	1	1
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	1	1
V. Froholdt MID			1	1
P Rosario MID				1
Pepê FWD		1	2	2
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF			1
D Gül FWD		4	1	1
J Kiwior DEF		1
S Eustaquio MID		1
A Varela MID		1
D. Prpić DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
335	10	23
J Bednarek	A Baio	A Baio

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bednarek DEF	335	1	13
J Kiwior DEF	262	2	8
P Rosario MID	261	9	22
D Costa GLK	172		1
D. Prpić DEF	160	4	11
G Veiga MID	137	9	20
Zaidu DEF	136	5	10
A Baio DEF	126	10	23
Pepê FWD	111	4	15
F Moura DEF	111	3	5
A Varela MID	99	7	13
B Sainz FWD	97	5	13
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	96	6	14
S Eustaquio MID	91	3	8
V. Froholdt MID	84	3	12
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	49	4	19
R. Mora Carvalho MID	38	4	7
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	37	2	6
D Gül FWD	36		7
L Jong FWD	5		2

Malmö Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	2
J Larsen	S Haksabanovic	T Ali	P Jansson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Larsen DEF	7			-
Busanello DEF	7			1 -
P Jansson DEF	7			2 -
A Skogmar MID	7			1 -
C Rösler DEF	6			1 -
H Bolin MID	6			-
O Rosengren MID	6		1	1 -
S Haksabanovic FWD	6	2		-
E Ekong FWD	6	1		1 -
A. Đurić DEF	5			1 -
A Christiansen MID	5			2 -
L Johnsen MID	5	2	1	1 1
D Gudjohnsen FWD	5	1		1 1
R Olsen GLK	4			1 -
O Berg MID	4			-
K. Busuladzic MID	4			1 -
T Ali FWD	4		2	1 -
M Ellborg GLK	3			-
O Lewicki MID	3	1		-
S Vecchia FWD	3			1 -
S Soumah FWD	2			-
A Sigurdsson FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	3
S Haksabanovic	H Bolin	T Ali	Busanello

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Haksabanovic FWD	2	4
L Johnsen MID	2	2	1
E Ekong FWD	1	1
D Gudjohnsen FWD	1	2
O Lewicki MID	1	1
J Larsen DEF				1
Busanello DEF		2		3
P Jansson DEF		2
A Skogmar MID				1
H Bolin MID		4		1
O Rosengren MID		2	1	1
A. Đurić DEF		1		1
A Christiansen MID		1
T Ali FWD		3	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
262	10	29
P Jansson	A Skogmar	P Jansson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Jansson DEF	262	9	29
Busanello DEF	252	4	26
C Rösler DEF	245	4	16
J Larsen DEF	231	7	15
A. Đurić DEF	203	9	19
O Rosengren MID	199	4	19
A Skogmar MID	168	10	23
S Haksabanovic FWD	151	3	19
K. Busuladzic MID	126	5	14
H Bolin MID	102	6	11
M Ellborg GLK	93
R Olsen GLK	89		2
A Christiansen MID	79	1	5
L Johnsen MID	76	2	5
D Gudjohnsen FWD	52	2	18
O Berg MID	52		2
T Ali FWD	32	1	7
O Lewicki MID	30	3	4
E Ekong FWD	27		4
S Vecchia FWD	13		4
S Soumah FWD	10		1