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SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz v Red Star Belgrade : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 17:45 BST, Merkur Arena, Graz

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade go head to head at the Merkur Arena on Thursday evening, with both Jürgen Säumel and Vladan Milojević aiming for victory in the Europa League. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of impressive, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Jürgen Säumel or Vladan Milojević deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Red Star Bel. coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sturm Graz
36%
17/108/5
Draw
24%
5/211/4
Red Star Bel.
41%
7/529/20
Draw 1-1
11%
6/113/2
Red Star Bel. 2-1
9%
17/28/1
Sturm Graz 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Red Star Bel. 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Sturm Graz 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/110/1
Red Star Bel. 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Sturm Graz 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Red Star Bel. 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/112/1
Sturm Graz 3-1
4%
18/116/1
Red Star Bel. 3-2
4%
20/118/1
Sturm Graz 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Red Star Bel. 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Sturm Graz 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/138/13
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/106/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/610/11
No 1st Goal
2%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/1511/20
BTTS - No
37%
11/813/10
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/216/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/13/1
Home/draw
59%
8/158/15
Away/draw
64%
4/910/21
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/216/5
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/86/4
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/217/5
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/115/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
Home DNB
52%
1/110/11
Away DNB
57%
8/114/5
Sturm Graz win to nil
15%
9/2-
Red Star Bel. win to nil
18%
4/1-
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz
19%
10/33/1
Sturm Graz / Red Star Bel.
4%
22/118/1
Sturm Graz / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Sturm Graz
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Red Star Bel.
13%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
13%
5/119/4
Red Star Bel. / Sturm Graz
4%
22/118/1
Red Star Bel. / Red Star Bel.
21%
11/411/4
Red Star Bel. / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Sturm Graz
Red Star Bel.
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon5401912 
-
-
-
-
2
Midtjylland5401712 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
A Villa5401512 
-
-
-
-
4
Freiburg5320511 
-
-
-
-
5
Real Betis5320511 
-
-
-
-
6
Ferencvaros5320411 
-
-
-
-
7
Braga5311410 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
8
Porto5311310 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
9
Genk5311210 
-
-
-
-
10
Celta530249 
-
-
Jan 29
-
11
Lille530249 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
12
Stuttgart530249 
-
-
-
-
13
Plzen523049 
-
-
-
-
14
Panathinaikos530229 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
15
Roma530229 
-
-
-
-
16
Nottm Forest522148 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
17
PAOK522138 
-
-
-
-
18
Bologna522138 
-
-
-
-
19
Brann522138 
Jan 29
-
-
-
20
Fenerbahce522108 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic5212-17 
-
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
22
Red Star Bel.5212-17 
Dec 11
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-37 
-
-
-
-
24
Basel520306 
-
-
-
-
25
Ludogorets5203-36 
-
-
-
-
26
Young Boys5203-56 
-
-
-
-
27
GA Eagles5203-56 
-
-
-
-
28
Sturm Graz5113-34 
-
-
-
Dec 11
29
Salzburg5104-53 
-
-
-
-
30
Feyenoord5104-53 
-
Jan 22
-
-
31
FCSB5104-53 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
32
Utrecht5014-51 
-
-
-
-
33
Rangers5014-71 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
34
Malmö5014-81 
-
-
-
Jan 22
35
M. Tel-Aviv5014-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Nice5005-80 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Sturm Graz have not lost in 5 consecutive home european games
Sturm Graz 28TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
Red Star Bel. 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Red Star Belgrade on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sturm Graz 28th Red Star Bel. 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sturm Graz will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Red Star Bel. will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Sturm Graz have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
-28
Red Star Bel. have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Sturm Graz
PG (predicted goals)
Red Star Bel.
1.5
1.6
Attack rating
STU
CRV
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first12
9
Goals scored28
31
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
13%
better
STU
CRV
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded29
33
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Sturm Graz v Red Star Bel. will show here when available.

Sturm Graz Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
E AiwuT HorvatJ StankovicJ Stankovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Aiwu DEF5
1
-
E Karic DEF5
1
-
J. Hödl MID5
-
J Stankovic MID51
2
-
T Horvat MID521
-
M Malone FWD51
1
-
S Jatta FWD5
-
O Christensen GLK4
-
J. Mitchell DEF4
1
-
D Lavalée DEF4
-
F Kucharczyk MID41
-
T Chukwuani MID4
1
1
O Kiteishvili MID42
-
L Grgic FWD4
-
N Geyrhofer DEF3
-
T Oermann DEF3
1
-
A. Kayombo FWD3
1
-
A. Malic DEF2
-
S Hierländer MID2
-
B Beganovic FWD2
-
M Bignetti GLK1
-
J Beck MID1
-
Red Star Bel. Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
MatheusM Arnautovic Y SeolN Tiknizyan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK5
1
-
N Tiknizyan DEF5
2
-
Y Seol DEF51
1
-
F Uchenna DEF51
1
1
M Ivanić MID5
1
-
T Elsnik MID5
-
T Händel  MID5
-
Milson FWD5
-
B Duarte FWD51
-
M Arnautovic  FWD52
1
-
M Veljković DEF41
-
N Radonjić FWD4
1
-
V. Kostov MID31
-
A Katai MID3
1
-
R Krunic MID3
-
R Rodrigão  DEF2
-
M. Bajo MID2
-
N Stanković DEF1
-
L. Zarić FWD1
-