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France v Sweden : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 30th Jun, 22:00 BST, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Home advantage makes a difference in the World Cup, and Didier Deschamps’s France will have the luxury of it on Tuesday night. Graham Potter’s Sweden are their opponents at the MetLife Stadium. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.

Best Tip: France to win

As the France players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookies have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The MetLife Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for for Sweden in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Tuesday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think France are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
France 76%	1.25 3%	-
Draw 15%	6.00 4%	-
Sweden 9%	11.00 10%	-
France 2-0 12%	7.00	-
France 3-0 10%	8.50	-
France 1-0 10%	9.00 6%	-
France 2-1 9%	10.00 5%	-
France 3-1 8%	11.00 8%	-
Draw 1-1 7%	12.00 9%	-
France 4-0 7%	12.00 8%	-
France 4-1 5%	17.00 11%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	17.00 13%	-
France 5-0 3%	23.00	-
Draw 2-2 3%	23.00	-
Sweden 1-0 3%	29.00 12%	-
France 3-2 3%	29.00	-
Sweden 2-1 3%	29.00	-
France 5-1 2%	29.00 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	1.50 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	2.63 11%	-
Home 1st Goal 63%	1.29 1%	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	3.60 3%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	17.00 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	1.95	-
BTTS - No 52%	1.80	-
BTTS - Home Win 32%	2.75 5%	-
BTTS - Draw 11%	7.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 4%	19.00 12%	-
Home/draw 91%	1.05 1%	-
Away/draw 24%	3.75 7%	-
Home/away 85%	1.13 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1.17	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	5.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	2.30 3%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	1.62 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	4.00 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1.25 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7.00 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.10 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	17.00 13%	-
Home DNB 87%	1.07	-
Away DNB 19%	9.00	-
France win to nil 44%	2.00 5%	-
Sweden win to nil 4%	19.00 12%	-
France / France 48%	1.73 4%	-
France / Sweden 2%	51.00	-
France / Draw 4%	19.00	-
Draw / France 21%	4.00	-
Draw / Sweden 4%	23.00 10%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	9.00 6%	-
Sweden / France 4%	19.00	-
Sweden / Sweden 4%	21.00 11%	-
Sweden / Draw 4%	21.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	France	4 - 1	Norway
H	France	3 - 0	Iraq
H	France	3 - 1	Senegal
H	France	3 - 1	N Ireland
H	France	1 - 2	Cote d'Ivoire
A	France	3 - 1	Colombia
A	France	2 - 1	Brazil
A	France	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	France	4 - 0	Ukraine
A	France	2 - 2	Iceland
H	France	3 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	France	2 - 1	Iceland
A	France	2 - 0	Ukraine
A	France	2 - 0	Germany
A	France	4 - 5	Spain
H	France	2 - 0	Croatia
A	France	0 - 2	Croatia
A	France	3 - 1	Italy
H	France	0 - 0	Israel
A	France	2 - 1	Belgium

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sweden	1 - 1	Japan
A	Sweden	1 - 5	Netherlands
H	Sweden	5 - 1	Tunisia
H	Sweden	2 - 2	Greece
A	Sweden	1 - 3	Norway
H	Sweden	3 - 2	Poland
A	Sweden	3 - 1	Ukraine
H	Sweden	1 - 1	Slovenia
A	Sweden	1 - 4	Switzerland
H	Sweden	0 - 1	Kosovo
H	Sweden	0 - 2	Switzerland
A	Sweden	0 - 2	Kosovo
A	Sweden	2 - 2	Slovenia
H	Sweden	4 - 3	Algeria
A	Sweden	2 - 0	Hungary
H	Sweden	5 - 1	N Ireland
A	Sweden	0 - 1	Luxembourg
H	Sweden	6 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Sweden	2 - 1	Slovakia
A	Sweden	3 - 0	Estonia

Goal Statistics

France's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 9 consecutive World Cup matches. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

	France	Sweden
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 20% 2 25% 3 22% 4+ 25% There is a 72% probability that France will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Sweden scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

FRA

SWE

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

FRA

SWE

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between France v Sweden will show here when available.

France World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	4	4	1
M Maignan	K Mbappé	M Olise	A Tchouameni

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Maignan GLK	3			-
J Koundé DEF	3			-
D Upamecano DEF	3			-
R Cherki MID	3			-
M Olise FWD	3		4	-
K Mbappé FWD	3	4	2	-
B Barcola FWD	3	1	1	-
O Dembélé FWD	3	4	1	-
D Doué FWD	3	1		-
T Hernández DEF	2			-
M Gusto DEF	2			-
W Saliba DEF	2			-
M Koné MID	2			-
A Tchouameni MID	2		1	1 -
A Rabiot MID	2		1	-
I Konaté DEF	1			-
L Digne DEF	1			-
M Lacroix DEF	1			-
J Mateta FWD	1			-
M Thuram FWD	1			-
M Akliouche FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	4	3
K Mbappé	K Mbappé	M Olise	M Olise

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Mbappé FWD	4	9	2
O Dembélé FWD	4	5	1	1
B Barcola FWD	1	1	1	1
D Doué FWD	1	4
J Koundé DEF				1
D Upamecano DEF				1
M Olise FWD		2	4	3
M Koné MID		1
A Tchouameni MID			1
A Rabiot MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
204	11	18
D Upamecano	A Tchouameni	A Tchouameni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Upamecano DEF	204	7	16
J Koundé DEF	157	9	14
M Olise FWD	142	3	15
A Tchouameni MID	138	11	18
W Saliba DEF	136	1	5
M Koné MID	128	5	8
A Rabiot MID	123	1	4
O Dembélé FWD	118	2	6
D Doué FWD	97	3	9
T Hernández DEF	93	2	8
K Mbappé FWD	88	1	7
M Maignan GLK	70		1
L Digne DEF	60		1
R Cherki MID	50	1	3
B Barcola FWD	48	2	9
M Lacroix DEF	46	2	3
M Gusto DEF	17
I Konaté DEF	12		1
M Akliouche FWD	8	1	1

Sweden World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	2	3	1
G Gudmundsson	Y Ayari	A Isak	G Gudmundsson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Gudmundsson DEF	3			1 -
I Hien DEF	3			1 -
V Lindelöf DEF	3			-
G Lagerbielke DEF	3			-
E Stroud MID	3			-
Y Ayari MID	3	2		1 -
L Bergvall MID	3		1	1 -
B Nygren MID	3			-
V Gyökeres FWD	3	1	2	1 -
A Bernhardsson FWD	3			-
A Elanga FWD	3	2		-
A Isak FWD	3	1	3	-
K Nordfeldt GLK	2			-
D Svensson DEF	2			-
J Karlström MID	2			-
J Zetterström GLK	1			-
C Starfelt DEF	1			-
K Sema DEF	1			-
B Zeneli MID	1			-
M Svanberg MID	1	1		-
T Ali FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	3	3
Y Ayari	V Gyökeres	A Isak	V Gyökeres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Ayari MID	2	3		1
A Elanga FWD	2	3
V Gyökeres FWD	1	5	2	3
A Isak FWD	1	5	3	3
M Svanberg MID	1	1
G Lagerbielke DEF		1
L Bergvall MID			1
A Bernhardsson FWD		1
B Zeneli MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
160	11	21
G Lagerbielke	G Lagerbielke	G Lagerbielke

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Lagerbielke DEF	160	11	21
V Lindelöf DEF	159	1	4
I Hien DEF	136	3	13
G Gudmundsson DEF	85	5	17
Y Ayari MID	80	5	17
A Isak FWD	66	1	5
A Bernhardsson FWD	65	5	13
K Nordfeldt GLK	62
L Bergvall MID	57	2	6
V Gyökeres FWD	56	1	10
J Karlström MID	44	3	6
B Nygren MID	41		4
A Elanga FWD	35		8
E Stroud MID	35	1	2
J Zetterström GLK	35		1
B Zeneli MID	23	1	1
D Svensson DEF	14
C Starfelt DEF	11
T Ali FWD	7		1
K Sema DEF	3	1	2
M Svanberg MID	2

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France v Sweden : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the World Cup match between France v Sweden will show here when available.

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