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Argentina v Cape Verde Islands : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Jul, 23:00 BST, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens

Home advantage can be vital in the World Cup, and Lionel Sebastián Scaloni’s Argentina will have the luxury of it on Friday night. Pedro Leitão Brito’s Cape Verde Islands are their opponents at the Hard Rock Stadium. Analysing both teams' last 20 World Cup matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Argentina to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this match, and it's Argentina. Their recent form statistics show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Cape Verde too. The odds point towards Lionel Sebastián Scaloni's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Friday night too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Argentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 82% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Argentina 82%	1/6	-
Draw 13%	7/1 6%	-
Cape Verde 5%	14/1	-
Argentina 2-0 16%	9/2	-
Argentina 3-0 13%	11/2	-
Argentina 1-0 12%	6/1 7%	-
Argentina 4-0 9%	17/2 6%	-
Argentina 2-1 8%	11/1	-
Argentina 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Draw 1-1 6%	14/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Argentina 5-0 4%	16/1	-
Argentina 4-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
Cape Verde 1-0 2%	25/1 10%	-
Argentina 5-1 2%	33/1	-
Argentina 6-0 2%	33/1	-
Draw 2-2 2%	40/1	-
Argentina 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	4/6 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	6/5 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 69%	1/5	-
Away 1st Goal 28%	15/4	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 36%	7/4	-
BTTS - No 64%	2/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 25%	13/5 3%	-
BTTS - Draw 8%	10/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 2%	28/1	-
Home/draw 95%	1/33	-
Away/draw 18%	4/1	-
Home/away 87%	1/12	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	13/8 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	1/2 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	7/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	9/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/16 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 91%	1/25	-
Away DNB 14%	12/1	-
Argentina win to nil 57%	4/7	-
Cape Verde win to nil 3%	18/1 10%	-
Argentina / Argentina 52%	4/7 3%	-
Argentina / Cape Verde 1%	66/1	-
Argentina / Draw 4%	22/1	-
Draw / Argentina 23%	13/5 4%	-
Draw / Cape Verde 3%	28/1	-
Draw / Draw 9%	8/1 5%	-
Cape Verde / Argentina 4%	22/1	-
Cape Verde / Cape Verde 2%	33/1	-
Cape Verde / Draw 3%	28/1 15%	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Argentina	3 - 1	Jordan
H	Argentina	2 - 0	Austria
H	Argentina	3 - 0	Algeria
H	Argentina	3 - 0	Iceland
H	Argentina	2 - 0	Honduras
H	Argentina	5 - 0	Zambia
H	Argentina	2 - 1	Mauritania
A	Argentina	6 - 0	Puerto Rico
H	Argentina	1 - 0	Venezuela
A	Argentina	0 - 1	Ecuador
H	Argentina	3 - 0	Venezuela
H	Argentina	1 - 1	Colombia
A	Argentina	1 - 0	Chile
H	Argentina	4 - 1	Brazil
A	Argentina	1 - 0	Uruguay
H	Argentina	1 - 0	Peru
A	Argentina	1 - 2	Paraguay
H	Argentina	6 - 0	Bolivia
A	Argentina	1 - 1	Venezuela
A	Argentina	1 - 2	Colombia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cape Verde	0 - 0	Saudi Arabia
A	Cape Verde	2 - 2	Uruguay
A	Cape Verde	0 - 0	Spain
H	Cape Verde	3 - 0	Bermuda
H	Cape Verde	3 - 0	Serbia
H	Cape Verde	1 - 1	Finland
A	Cape Verde	2 - 4	Chile
H	Cape Verde	3 - 0	Swaziland
A	Cape Verde	3 - 3	Libya
H	Cape Verde	1 - 0	Cameroon
A	Cape Verde	2 - 0	Mauritius
A	Cape Verde	1 - 1	Georgia
A	Cape Verde	3 - 0	Malaysia
A	Cape Verde	1 - 1	Malaysia
A	Cape Verde	2 - 1	Angola
H	Cape Verde	1 - 0	Mauritius
A	Cape Verde	0 - 1	Mauritania
H	Cape Verde	1 - 1	Egypt
A	Cape Verde	0 - 1	Botswana
H	Cape Verde	0 - 1	Botswana

Goal Statistics

Argentina's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive World Cup matches. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Friday night.

With a PG of just 0.5, Cape Verde Islands look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Argentina have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive World Cup matches, and it could be a long night for P. Leitão Brito's men.

	Argentina	Cape Verde
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.6 goals	0.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 20% 2 25% 3 22% 4+ 26% There is a 25% probability that Argentina will score 4 or more goals in this match	0 61% 1 30% 2 3 4+ There is a 61% probability that Cape Verde will fail to score

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

37%

better

ARG

view stats

Games scored	18		14
Failed to score	1		5
Scored first	16		10
Goals scored	44		26
Avg. goals scored	2.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	22		13
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.8
KickOff rating		+37%

33%

better

ARG

view stats

Games conceded	7		11
Clean sheets	12		8
Conceded first	3		7
Goals conceded	9		17
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		10
Conversion rate against	9%		10%
Avg. XG against	0.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+33%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Argentina v Cape Verde will show here when available.

Argentina World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	6	1	1
E Martínez	L Messi	F Medina	F Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Martínez GLK	3			-
N Otamendi DEF	3			-
A Mac Allister MID	3			-
L Martínez FWD	3	1		-
T Almada FWD	3			-
L Messi FWD	3	6		-
J Álvarez FWD	3			-
F Medina DEF	2		1	1 -
L Martínez DEF	2			-
N Tagliafico DEF	2			-
C Romero DEF	2			-
N Molina DEF	2			-
R Paul MID	2		1	-
N Paz MID	2			-
E Fernández MID	2			-
L Paredes MID	2			1 -
N González FWD	2		1	-
M Senesi DEF	1			-
G Montiel DEF	1			-
V Barco MID	1			-
E Palacios MID	1			-
G Celso MID	1	1		-
G Simeone FWD	1			-
J López FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	9	1	3
L Messi	L Messi	F Medina	L Messi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Messi FWD	6	9		3
L Martínez FWD	1	2
G Celso MID	1	1
A Mac Allister MID		1		1
J Álvarez FWD		2
F Medina DEF			1
N Tagliafico DEF				1
R Paul MID			1
N González FWD			1
M Senesi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
176	8	13
A Mac Allister	A Mac Allister	A Mac Allister

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mac Allister MID	176	8	13
L Paredes MID	174
L Martínez DEF	140	3	6
N Otamendi DEF	137	3	5
E Fernández MID	137	6	11
C Romero DEF	114	3	7
T Almada FWD	107	5	8
R Paul MID	100	4	7
L Messi FWD	97	4	13
E Palacios MID	87	4	5
E Martínez GLK	80
F Medina DEF	79	5	8
M Senesi DEF	71		3
N Molina DEF	61	3	5
N Paz MID	57	3	6
N Tagliafico DEF	55		4
J Álvarez FWD	52	1	1
G Celso MID	46	1	2
L Martínez FWD	45	3	5
G Simeone FWD	38	2	2
N González FWD	21		5
G Montiel DEF	21	2	2
V Barco MID	20	1	2
J López FWD		1	1

Cape Verde World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	0	2
Vozinha	K Lenini		S Cabral

Players	Appserances	goals	cards
Vozinha GLK	3		-
S Moreira DEF	3		-
R Lopes DEF	3		-
D Borges DEF	3		1 -
L Duarte MID	3		-
K Lenini MID	3	1	-
D Duarte MID	3		-
J Monteiro MID	3		-
R Mendes FWD	3		-
N Costa FWD	3		-
S Cabral DEF	2		2 -
J Paulo MID	2		-
T Arcanjo FWD	2		-
H. Oliveira Alves Varela FWD	2	1	-
W Semedo FWD	2		-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD	2		-
G Rodrigues FWD	2		-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	1		1 -
Y Semedo MID	1		-
Benchimol FWD	1		-
J Cabral FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	0	1
K Lenini	L Duarte		N Costa

Players	goals	shots on	big chances
K Lenini MID	1	1
H. Oliveira Alves Varela FWD	1	1
D Borges DEF		1
L Duarte MID		3
J Monteiro MID		1
N Costa FWD			1
T Arcanjo FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
143	8	17
D Borges	D Borges	D Borges

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Borges DEF	143	8	17
R Lopes DEF	127	5	13
K Lenini MID	106	5	16
Vozinha GLK	106		2
J Monteiro MID	73	3	4
R Mendes FWD	69	4	14
D Duarte MID	59	7	10
S Moreira DEF	52	3	5
J Paulo MID	50	2	10
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	37		5
S Cabral DEF	34	4	15
W Semedo FWD	24	2	7
L Duarte MID	23		3
N Costa FWD	19	2	13
T Arcanjo FWD	15		2
G Rodrigues FWD	13	2	3
Y Semedo MID	13	1	2
J Cabral FWD	13	2	3
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD	12		4
H. Oliveira Alves Varela FWD	10		3
Benchimol FWD	10		2