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Portugal v Croatia : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Jul, 00:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Portugal are in World Cup action on Friday morning, as Roberto Martínez Montoliú looks to get one over on Zlatko Dalić and his Croatia side at the BMO Field. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with World Cup performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Portugal and Croatia combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
55%
3/4
3%
-
Draw
24%
5/2
3%
-
Croatia
20%
4/1-
Portugal 1-0
13%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Portugal 2-0
11%
7/1-
Portugal 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
6%
-
Croatia 1-0
7%
12/1-
Portugal 3-0
6%
14/1-
Portugal 3-1
5%
16/1-
Croatia 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Croatia 2-0
3%
25/1-
Portugal 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Portugal 3-2
2%
33/1-
Portugal 4-1
2%
33/1-
Croatia 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
80%
1/6-
Away/draw
45%
1/1
3%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/4
3%
-
Away DNB
37%
11/4
7%
-
Portugal win to nil
33%
7/4-
Croatia win to nil
11%
7/1-
Portugal / Portugal
30%
7/4-
Portugal / Croatia
2%
40/1-
Portugal / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Portugal
18%
7/2-
Draw / Croatia
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Croatia / Portugal
4%
22/1-
Croatia / Croatia
10%
15/2
6%
-
Croatia / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Portugal
20 games
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Croatia
20 games
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Portugal since 2020
Portugal
Croatia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
POR
2
Games at Croatia since 1996
Croatia
Portugal
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
POR
2
D
2
Goal Statistics

Portugal's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday morning, not least because Croatia have conceded in each of their last 6 World Cup outings. A PG of 1.7 for R. Martínez Montoliú's side suggests that run should continue.

Portugal Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Portugal will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
POR
CRO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
POR
CRO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Portugal v Croatia will show here when available.

Portugal World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
D CostaC RonaldoJ CanceloR Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK3
-
R Veiga DEF3
1
-
J Cancelo DEF31
-
N Mendes  DEF31
-
Vitinha MID3
-
B Fernandes MID31
-
J Neves MID31
-
R Leão FWD31
-
C Ronaldo FWD32
-
P Neto FWD31
-
R Dias DEF2
-
N Semedo DEF2
1
-
B Silva MID2
1
-
J Félix FWD2
-
F Conceição FWD2
-
T Araújo DEF1
1
-
D Dalot DEF1
-
M Nunes DEF1
-
F Trincão MID1
-
R Neves MID1
-
S Costa MID1
-
G Ramos FWD1
-
Croatia World Cup squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
D LivakovicP. SučićJ StanisicP. Sučić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK3
-
J Sutalo DEF3
-
J Gvardiol DEF3
-
J Stanisic DEF31
-
M Pasalic MID3
-
L Modric MID31
-
P. Sučić MID311
1
-
M Kovacic MID31
-
M Baturina MID31
-
I Perisic FWD31
1
-
M Pašalić FWD3
-
M Pongracic  DEF2
-
A Kramaric MID2
-
N Vlasic MID21
-
P Musa FWD21
-
I Matanovic FWD2
-
A Budimir FWD21
-
L. Vušković DEF1
-
L Sučić MID1
-