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Belgium v Senegal : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 1st Jul, 21:00 BST, CenturyLink Field, Seattle

Home advantage makes a difference in the World Cup, and Rudi Garcia’s Belgium will have the luxury of it on Wednesday night. Pape Bouna Thiaw’s Senegal are their opponents at the CenturyLink Field. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Belgium and Senegal have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Belgium are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Belgium 43%	2.20	-
Draw 27%	3.20	-
Senegal 30%	3.50	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	-
Belgium 1-0 12%	7.50	-
Senegal 1-0 9%	10.00	-
Belgium 2-1 9%	10.00	-
Draw 0-0 9%	8.00	-
Belgium 2-0 8%	11.00	-
Senegal 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Senegal 2-0 5%	19.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	-
Belgium 3-1 4%	21.00	-
Belgium 3-0 4%	21.00	-
Senegal 3-1 2%	34.00	-
Belgium 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Senegal 3-0 2%	41.00	-
Senegal 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.67	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	1.80	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.30	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8.00	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1.91	-
BTTS - No 51%	1.91	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	5.00	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.50 6%	-
Home/draw 70%	1.29	-
Away/draw 57%	1.67	-
Home/away 73%	1.36	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.36	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	3.20	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	4.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.25	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	8.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.08	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	17.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	8.00	-
Home DNB 62%	1.50	-
Away DNB 49%	2.50	-
Belgium win to nil 25%	3.50	-
Senegal win to nil 17%	6.00	-
Belgium / Belgium 24%	3.50	-
Belgium / Senegal 2%	34.00	-
Belgium / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Belgium 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Senegal 11%	7.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	-
Senegal / Belgium 3%	26.00	-
Senegal / Senegal 15%	5.50	-
Senegal / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Belgium	5 - 1	New Zealand
H	Belgium	0 - 0	Iran
H	Belgium	1 - 1	Egypt
H	Belgium	5 - 0	Tunisia
A	Belgium	2 - 0	Croatia
A	Belgium	1 - 1	Mexico
A	Belgium	5 - 2	USA
H	Belgium	7 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Belgium	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
A	Belgium	4 - 2	Wales
H	Belgium	0 - 0	Macedonia
H	Belgium	6 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Belgium	6 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Belgium	4 - 3	Wales
A	Belgium	1 - 1	Macedonia
H	Belgium	3 - 0	Ukraine
A	Belgium	1 - 3	Ukraine
A	Belgium	0 - 1	Israel
H	Belgium	0 - 1	Italy
H	Belgium	1 - 2	France

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Senegal	5 - 0	Iraq
A	Senegal	2 - 3	Norway
A	Senegal	1 - 3	France
A	Senegal	0 - 0	Saudi Arabia
A	Senegal	2 - 3	USA
H	Senegal	3 - 1	Gambia
H	Senegal	2 - 0	Peru
H	Senegal	0 - 0	Morocco
H	Senegal	1 - 0	Egypt
A	Senegal	1 - 0	Mali
H	Senegal	3 - 1	Sudan
A	Senegal	3 - 0	Benin
H	Senegal	1 - 1	Congo DR
H	Senegal	3 - 0	Botswana
H	Senegal	4 - 0	Mauritania
A	Senegal	5 - 0	South Sudan
A	Senegal	3 - 2	Congo DR
H	Senegal	2 - 0	Sudan
A	Senegal	1 - 1	Sudan
A	Senegal	1 - 1	Morocco

Goal Statistics

Belgium's defensive record is to be admired, R. Garcia's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive World Cup outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Senegal makes sense in this context.

	Belgium	Senegal
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Belgium will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Senegal will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

BEL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BEL

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Belgium v Senegal will show here when available.

Belgium World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	2	1	1
T Courtois	L Trossard	N Raskin	M Cuyper

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Courtois GLK	3			-
M Cuyper DEF	3			1 -
B Mechele DEF	3			-
T Castagne DEF	3			1 -
N Raskin MID	3		1	-
H Vanaken MID	3		1	-
K Bruyne MID	3	1		-
Y Tielemans MID	3			-
L Trossard FWD	3	2	1	-
R Lukaku FWD	3	1	1	1 -
M Fernandez FWD	3			-
A Theate DEF	2			-
N Ngoy DEF	2			1
T Meunier DEF	2			-
C Ketelaere MID	2			-
A Onana MID	2			-
A Saelemaekers MID	2	1		-
J Doku FWD	2			-
D Lukébakio FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	2
L Trossard	M Cuyper	N Raskin	N Raskin

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Trossard FWD	2	2	1	1
K Bruyne MID	1	4
R Lukaku FWD	1	1	1
A Saelemaekers MID	1	1
M Cuyper DEF		5
B Mechele DEF		1
N Raskin MID			1	2
H Vanaken MID			1	1
Y Tielemans MID		1		1
A Theate DEF		1
T Meunier DEF		1
C Ketelaere MID		1
J Doku FWD		1
D Lukébakio FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
204	5	16
B Mechele	T Castagne	L Trossard

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Mechele DEF	204	3	13
Y Tielemans MID	152	3	14
N Ngoy DEF	148	4	9
K Bruyne MID	135	2	13
M Cuyper DEF	125	2	6
L Trossard FWD	121	5	16
T Castagne DEF	96	5	7
N Raskin MID	94	4	8
H Vanaken MID	82		4
T Meunier DEF	82	3	7
T Courtois GLK	64		2
C Ketelaere MID	60	4	14
A Theate DEF	55	1	4
J Doku FWD	49		11
A Onana MID	46	1	5
A Saelemaekers MID	38	2	6
R Lukaku FWD	25		3
M Fernandez FWD	17	2	4
D Lukébakio FWD	9	1	2

Senegal World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	3	2	1
M Niakhaté	I Sarr	I Ndiaye	P Gueye

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Niakhaté DEF	3			-
I Gueye MID	3			-
L Camara MID	3		1	-
P Gueye MID	3	2	1	1 -
P Ciss MID	3			-
K Diatta MID	3			-
I Sarr FWD	3	3	1	-
I. Mbaye FWD	3	1		-
N Jackson FWD	3		1	-
S Mané FWD	3		1	-
M Diaw GLK	2			-
E Mendy GLK	2			-
E Diouf DEF	2			-
K Koulibaly DEF	2			-
I Jakobs DEF	2			-
H Diarra MID	2	1		-
I Ndiaye FWD	2	1	2	-
A Seck DEF	1		1	1 -
P Sarr MID	1			-
A. Diao Diaoune FWD	1			-
B Dieng FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	2	2
I Sarr	I Sarr	I Ndiaye	K Diatta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Sarr FWD	3	5	1
P Gueye MID	2	3	1
I. Mbaye FWD	1	1		1
H Diarra MID	1	1
I Ndiaye FWD	1	2	2
I Gueye MID				1
L Camara MID			1	1
P Ciss MID		1
K Diatta MID				2
N Jackson FWD		3	1	1
S Mané FWD		2	1	1
E Diouf DEF				1
I Jakobs DEF				1
A Seck DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
225	9	20
I Gueye	K Diatta	K Diatta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Gueye MID	225	6	13
M Niakhaté DEF	223	2	14
K Diatta MID	178	9	20
P Gueye MID	127	3	6
L Camara MID	108	1	10
S Mané FWD	107	3	18
K Koulibaly DEF	81	5	6
E Diouf DEF	65	3	8
I Jakobs DEF	60	3	7
P Ciss MID	55	1	2
E Mendy GLK	52
I. Mbaye FWD	50		8
I Sarr FWD	48	1	9
N Jackson FWD	43	2	9
M Diaw GLK	34		2
I Ndiaye FWD	32		3
A Seck DEF	30		1
H Diarra MID	26	2	3
P Sarr MID	21
A. Diao Diaoune FWD	13	1	2
B Dieng FWD	3