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Germany v Paraguay : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 29th Jun, 21:30 BST, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

We’ve World Cup action to look forward to on Monday night, as Julian Nagelsmann and his Germany side host Gustavo Julio Alfaro’s Paraguay at the Gillette Stadium. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We've backed Germany to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Germany to win

As training goes on this week and the Germany players ready themselves for this match, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Gillette Stadium hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Paraguay in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Monday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Germany are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Germany 72%	1/3 2%	-
Draw 18%	4/1	-
Paraguay 11%	17/2 12%	-
Germany 2-0 13%	11/2 7%	-
Germany 1-0 11%	13/2	-
Germany 3-0 10%	8/1	-
Germany 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 1-1 8%	17/2	-
Germany 3-1 7%	11/1	-
Germany 4-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	-
Germany 4-1 4%	20/1	-
Paraguay 1-0 4%	22/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	-
Paraguay 2-1 3%	28/1 12%	-
Germany 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Germany 5-0 2%	28/1 15%	-
Germany 5-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	11/10	-
Home 1st Goal 61%	1/3 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	5/2 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 53%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	11/5	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	11/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	18/1 27%	-
Home/draw 89%	1/14 1%	-
Away/draw 28%	9/4 8%	-
Home/away 82%	1/6	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Home DNB 84%	1/12 2%	-
Away DNB 23%	7/1 14%	-
Germany win to nil 43%	11/10	-
Paraguay win to nil 5%	16/1 13%	-
Germany / Germany 44%	10/11 2%	-
Germany / Paraguay 2%	50/1	-
Germany / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Germany 21%	3/1	-
Draw / Paraguay 4%	18/1 12%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	-
Paraguay / Germany 4%	20/1	-
Paraguay / Paraguay 5%	16/1 13%	-
Paraguay / Draw 4%	20/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Germany	1 - 2	Ecuador
H	Germany	2 - 1	Cote d'Ivoire
H	Germany	7 - 1	Curacao
A	Germany	2 - 1	USA
H	Germany	4 - 0	Finland
H	Germany	2 - 1	Ghana
A	Germany	4 - 3	Switzerland
H	Germany	6 - 0	Slovakia
A	Germany	2 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Germany	1 - 0	N Ireland
H	Germany	4 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
A	Germany	0 - 2	Slovakia
H	Germany	0 - 2	France
H	Germany	1 - 2	Portugal
H	Germany	3 - 3	Italy
A	Germany	2 - 1	Italy
A	Germany	1 - 1	Hungary
H	Germany	7 - 0	Bosnia
H	Germany	1 - 0	Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Paraguay	0 - 0	Australia
A	Paraguay	1 - 0	Turkey
A	Paraguay	1 - 4	USA
H	Paraguay	4 - 0	Nicaragua
A	Paraguay	1 - 2	Morocco
A	Paraguay	1 - 0	Greece
A	Paraguay	0 - 2	South Korea
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Japan
A	Paraguay	1 - 0	Peru
H	Paraguay	0 - 0	Ecuador
A	Paraguay	0 - 1	Brazil
H	Paraguay	2 - 0	Uruguay
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Colombia
H	Paraguay	1 - 0	Chile
A	Paraguay	2 - 2	Bolivia
H	Paraguay	2 - 1	Argentina
H	Paraguay	2 - 1	Venezuela
A	Paraguay	0 - 0	Ecuador
H	Paraguay	1 - 0	Brazil
A	Paraguay	0 - 0	Uruguay

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Germany in their clash with Paraguay, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive World Cup outings.

With a PG of just 0.7, Paraguay look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Germany have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive World Cup matches, and it could be a long night for G. Alfaro's men.

	Germany	Paraguay
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.3 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 19% There is a 65% probability that Germany will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Paraguay scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

GER

PAR

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

GER

PAR

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Germany v Paraguay will show here when available.

Germany World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	3	2	1
M Neuer	D Undav	F Wirtz	A Pavlović

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Neuer GLK	3			-
A Rüdiger DEF	3			-
J Tah DEF	3			-
J Musiala MID	3	1		-
F Nmecha MID	3	1	1	-
A Pavlović MID	3			1 -
F Wirtz MID	3		2	-
J Kimmich MID	3		2	-
K Havertz FWD	3	2		-
D Undav FWD	3	3	2	-
L Sané FWD	3	1		-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	2	1		-
D Raum DEF	2			-
N Brown DEF	2	1	1	-
L Goretzka MID	2			-
W Anton DEF	1			-
M Thiaw DEF	1			-
P Groß MID	1			-
A Stiller MID	1			-
N Amiri MID	1		1	-
M Beier FWD	1			-
J Leweling FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	2	4
D Undav	K Havertz	F Wirtz	J Kimmich

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Undav FWD	3	4	2	2
K Havertz FWD	2	4
J Musiala MID	1	1
F Nmecha MID	1	3	1	2
L Sané FWD	1	2
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1	2
N Brown DEF	1	2	1	1
J Tah DEF				1
A Pavlović MID		1
F Wirtz MID		1	2	2
J Kimmich MID			2	4
D Raum DEF		1
N Amiri MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
261	12	25
J Tah	F Nmecha	J Musiala

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Tah DEF	261	3	6
J Kimmich MID	199	5	10
A Pavlović MID	181	3	9
F Wirtz MID	176	5	14
L Sané FWD	134	5	10
F Nmecha MID	130	12	19
N Schlotterbeck DEF	130	3	11
A Rüdiger DEF	122	2	6
K Havertz FWD	87	3	13
J Musiala MID	80	7	25
M Neuer GLK	75		1
N Brown DEF	73	8	8
D Raum DEF	44	1	1
A Stiller MID	35	1	1
M Thiaw DEF	30	2	4
D Undav FWD	26		1
L Goretzka MID	14	1	2
P Groß MID	14	2	2
J Leweling FWD	14
N Amiri MID	12
M Beier FWD	9		2
W Anton DEF	7	2	2

Paraguay World Cup squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	2	2
O Gill	M Maurício	J Enciso	D Amarilla

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Gill GLK	3			-
G Velázquez DEF	3			-
O Alderete DEF	3			-
G Portillo DEF	3			-
J Alonso DEF	3			1 -
J Cáceres DEF	3			1 -
A Cubas MID	3			-
D Amarilla MID	3			2 -
D Bobadilla MID	3			-
J Enciso MID	3		2	-
A. Maidana Mendieta DEF	2			-
J Canale DEF	2			-
M Maurício MID	2	1		-
M Fonda MID	2	1		1 -
A Arce FWD	2			1 -
G Ávalos FWD	2			-
M Almirón FWD	2			1 1
Kaku MID	1			-
I Pitta FWD	1			-
R Sosa FWD	1			-
A Sanabria FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	2	1
M Maurício	M Maurício	J Enciso	J Enciso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Maurício MID	1	3
M Fonda MID	1	1
J Cáceres DEF		1
D Amarilla MID		1
J Enciso MID			2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
100	16	32
O Alderete	J Cáceres	J Cáceres

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Alderete DEF	100		10
D Amarilla MID	93	8	18
A Cubas MID	91	10	14
G Portillo DEF	85	3	13
O Gill GLK	77
J Cáceres DEF	71	16	32
J Enciso MID	63	4	23
G Velázquez DEF	61		5
M Fonda MID	59	10	19
J Alonso DEF	51	4	8
M Maurício MID	47	4	5
M Almirón FWD	33	4	10
A. Maidana Mendieta DEF	16	2	2
D Bobadilla MID	14	2	3
G Ávalos FWD	14	2	10
A Arce FWD	12	1	3
Kaku MID	9		1
A Sanabria FWD	9		4
J Canale DEF	8	1	1
I Pitta FWD	8
R Sosa FWD	3		1

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Germany v Paraguay : World Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the World Cup match between Germany v Paraguay will show here when available.

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