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Cincinnati v Inter Miami : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

TQL Stadium, Ohio

the TQL Stadium masses welcome Inter Miami's supporters on Thursday morning, as Pat Noonan's Cincinnati take on Javier Alejandro Mascherano's team in the Major League Soccer. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and the best odds are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping over 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Cincinnati's next match is v San Diego at 02:30 on Sunday 17th May
Inter Miami's next match is v Portland at 23:00 on Sunday 17th May

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Cincinnati and Miami was on Thursday 14th May 2026

American Major League Soccer

May 14th 2026

Cincinnati 3	5 Miami

A. Denkey 41'	24' L. Messi
P. Bucha 49'	55' L. Messi
E. da Silva Ferreira 64'	79' M. Silvetti
	84' G. Berterame
	89' (OG)R. Celentano

	CIN MIA
Shots On	3 5
Shots Off	4 7
Corners	1 8
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	19 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 3/0

Cincinnati	Miami

R. Celentano M. Robinson (N. Hagglund 72') E. da Silva Ferreira S. Gidi (E. Echenique Peña 60') A. Denkey K. Mboma Dem (O. Nwobodo 73') M. Miazga (A. Chirila 73') P. Bucha (T. Barlow 87') K. Smith G. Valenzuela B. Ramírez León	D. St Clair G. Luján Melli (F. Mura 65') S. Reguilón Rodríguez R. de Paul M. dos Santos Silva I. Fray T. Segovia Pérez (M. Silvetti 77') L. Suárez Díaz L. Messi G. Berterame Y. Bright

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer tie, with Cincinnati and Miami going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Miami coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cincinnati 37%	2/1	19/10
Draw 21%	31/10	29/10
Miami 42%	21/20	19/20
Draw 1-1 8%	17/2	15/2
Miami 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
Cincinnati 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 7%	9/1	17/2
Miami 3-1 5%	14/1	11/1
Miami 3-2 5%	14/1	12/1
Miami 1-0 5%	18/1	14/1
Cincinnati 3-1 5%	20/1	16/1
Cincinnati 3-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Miami 2-0 4%	16/1	14/1
Cincinnati 1-0 4%	20/1	16/1
Cincinnati 2-0 4%	22/1	18/1
Miami 3-0 3%	22/1	18/1
Draw 3-3 3%	20/1	18/1
Miami 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	3/10	3/10
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	5/2	23/10
Home 1st Goal 49%	1/1	11/10
Away 1st Goal 50%	8/11	7/10
No 1st Goal 1%	28/1	22/1
BTTS - Yes 72%	3/10	3/10
BTTS - No 28%	12/5	9/4
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3/1	3/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	31/10	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 28%	2/1	9/5
Home/draw 58%	7/10	3/4
Away/draw 63%	4/11	4/11
Home/away 79%	2/9	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	1/14	1/12
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	8/1	13/2
Over 3.5 Goals 52%	8/11	8/11
Under 3.5 Goals 48%	1/1	1/1
Over 4.5 Goals 32%	13/8	8/5
Under 4.5 Goals 68%	4/9	4/9
Over 5.5 Goals 18%	10/3	10/3
Under 5.5 Goals 82%	1/5	2/11
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/100	1/200
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	28/1	22/1
Home DNB 52%	6/5	13/10
Away DNB 57%	8/13	11/20
Cincinnati win to nil 12%	8/1	-
Miami win to nil 14%	5/1	-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 18%	7/2	7/2
Cincinnati / Miami 5%	16/1	16/1
Cincinnati / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Cincinnati 10%	7/1	7/1
Draw / Miami 14%	11/2	5/1
Draw / Draw 11%	7/1	13/2
Miami / Cincinnati 4%	20/1	20/1
Miami / Miami 26%	9/4	2/1
Miami / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Miami have won 4 consecutive away league games

Cincinnati have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Miami have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto
Cincinnati	2 - 0	Atlanta
Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Columbus
Cincinnati	1 - 0	Columbus
Cincinnati	3 - 0	Montreal
Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Nashville
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Cincinnati	0 - 1	NY City
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Charlotte
Cincinnati	3 - 0	Miami
Cincinnati	2 - 4	Columbus
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Chicago
Cincinnati	1 - 2	DC United
Cincinnati	3 - 3	Dallas
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Austin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cincinnati	2 - 2	Charlotte
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	Chicago
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Cincinnati	4 - 4	NY City
H	Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
A	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	2 - 4	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 6	New England
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Minnesota
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	Atlanta
H	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
H	Cincinnati	2 - 1	Columbus
A	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	1 - 0	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	3 - 0	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 0	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	LA Galaxy

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
Salt Lake	0 - 2	Miami
Colorado	2 - 3	Miami
NY City	2 - 3	Miami
Charlotte	0 - 0	Miami
DC United	1 - 2	Miami
Orlando	2 - 4	Miami
LAFC	3 - 0	Miami
Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
Nashville	2 - 1	Miami
Nashville	2 - 5	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
NY City	0 - 4	Miami
Charlotte	3 - 0	Miami
DC United	1 - 1	Miami
Orlando	4 - 1	Miami
NY Red Bulls	1 - 5	Miami
Cincinnati	3 - 0	Miami
New England	1 - 2	Miami
Montreal	1 - 4	Miami

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Miami	4 - 2	Toronto
H	Miami	3 - 4	Orlando
H	Miami	1 - 1	New England
A	Miami	2 - 0	Salt Lake
A	Miami	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Miami	2 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	Miami	2 - 2	Austin
A	Miami	3 - 2	NY City
A	Miami	0 - 0	Charlotte
A	Miami	2 - 1	DC United
A	Miami	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Miami	0 - 3	LAFC
H	Miami	3 - 1	Vancouver
H	Miami	5 - 1	NY City
A	Miami	4 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Miami	4 - 0	Nashville
A	Miami	1 - 2	Nashville
H	Miami	3 - 1	Nashville
A	Miami	5 - 2	Nashville
H	Miami	4 - 0	Atlanta

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cincinnati

Miami

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

CIN

MIA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
	0 - 4	Miami
Cincinnati	3 - 0
Cincinnati	6 - 1
Cincinnati	1 - 0
Cincinnati	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Miami
	2 - 3	Miami

Miami

Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

CIN

MIA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Miami
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Miami	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Miami	5 - 1
Miami	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Cincinnati have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Inter Miami on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Cincinnati 8th	Miami 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Miami will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Cincinnati’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+32 Miami have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	2.3 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

CIN

MIA

better

view stats

Games scored	10		10
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	4		6
Goals scored	24		26
Avg. goals scored	2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	20		18
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.8
KickOff rating		+4%

CIN

MIA

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		10
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	8		5
Goals conceded	27		21
Avg. goals conceded	2.3		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	18%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+11%

Cincinnati v Miami Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	8	3	6
P Bucha	K Denkey	P Bucha	B Ramírez

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Celentano GLK	11			-
K Smith DEF	9	1		1 1
M Miazga DEF	7			2 -
M Robinson DEF	8			1
P Bucha MID	12	2	3	1 -
G Valenzuela MID	11	1	1	1 1
Evander MID	12	7	1	2 -
S. Gidi MID	12			2 -
B Ramírez MID	12		2	6 -
K Denkey FWD	12	8	2	3 1
K. Mboma Dem FWD	10	1	1	-
Subs
E Louro GLK	2			-
A. Lajhar DEF	3			1 -
A. Chirila DEF	6	1		1 -
N Hagglund DEF	11	1		1 -
O Nwobodo MID	8			3 -
T Anunga MID	6			1 -
T Barlow FWD	13	2		1 -
E Peña FWD	12	1	3	1 -
A Jabbari FWD	11	1	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	3	8
K Denkey	Evander	P Bucha	Evander

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Denkey FWD	8	11	2	1
Evander MID	7	20	1	8
P Bucha MID	2	4	3	1
Subs
T Barlow FWD	2	6
K Smith DEF	1	1
G Valenzuela MID	1	4	1	1
K. Mboma Dem FWD	1	3	1
Subs
A. Chirila DEF	1	2
N Hagglund DEF	1	3
E Peña FWD	1	6	3	5
A Jabbari FWD	1	2	1	2
M Miazga DEF		1
M Robinson DEF		2
B Ramírez MID		3	2	5
Subs
O Nwobodo MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
540	28	63
S. Gidi	B Ramírez	B Ramírez

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S. Gidi MID	540	13	42
P Bucha MID	488	17	40
B Ramírez MID	467	28	63
Subs
N Hagglund DEF	439	12	48
M Robinson DEF	409	11	32
Evander MID	399	8	46
Subs
A. Chirila DEF	325	6	16
G Valenzuela MID	289	11	36
R Celentano GLK	289		1
K Smith DEF	271	12	20
M Miazga DEF	239	1	12
K Denkey FWD	226	8	61
Subs
E Peña FWD	218	15	43
K. Mboma Dem FWD	172	7	22
Subs
T Anunga MID	157	9	20
O Nwobodo MID	148	15	23
T Barlow FWD	127	4	27
E Louro GLK	85
A Jabbari FWD	74	5	46
A. Lajhar DEF	9

Miami Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	12	5	5
D Clair	L Messi	T Segovia	T Segovia

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Clair GLK	12			2 -
I Fray DEF	9	1	1	2 -
G Luján DEF	11	1		2 -
Micael DEF	12	1		4 -
S Reguilón DEF	4	1		-
R Paul MID	11	3	4	3 -
Y. Bright MID	10			3 1
T Segovia MID	12	2	5	5 -
L Messi FWD	12	12	5	2 -
L Suárez FWD	9	3	1	1 -
G Berterame FWD	13	4	2	1 -
Subs
R Novo GLK	1			-
F Mura DEF	10			-
M Falcón DEF	9			2 -
C. Abadia-Reda DEF	3			-
D Ayala MID	4			-
D Ruiz MID	3			1 -
P. Plambeck MID	2			-
M. Silvetti FWD	9	3	3	1 -
D. Pintér FWD	6			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	30	5	10
L Messi	L Messi	T Segovia	R Paul

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Messi FWD	12	30	5	9
G Berterame FWD	4	11	2	2
R Paul MID	3	8	4	10
L Suárez FWD	3	9	1	1
Subs
M. Silvetti FWD	3	10	3	4
T Segovia MID	2	3	5	1
I Fray DEF	1	2	1	2
G Luján DEF	1	1		2
Micael DEF	1	2
S Reguilón DEF	1	1		1
Y. Bright MID		1
Subs
F Mura DEF		1		2
P. Plambeck MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
920	43	63
R Paul	Y. Bright	Y. Bright

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
R Paul MID	920	8	42
Micael DEF	874	20	45
T Segovia MID	616	18	34
Subs
M Falcón DEF	604	9	35
L Messi FWD	578	7	58
Y. Bright MID	546	43	63
G Luján DEF	468	18	38
D Clair GLK	404	1	2
Subs
F Mura DEF	340	7	16
I Fray DEF	264	10	29
G Berterame FWD	240	9	41
L Suárez FWD	208	3	17
Subs
M. Silvetti FWD	159	12	31
D Ayala MID	154	2	4
S Reguilón DEF	140	2	8
Subs
D Ruiz MID	88	3	6
D. Pintér FWD	60	4	11
R Novo GLK	44		1
P. Plambeck MID	37	2	2
C. Abadia-Reda DEF	24		2