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Orlando City v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 14th May, 00:30 BST, Exploria Stadium, Orlando

Orlando City are in Major League Soccer action on Thursday morning, as Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez aims to beat Bradley Carnell and his Philadelphia Union side at the Exploria Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Major League Soccer match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Orlando should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Philadelphia. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear winner in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Orlando are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Orlando 43%	2/1	15/8
Draw 23%	27/10	12/5
Philadelphia 34%	11/10	11/10
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	6/1
Orlando 2-1 9%	10/1	9/1
Philadelphia 2-1 8%	8/1	15/2
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1	10/1
Orlando 1-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Philadelphia 1-0 6%	9/1	8/1
Orlando 2-0 6%	16/1	14/1
Orlando 3-1 5%	20/1	18/1
Philadelphia 2-0 5%	11/1	10/1
Philadelphia 3-1 4%	16/1	12/1
Orlando 3-2 4%	25/1	22/1
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1	11/1
Philadelphia 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Orlando 3-0 3%	33/1	25/1
Philadelphia 3-0 2%	20/1	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	4/6	4/6
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	23/20	11/10
Home 1st Goal 50%	21/20	23/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	4/5	4/5
No 1st Goal 2%	14/1	11/1
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/7	3/5
BTTS - No 35%	5/4	6/5
BTTS - Home Win 25%	4/1	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 21%	3/1	14/5
Home/draw 66%	4/6	13/20
Away/draw 57%	4/11	4/11
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/5	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	10/3	3/1
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	13/8	13/8
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	4/9	4/9
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	4/1	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1/6	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	9/1	17/2
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/16	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	11/1
Home DNB 59%	6/5	6/5
Away DNB 51%	8/13	3/5
Orlando win to nil 18%	5/1	-
Philadelphia win to nil 14%	10/3	-
Orlando / Orlando 17%	15/4	18/5
Orlando / Philadelphia 4%	22/1	20/1
Orlando / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Orlando 11%	6/1	6/1
Draw / Philadelphia 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	19/4
Philadelphia / Orlando 3%	25/1	25/1
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 24%	5/2	23/10
Philadelphia / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Philadelphia have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orlando	4 - 1	Charlotte
Orlando	0 - 1	Houston
Orlando	2 - 1	Montreal
Orlando	2 - 4	Miami
Orlando	1 - 2	NY Red Bulls
Orlando	1 - 2	Vancouver
Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
Orlando	3 - 2	Nashville
Orlando	3 - 1	Sporting KC
Orlando	4 - 1	Miami
Orlando	1 - 2	NY City
Orlando	1 - 1	Montreal
Orlando	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Orlando	1 - 3	Chicago
Orlando	1 - 0	Portland
Orlando	3 - 1	Charlotte
Orlando	3 - 3	New England
Orlando	3 - 0	Atlanta
Orlando	0 - 0	NY Red Bulls
Orlando	4 - 1	DC United

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Orlando	0 - 2	Montreal
A	Orlando	4 - 3	Miami
A	Orlando	2 - 3	DC United
H	Orlando	4 - 1	Charlotte
H	Orlando	0 - 1	Houston
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	0 - 6	LAFC
A	Orlando	0 - 5	Nashville
H	Orlando	2 - 1	Montreal
A	Orlando	0 - 5	NY City
H	Orlando	2 - 4	Miami
H	Orlando	1 - 2	NY Red Bulls
A	Orlando	1 - 3	Chicago
A	Orlando	2 - 4	Toronto
H	Orlando	1 - 2	Vancouver
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Orlando	3 - 2	Nashville
A	Orlando	1 - 1	DC United
A	Orlando	1 - 5	Nashville

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England	2 - 1	Philadelphia
Columbus	2 - 0	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 1	Philadelphia
Atlanta	3 - 1	Philadelphia
DC United	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Chicago	0 - 3	Philadelphia
Charlotte	2 - 0	Philadelphia
DC United	0 - 6	Philadelphia
Vancouver	7 - 0	Philadelphia
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Houston	1 - 1	Philadelphia
Nashville	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Columbus	1 - 0	Philadelphia
Chicago	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Dallas	0 - 0	Philadelphia
Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Atlanta	0 - 1	Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	New England
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
A	Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Charlotte
H	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose
H	Philadelphia	1 - 2	NY City
A	Philadelphia	0 - 1	DC United
H	Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY City
A	Philadelphia	3 - 0	Chicago
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Charlotte
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	NY City
A	Philadelphia	6 - 0	DC United
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	New England
A	Philadelphia	0 - 7	Vancouver

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Orlando

Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

ORL

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
	2 - 4	Philadelphia
Orlando	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Orlando	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Philadelphia
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Philadelphia

Orlando

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

ORL

PHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Orlando
	1 - 2	Orlando
Philadelphia	5 - 1
Philadelphia	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Orlando

Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Orlando City have conceded in each of their last 29 Major League Soccer games. A PG of 1.5 for B. Carnell's side suggests that run should continue.

	Orlando 14th	Philadelphia 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Orlando will score 1 or more goals	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ 7% There is a 79% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Orlando’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-13 Philadelphia have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

20%

better

ORL

PHI

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	4		3
Goals scored	16		10
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		12
Conversion rate for	16		8
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+20%

ORL

PHI

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	0		2
Conceded first	8		7
Goals conceded	34		19
Avg. goals conceded	2.8		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		4
Conversion rate against	21%		23%
Avg. XG against	2.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+27%