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Montreal Impact v Orlando City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th May, 21:30 BST, Stade Saputo, Montreal

Marco Donadel's Montreal Impact side enjoy home advantage in the Major League Soccer on Saturday night, as Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez's Orlando City travel to the Stade Saputo. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Orlando prepare themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both sides know they way to goal and either could get the win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the best bet here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.76.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montreal 53%	19/25	3/4
Draw 21%	29/10	14/5
Orlando 26%	14/5	13/5
Montreal 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Draw 1-1 9%	7/1	7/1
Montreal 2-0 7%	11/1	9/1
Montreal 1-0 7%	11/1	17/2
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	10/1
Montreal 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Orlando 2-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Montreal 3-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Orlando 1-0 4%	18/1	12/1
Montreal 3-2 4%	18/1	16/1
Montreal 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Draw 0-0 3%	20/1	14/1
Orlando 2-0 3%	22/1	18/1
Orlando 3-2 3%	25/1	22/1
Orlando 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	1/2	10/21
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	6/4	29/20
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/13	3/5
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/4	29/20
No 1st Goal 2%	20/1	14/1
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/9	1/2
BTTS - No 35%	13/8	7/5
BTTS - Home Win 31%	2/1	2/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 16%	5/1	19/4
Home/draw 74%	1/4	1/4
Away/draw 47%	19/20	19/20
Home/away 79%	1/4	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	1/7	2/13
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	9/2	4/1
Over 3.5 Goals 45%	6/5	6/5
Under 3.5 Goals 55%	8/13	3/5
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	11/4	27/10
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/4	1/4
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	6/1	11/2
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/10	1/11
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/50	1/50
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	18/1	14/1
Home DNB 68%	2/5	4/11
Away DNB 41%	7/4	9/5
Montreal win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Orlando win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Montreal / Montreal 30%	7/4	13/8
Montreal / Orlando 3%	25/1	25/1
Montreal / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Montreal 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Orlando 9%	8/1	8/1
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Orlando / Montreal 4%	18/1	18/1
Orlando / Orlando 14%	5/1	19/4
Orlando / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
Montreal	4 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Montreal	1 - 1	Nashville
Montreal	0 - 2	NY Red Bulls
Montreal	0 - 2	Saint Louis City
Montreal	3 - 2	Austin
Montreal	1 - 1	DC United
Montreal	1 - 1	Atlanta
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
Montreal	1 - 4	Miami
Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
Montreal	1 - 3	Cincinnati
Montreal	0 - 3	New England
Montreal	2 - 2	LAFC
Montreal	1 - 6	Toronto
Montreal	1 - 1	Columbus
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Montreal	0 - 0	Orlando
Montreal	0 - 1	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montreal	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
H	Montreal	4 - 1	NY Red Bulls
H	Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
A	Montreal	0 - 3	New England
A	Montreal	3 - 4	Cincinnati
A	Montreal	1 - 2	Orlando
A	Montreal	3 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Montreal	0 - 3	Chicago
A	Montreal	0 - 5	San Diego
A	Montreal	0 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Montreal	1 - 1	Nashville
A	Montreal	4 - 1	Charlotte
H	Montreal	0 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	Montreal	0 - 2	Saint Louis City
A	Montreal	1 - 1	Toronto
H	Montreal	3 - 2	Austin
H	Montreal	1 - 1	DC United
H	Montreal	1 - 1	Atlanta
A	Montreal	3 - 1	New England

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Miami	3 - 4	Orlando
DC United	3 - 2	Orlando
Columbus	1 - 1	Orlando
LAFC	6 - 0	Orlando
Nashville	5 - 0	Orlando
NY City	5 - 0	Orlando
Chicago	3 - 1	Orlando
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
DC United	1 - 1	Orlando
Nashville	5 - 1	Orlando
Columbus	1 - 3	Orlando
New England	1 - 2	Orlando
Charlotte	2 - 2	Orlando
Saint Louis City	2 - 4	Orlando
Colorado	0 - 1	Orlando
Atlanta	3 - 2	Orlando
Miami	0 - 3	Orlando
Chicago	0 - 0	Orlando
Montreal	0 - 0	Orlando

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Orlando	4 - 3	Miami
A	Orlando	2 - 3	DC United
H	Orlando	4 - 1	Charlotte
H	Orlando	0 - 1	Houston
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	0 - 6	LAFC
A	Orlando	0 - 5	Nashville
H	Orlando	2 - 1	Montreal
A	Orlando	0 - 5	NY City
H	Orlando	2 - 4	Miami
H	Orlando	1 - 2	NY Red Bulls
A	Orlando	1 - 3	Chicago
A	Orlando	2 - 4	Toronto
H	Orlando	1 - 2	Vancouver
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Orlando	3 - 2	Nashville
A	Orlando	1 - 1	DC United
A	Orlando	1 - 5	Nashville
H	Orlando	3 - 1	Sporting KC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Montreal have not lost to Orlando in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Orlando have not lost to Montreal in 6 consecutive league meetings

Montreal

Orlando

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

MTL

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montreal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	4 - 1
	0 - 2	Orlando
	0 - 1	Orlando
	0 - 3	Orlando
Montreal	3 - 0

Orlando

Montreal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

MTL

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Orlando	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Orlando	3 - 0
Orlando	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Orlando	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Montreal
	0 - 2	Montreal

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Montreal Impact in their meeting with Orlando City, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 34 consecutive Major League Soccer outings.

	Montreal 14th	Orlando 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 15% There is a 61% probability that Montreal will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Orlando will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Montreal have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	+10 Orlando’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

better

MTL

ORL

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	6		4
Goals scored	14		16
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		18
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+6%

31%

better

MTL

ORL

view stats

Games conceded	8		11
Clean sheets	2		0
Conceded first	4		7
Goals conceded	23		32
Avg. goals conceded	2.3		2.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		4
Conversion rate against	27%		23%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.9
KickOff rating		+31%