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Minnesota United v Austin : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 00:00 BST, Allianz Field, Saint Paul

Nicolás Estévez Martínez is aiming for a vital away win in the Major League Soccer on Monday morning, as he takes his Austin side to the Allianz Field to visit Minnesota United and Eric Ramsay. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Minnesota or Austin are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Minnesota are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.69.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Minnesota 58%	69/100	4/6
Draw 22%	11/4	13/5
Austin 20%	7/2	16/5
Minnesota 1-0 11%	15/2	13/2
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	6/1
Minnesota 2-0 10%	8/1	15/2
Minnesota 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Minnesota 3-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Minnesota 3-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Austin 1-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Austin 2-1 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	12/1
Minnesota 3-2 3%	20/1	18/1
Minnesota 4-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Minnesota 4-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Austin 2-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Austin 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	7/10	7/10
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	11/10	21/20
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/7	11/20
Away 1st Goal 41%	6/4	17/10
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 53%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 47%	21/20	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 27%	12/5	23/10
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7/1	13/2
Home/draw 80%	2/11	1/5
Away/draw 42%	21/20	21/20
Home/away 78%	1/4	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/5	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	10/3	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	13/8	17/10
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/9	2/5
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	4/1	4/1
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/6	2/13
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1	17/2
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 74%	3/10	3/10
Away DNB 35%	12/5	9/4
Minnesota win to nil 31%	9/4	-
Austin win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 32%	13/8	6/4
Minnesota / Austin 2%	33/1	33/1
Minnesota / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1
Draw / Minnesota 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Austin 9%	17/2	17/2
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	19/4
Austin / Minnesota 4%	20/1	18/1
Austin / Austin 11%	13/2	6/1
Austin / Draw 5%	14/1	14/1

Win / draw / win form

Austin have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	3 - 0	Sporting KC
Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
Minnesota	1 - 1	Portland
Minnesota	1 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 2	Colorado
Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
Minnesota	4 - 1	San Jose
Minnesota	3 - 1	Houston
Minnesota	2 - 4	San Diego
Minnesota	1 - 1	Austin
Minnesota	3 - 0	Saint Louis City
Minnesota	4 - 1	Miami
Minnesota	1 - 3	Vancouver
Minnesota	0 - 0	Dallas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Minnesota	3 - 2	Columbus
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Dallas
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	0 - 6	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 3	Nashville
H	Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	0 - 1	San Diego
H	Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
A	Minnesota	2 - 4	Seattle
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	3 - 0	Sporting KC
A	Minnesota	1 - 1	Colorado
H	Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
A	Minnesota	3 - 1	San Diego

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Jose	5 - 1	Austin
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Miami	2 - 2	Austin
Salt Lake	2 - 1	Austin
Charlotte	3 - 1	Austin
LAFC	2 - 1	Austin
San Jose	2 - 1	Austin
Salt Lake	3 - 1	Austin
Dallas	2 - 0	Austin
Sporting KC	1 - 2	Austin
Montreal	3 - 2	Austin
DC United	2 - 4	Austin
LA Galaxy	1 - 2	Austin
Seattle	2 - 0	Austin
Colorado	0 - 2	Austin
San Diego	2 - 0	Austin
Minnesota	1 - 1	Austin
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Austin
Houston	2 - 0	Austin
Vancouver	5 - 1	Austin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Austin	2 - 0	Saint Louis City
H	Austin	2 - 0	Houston
A	Austin	1 - 5	San Jose
A	Austin	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Austin	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Austin	2 - 2	Miami
H	Austin	0 - 0	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	Salt Lake
A	Austin	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Austin	1 - 0	DC United
H	Austin	2 - 2	Minnesota
H	Austin	1 - 4	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	San Jose
H	Austin	1 - 0	LAFC
H	Austin	1 - 3	Saint Louis City
A	Austin	1 - 3	Salt Lake
H	Austin	2 - 1	Seattle
A	Austin	0 - 2	Dallas
A	Austin	2 - 1	Sporting KC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Minnesota

Austin

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

MIN

AUS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Austin
	1 - 4	Austin
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Austin

Austin

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

MIN

AUS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Austin
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 3	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Austin	2 - 1
Austin	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Minnesota

Goal Statistics

	Minnesota 5th	Austin 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Austin scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Minnesota have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+11 Austin have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

MIN

AUS

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		9
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	4		7
Goals scored	14		14
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	13		18
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+22%

MIN

AUS

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	6		2
Goals conceded	16		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		14
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.8		2.3
KickOff rating		+2%