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Minnesota United v Austin : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 00:00 BST, Allianz Field, Saint Paul

Monday morning sees Eric Ramsay’s Minnesota United and Nicolás Estévez Martínez’s Austin go head to head in a Major League Soccer battle at the Allianz Field. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Minnesota or Austin are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Minnesota are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Minnesota 59%	1.69	1.73
Draw 22%	4.00	3.70
Austin 19%	4.50	3.80
Minnesota 1-0 10%	9.50	8.50
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50	7.00
Minnesota 2-0 10%	9.50	9.00
Minnesota 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Minnesota 3-0 6%	15.00	13.00
Minnesota 3-1 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw 0-0 5%	15.00	13.00
Austin 1-0 5%	17.00	13.00
Austin 2-1 5%	15.00	12.00
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00	12.00
Minnesota 3-2 3%	21.00	17.00
Minnesota 4-0 3%	26.00	21.00
Minnesota 4-1 3%	23.00	19.00
Austin 2-0 3%	26.00	19.00
Austin 3-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	1.62	1.60
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	2.25	2.20
Home 1st Goal 56%	1.57	1.57
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.40	2.50
No 1st Goal 3%	15.00	13.00
BTTS - Yes 54%	1.62	1.60
BTTS - No 46%	2.20	2.20
BTTS - Home Win 27%	3.20	3.20
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.75	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7.50	6.50
Home/draw 81%	1.18	1.22
Away/draw 41%	2.05	2.00
Home/away 78%	1.22	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.18	1.18
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.50	4.33
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2.50	2.50
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1.50	1.48
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	4.33	4.40
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1.20	1.18
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	9.00	8.50
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.07	1.06
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	15.00	13.00
Home DNB 74%	1.30	1.35
Away DNB 35%	3.40	3.00
Minnesota win to nil 32%	3.40	-
Austin win to nil 9%	9.00	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 32%	2.63	2.62
Minnesota / Austin 3%	29.00	29.00
Minnesota / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00
Draw / Minnesota 17%	5.00	4.80
Draw / Austin 8%	9.50	9.00
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	6.00
Austin / Minnesota 4%	19.00	19.00
Austin / Austin 11%	7.00	6.50
Austin / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win form

Austin have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	3 - 0	Sporting KC
Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
Minnesota	1 - 1	Portland
Minnesota	1 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 2	Colorado
Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
Minnesota	4 - 1	San Jose
Minnesota	3 - 1	Houston
Minnesota	2 - 4	San Diego
Minnesota	1 - 1	Austin
Minnesota	3 - 0	Saint Louis City
Minnesota	4 - 1	Miami
Minnesota	1 - 3	Vancouver
Minnesota	0 - 0	Dallas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Minnesota	3 - 2	Columbus
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Dallas
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	0 - 6	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 3	Nashville
H	Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	0 - 1	San Diego
H	Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
A	Minnesota	2 - 4	Seattle
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	3 - 0	Sporting KC
A	Minnesota	1 - 1	Colorado
H	Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
A	Minnesota	3 - 1	San Diego

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Jose	5 - 1	Austin
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Miami	2 - 2	Austin
Salt Lake	2 - 1	Austin
Charlotte	3 - 1	Austin
LAFC	2 - 1	Austin
San Jose	2 - 1	Austin
Salt Lake	3 - 1	Austin
Dallas	2 - 0	Austin
Sporting KC	1 - 2	Austin
Montreal	3 - 2	Austin
DC United	2 - 4	Austin
LA Galaxy	1 - 2	Austin
Seattle	2 - 0	Austin
Colorado	0 - 2	Austin
San Diego	2 - 0	Austin
Minnesota	1 - 1	Austin
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Austin
Houston	2 - 0	Austin
Vancouver	5 - 1	Austin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Austin	2 - 0	Saint Louis City
H	Austin	2 - 0	Houston
A	Austin	1 - 5	San Jose
A	Austin	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Austin	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Austin	2 - 2	Miami
H	Austin	0 - 0	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	Salt Lake
A	Austin	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Austin	1 - 0	DC United
H	Austin	2 - 2	Minnesota
H	Austin	1 - 4	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	San Jose
H	Austin	1 - 0	LAFC
H	Austin	1 - 3	Saint Louis City
A	Austin	1 - 3	Salt Lake
H	Austin	2 - 1	Seattle
A	Austin	0 - 2	Dallas
A	Austin	2 - 1	Sporting KC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Minnesota

Austin

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

MIN

AUS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Austin
	1 - 4	Austin
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Austin

Austin

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

MIN

AUS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Austin
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 3	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Austin	2 - 1
Austin	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Minnesota

Goal Statistics

	Minnesota 5th	Austin 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Austin scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Minnesota have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+11 Austin have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

MIN

AUS

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		10
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	4		8
Goals scored	14		16
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+26%

MIN

AUS

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	6		2
Goals conceded	16		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.8		2.2
KickOff rating		+8%

Minnesota v Austin Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	7	4	4
D Callender	K Yeboah	T Chancalay	J Díaz

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Callender GLK	11			-
J Díaz DEF	10		1	4 -
M. Duggan DEF	11	1		3 -
N Romero DEF	6			1 -
D Padelford DEF	10		1	-
T Chancalay MID	11	1	4	1 -
N Triantis MID	11	1	1	1 -
O Gene MID	10			-
A Markanich MID	11	3	2	2 -
K Yeboah FWD	11	7		1 -
J Pereyra FWD	11		4	1 -
Subs
A. Smir GLK				-
M Boxall DEF	3			-
D Taylor DEF	4			1 -
K. Chandler DEF	1			-
D Fitz MID				-
J Rodríguez MID	4			-
W Trapp MID	10			1 -
M Gonzalez FWD	3			-
M. Dieng FWD	10			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	11	4	8
K Yeboah	K Yeboah	T Chancalay	J Pereyra

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Yeboah FWD	7	11		1
A Markanich MID	3	5	2	3
M. Duggan DEF	1	4
T Chancalay MID	1	9	4	4
N Triantis MID	1	6	1	1
J Díaz DEF		5	1	1
D Padelford DEF		1	1	1
O Gene MID				1
J Pereyra FWD		3	4	8
Subs
J Rodríguez MID		2		2
W Trapp MID				1
M Gonzalez FWD		2
M. Dieng FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
516	22	64
J Pereyra	A Markanich	A Markanich

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra FWD	516	13	56
J Díaz DEF	482	17	48
M. Duggan DEF	477	11	33
N Triantis MID	430	21	39
T Chancalay MID	361	16	43
A Markanich MID	336	22	64
Subs
W Trapp MID	323	15	22
O Gene MID	291	14	25
D Callender GLK	255		2
N Romero DEF	188	4	18
K Yeboah FWD	184	5	54
D Padelford DEF	154	10	29
Subs
J Rodríguez MID	103	2	7
M Boxall DEF	54		4
D Taylor DEF	54	4	6
M. Dieng FWD	37		12
M Gonzalez FWD	25	2	3
K. Chandler DEF	5

Austin Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	4	4
B Stuver	M Uzuni	F Torres	G Biro

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Stuver GLK	11			1 -
M Desler DEF	6			3 -
O Svatok DEF	10			-
B Hines-Ike DEF	10	1		2 -
G Biro DEF	9	1		3 1
F Torres MID	11	1	4	2 -
J Erazo MID	11	1	1	2 -
I Sánchez MID	10			2 -
J Gallagher MID	11		1	1 -
C Ramirez FWD	10	3	1	-
M Uzuni FWD	10	4	1	2 -
Subs
D Las GLK				-
J Bell DEF	10	2		1 -
Z Kolmanic DEF	4			-
D Pereira MID	5		1	1 -
B Sabovic MID	9			2 -
C Fodrey MID	10			-
N. Dubersarsky MID	9			1 -
O Wolff MID	1			-
B Vazquez FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	4	3
M Uzuni	M Uzuni	F Torres	F Torres

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Uzuni FWD	4	9	1	1
C Ramirez FWD	3	6	1
Subs
J Bell DEF	2	2
B Hines-Ike DEF	1	4
G Biro DEF	1	3
F Torres MID	1	8	4	3
J Erazo MID	1	3	1	1
M Desler DEF		1
O Svatok DEF		1		1
I Sánchez MID		3		1
J Gallagher MID		3	1	3
Subs
D Pereira MID		1	1	1
B Sabovic MID		1
C Fodrey MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
496	24	61
B Hines-Ike	J Erazo	J Erazo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Hines-Ike DEF	496	6	25
O Svatok DEF	495	12	28
F Torres MID	433	11	51
J Erazo MID	421	24	61
B Stuver GLK	377		5
G Biro DEF	308	8	39
I Sánchez MID	299	6	18
Subs
N. Dubersarsky MID	297	17	28
J Gallagher MID	275	11	31
Subs
J Bell DEF	192	6	17
M Desler DEF	173	11	24
Subs
D Pereira MID	167	3	14
M Uzuni FWD	162	9	38
Subs
B Sabovic MID	140	4	9
C Ramirez FWD	81	3	13
Subs
Z Kolmanic DEF	72	3	6
C Fodrey MID	25	1	15
O Wolff MID	3		2
B Vazquez FWD	2