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San Diego v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 02:30 BST, Snapdragon Stadium, California

The Major League Soccer is the focus for both San Diego and Cincinnati on Sunday morning, as managers Mikey Varas and Pat Noonan battle it out at the Snapdragon Stadium. For each and every Major League Soccer fixture, KickOff delves into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Cincinnati prepare themselves for this clash, they may well be excited for what's in store. After reviewing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a bet worth taking, as both clubs know how to find the back of the net and either could win. The prediction and odds are both pointing in the same direction: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think San Diego are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.96.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
San Diego 54%	24/25	10/11
Draw 20%	29/10	27/10
Cincinnati 26%	11/5	21/10
San Diego 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2
Draw 1-1 7%	15/2	7/1
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	9/1
San Diego 3-1 7%	12/1	11/1
Cincinnati 2-1 6%	11/1	10/1
San Diego 3-2 5%	16/1	14/1
San Diego 2-0 5%	14/1	11/1
San Diego 1-0 5%	12/1	10/1
San Diego 3-0 4%	20/1	16/1
San Diego 4-1 4%	25/1	20/1
Cincinnati 3-2 4%	20/1	18/1
San Diego 4-2 3%	28/1	25/1
Cincinnati 3-1 3%	20/1	18/1
Cincinnati 1-0 3%	18/1	14/1
Draw 3-3 3%	25/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 75%	2/5	2/5
Under 2.5 Goals 25%	15/8	7/4
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/6	4/6
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	5/4
No 1st Goal 1%	22/1	16/1
BTTS - Yes 72%	2/5	2/5
BTTS - No 28%	7/4	7/4
BTTS - Home Win 36%	21/10	2/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 18%	15/4	18/5
Home/draw 74%	4/11	1/3
Away/draw 46%	4/5	4/5
Home/away 80%	1/4	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 90%	1/9	1/8
Under 1.5 Goals 10%	11/2	19/4
Over 3.5 Goals 56%	1/1	19/20
Under 3.5 Goals 44%	8/11	3/4
Over 4.5 Goals 36%	12/5	11/5
Under 4.5 Goals 64%	3/10	3/10
Over 5.5 Goals 21%	5/1	9/2
Under 5.5 Goals 79%	1/8	1/8
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/80	1/80
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	22/1	16/1
Home DNB 68%	1/2	1/2
Away DNB 40%	6/4	29/20
San Diego win to nil 18%	4/1	-
Cincinnati win to nil 8%	7/1	-
San Diego / San Diego 27%	21/10	19/10
San Diego / Cincinnati 4%	22/1	22/1
San Diego / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / San Diego 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Cincinnati 10%	7/1	15/2
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Cincinnati / San Diego 5%	18/1	16/1
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 16%	4/1	4/1
Cincinnati / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Diego	2 - 2	LAFC
San Diego	1 - 2	Portland
San Diego	1 - 2	Minnesota
San Diego	2 - 2	Salt Lake
San Diego	2 - 0	Saint Louis City
San Diego	5 - 0	Montreal
San Diego	1 - 3	Vancouver
San Diego	1 - 0	Minnesota
San Diego	4 - 0	Portland
San Diego	2 - 1	Portland
San Diego	0 - 1	San Jose
San Diego	1 - 3	Minnesota
San Diego	0 - 0	Portland
San Diego	1 - 0	Nashville
San Diego	1 - 1	Vancouver
San Diego	0 - 1	Toronto
San Diego	3 - 4	Houston
San Diego	2 - 0	Austin
San Diego	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
San Diego	0 - 0	Sporting KC

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	San Diego	1 - 1	Seattle
H	San Diego	2 - 2	LAFC
H	San Diego	1 - 2	Portland
A	San Diego	0 - 1	Houston
A	San Diego	2 - 4	Salt Lake
H	San Diego	1 - 2	Minnesota
A	San Diego	0 - 3	San Jose
H	San Diego	2 - 2	Salt Lake
A	San Diego	3 - 3	Dallas
A	San Diego	1 - 0	Sporting KC
H	San Diego	2 - 0	Saint Louis City
H	San Diego	5 - 0	Montreal
H	San Diego	1 - 3	Vancouver
H	San Diego	1 - 0	Minnesota
H	San Diego	4 - 0	Portland
A	San Diego	2 - 2	Portland
H	San Diego	2 - 1	Portland
A	San Diego	4 - 0	Portland
A	San Diego	4 - 2	Houston
H	San Diego	0 - 1	San Jose

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlotte	2 - 2	Cincinnati
Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
NY City	4 - 4	Cincinnati
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	4 - 2	Cincinnati
New England	6 - 1	Cincinnati
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Columbus	4 - 0	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	0 - 1	Cincinnati
LA Galaxy	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Portland	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Miami	0 - 0	Cincinnati
Salt Lake	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Orlando	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Montreal	1 - 3	Cincinnati
New England	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Atlanta	4 - 2	Cincinnati
Columbus	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati
NY City	1 - 0	Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cincinnati	2 - 2	Charlotte
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	Chicago
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Cincinnati	4 - 4	NY City
H	Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
A	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	2 - 4	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 6	New England
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Minnesota
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	Atlanta
H	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Miami
H	Cincinnati	2 - 1	Columbus
A	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	1 - 0	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	3 - 0	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 0	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	LA Galaxy

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for San Diego in their clash with Cincinnati, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Major League Soccer games.

Cincinnati have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Major League Soccer games. Their PG of 1.6 against San Diego on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	San Diego 12th	Cincinnati 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.3 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 10% 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 21% There is a 68% probability that San Diego will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 San Diego have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Cincinnati have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

better

CIN

view stats

Games scored	10		10
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	7		4
Goals scored	20		24
Avg. goals scored	1.7		2
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	4		5
Conversion rate for	23		20
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+4%

20%

better

CIN

view stats

Games conceded	9		10
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	5		8
Goals conceded	20		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	16%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.9
KickOff rating		+20%