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New York City v Nashville SC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Sep, 00:30 BST, Yankee Stadium, New York City

Brian Joseph Callaghan II guides his Nashville SC charges to the Yankee Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Saturday morning, with Pascal Jansen's New York City waiting for them. Analysing both teams' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that NY City and Nashville will score at least two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.22.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Nashville coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
NY City 32%	3.10	-
Draw 25%	3.60	-
Nashville 43%	2.20	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	-
Nashville 1-0 9%	9.00	-
Nashville 2-1 9%	9.00	-
NY City 1-0 8%	11.00	-
NY City 2-1 8%	11.00	-
Nashville 2-0 7%	12.00	-
Draw 0-0 6%	12.00	-
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	-
NY City 2-0 5%	17.00	-
Nashville 3-1 4%	17.00	-
Nashville 3-0 4%	21.00	-
NY City 3-1 3%	23.00	-
Nashville 3-2 3%	23.00	-
NY City 3-2 2%	29.00	-
NY City 3-0 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	1.80	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	2.00	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	2.10	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	1.80	-
No 1st Goal 4%	12.00	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	1.67	-
BTTS - No 44%	2.10	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5.50	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	4.33	-
Home/draw 57%	1.62	-
Away/draw 68%	1.36	-
Home/away 75%	1.29	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1.22	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	4.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	2.75	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1.40	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5.50	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	11.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.05	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.04	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12.00	-
Home DNB 50%	2.20	-
Away DNB 60%	1.62	-
NY City win to nil 16%	6.00	-
Nashville win to nil 22%	4.00	-
NY City / NY City 17%	4.75	-
NY City / Nashville 4%	23.00	-
NY City / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / NY City 12%	7.00	-
Draw / Nashville 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	-
Nashville / NY City 3%	26.00	-
Nashville / Nashville 23%	3.60	-
Nashville / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Nashville have won 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City	2 - 3	Philadelphia
NY City	1 - 1	Toronto
NY City	3 - 1	Chicago
NY City	3 - 0	Columbus
NY City	0 - 2	DC United
NY City	4 - 4	Cincinnati
NY City	1 - 2	Charlotte
NY City	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
NY City	2 - 3	Miami
NY City	3 - 1	Colorado
NY City	5 - 0	Orlando
NY City	0 - 0	Charlotte
NY City	1 - 2	Seattle
NY City	0 - 4	Miami
NY City	2 - 0	Charlotte
NY City	3 - 2	Columbus
NY City	1 - 2	DC United
NY City	2 - 1	Nashville
NY City	3 - 1	Toronto
NY City	4 - 0	Atlanta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	NY City	1 - 1	Toronto
A	NY City	1 - 1	New England
A	NY City	1 - 2	Cincinnati
H	NY City	2 - 3	Philadelphia
H	NY City	1 - 1	Toronto
H	NY City	3 - 1	Chicago
A	NY City	2 - 1	Columbus
A	NY City	1 - 2	Nashville
A	NY City	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	NY City	1 - 0	Charlotte
H	NY City	3 - 0	Columbus
H	NY City	0 - 2	DC United
A	NY City	0 - 1	Montreal
H	NY City	4 - 4	Cincinnati
H	NY City	1 - 2	Charlotte
A	NY City	0 - 2	Vancouver
H	NY City	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
H	NY City	2 - 3	Miami
H	NY City	3 - 1	Colorado
H	NY City	5 - 0	Orlando

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY Red Bulls	0 - 1	Nashville
DC United	2 - 2	Nashville
Orlando	1 - 0	Nashville
New England	0 - 3	Nashville
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
Atlanta	0 - 2	Nashville
Charlotte	1 - 2	Nashville
Chicago	1 - 0	Nashville
Columbus	0 - 1	Nashville
Dallas	0 - 0	Nashville
Miami	4 - 0	Nashville
Miami	3 - 1	Nashville
Montreal	1 - 1	Nashville
Orlando	3 - 2	Nashville
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Nashville
NY City	2 - 1	Nashville
Saint Louis City	3 - 1	Nashville
San Diego	1 - 0	Nashville
Miami	2 - 1	Nashville
DC United	0 - 1	Nashville

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Nashville	4 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Nashville	3 - 2	Columbus
A	Nashville	1 - 0	NY Red Bulls
H	Nashville	4 - 1	Miami
A	Nashville	2 - 2	DC United
A	Nashville	0 - 1	Orlando
H	Nashville	1 - 0	Montreal
H	Nashville	1 - 0	Atlanta
H	Nashville	2 - 1	NY City
H	Nashville	3 - 2	LAFC
A	Nashville	3 - 0	New England
H	Nashville	2 - 2	DC United
A	Nashville	0 - 0	Philadelphia
H	Nashville	4 - 2	Charlotte
A	Nashville	2 - 0	Atlanta
A	Nashville	2 - 1	Charlotte
A	Nashville	0 - 1	Chicago
H	Nashville	5 - 0	Orlando
A	Nashville	1 - 0	Columbus
H	Nashville	3 - 1	Minnesota

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

NY City have beaten Nashville in 3 consecutive home league meetings

NY City

Nashville

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

NYC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City	2 - 1
NY City	3 - 1
NY City	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Nashville

NY City

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

NSH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nashville
Nashville	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Nashville	1 - 0
Nashville	2 - 0
Nashville	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Nashville SC have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.5 against New York City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	NY City 7th	Nashville 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that NY City will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Nashville will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-29 Nashville have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

NYC

NSH

better

view stats

Games scored	19		18
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	12		17
Goals scored	36		47
Avg. goals scored	1.6		2.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	19		24
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

NYC

NSH

42%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		12
Clean sheets	3		10
Conceded first	10		3
Goals conceded	31		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		10
Conversion rate against	15%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+42%

NY City v Nashville Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	14	6	8
M Freese	N Mercau	A Ojeda	N Mercau

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Freese GLK	22			-
A Ojeda FWD	22	5	6	1 -
N Mercau FWD	21	14	3	8 -
T Gray DEF	20	1	1	5 1
R Gustavo DEF	18			3 -
T Martins DEF	18			-
K Parks MID	18	2		5 -
J. Shore MID	17			1 -
H Wolf FWD	17	5	2	2 -
T Magno FWD	16	2	2	1 -
K Trewin MID	15			3 -
K O'Toole DEF	14			-
M Moralez MID	14	1	6	1 -
N. Cavallo DEF	13			1 -
A Perea MID	12	1	1	1 -
M. Jones FWD	12	1		2 -
S. Garfield-Reid FWD	12			-
A O'Neill MID	11		1	2 -
A. Farnós Olive FWD	8			-
J Sands MID	7	1		1 -
B Traoré FWD	7	1		-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID	6			-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	4	2		2 -
A. Baiera DEF	3			-
M. Murray DEF	2			-
K. Pierre Jr. MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	32	6	12
N Mercau	N Mercau	A Ojeda	N Mercau

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Mercau FWD	14	32	3	12
A Ojeda FWD	5	11	6	6
H Wolf FWD	5	10	2	1
K Parks MID	2	4		2
T Magno FWD	2	9	2	2
L. Sousa Santos FWD	2	5
T Gray DEF	1	4	1	5
M Moralez MID	1	5	6	8
A Perea MID	1	6	1	1
M. Jones FWD	1	6		1
J Sands MID	1	2
B Traoré FWD	1	2
R Gustavo DEF		2
T Martins DEF		1
J. Shore MID		1
K Trewin MID		3		2
K O'Toole DEF		2		1
N. Cavallo DEF				1
S. Garfield-Reid FWD		1
A O'Neill MID		1	1	1
A. Farnós Olive FWD		1		1
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1454	46	142
T Martins	T Gray	N Mercau

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Martins DEF	1454	13	41
T Gray DEF	1034	46	89
R Gustavo DEF	952	19	56
K Trewin MID	928	25	52
N Mercau FWD	800	39	142
K O'Toole DEF	636	16	35
A O'Neill MID	626	29	57
K Parks MID	622	20	68
M Moralez MID	601	18	49
A Ojeda FWD	546	23	67
M Freese GLK	524		8
J Sands MID	447	9	25
N. Cavallo DEF	396	32	52
H Wolf FWD	351	23	50
A Perea MID	330	14	46
J. Shore MID	255	19	38
T Magno FWD	124	7	40
M. Jones FWD	95	10	34
M. Murray DEF	91	2	5
B Traoré FWD	89	4	20
A. Farnós Olive FWD	58	1	12
L. Sousa Santos FWD	49	4	17
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID	44	4	6
S. Garfield-Reid FWD	24	3	8
A. Baiera DEF	13
K. Pierre Jr. MID	12	2	3

Nashville Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	13	9	6
B Schwake	S Surridge	C Espinoza	D Lovitz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Schwake GLK	22		1	1 -
M Woledzi DEF	22	2	1	-
D Lovitz DEF	22		1	6 -
H Mukhtar MID	22	10	6	2 -
A Qasem FWD	20	2	1	3 -
A Nájar DEF	19	2	3	4 -
M Corcoran MID	19			4 1
A Muyl FWD	19		1	2 -
C Espinoza FWD	18	3	9	1 -
J Palacios DEF	17	1	1	3 -
E Tagseth MID	17	1		2 -
S Surridge FWD	16	13		2 -
R Baker-Whiting DEF	15	1	1	1 -
J Bauer DEF	15			1 -
W Madrigal FWD	15	5	3	-
B Ramos MID	13	3	1	2 -
P Yazbek MID	13	1	3	-
J Maher DEF	9			1 -
E Saad FWD	5		3	1 -
J. Knight DEF	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	26	9	12
S Surridge	H Mukhtar	C Espinoza	C Espinoza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Surridge FWD	13	21		1
H Mukhtar MID	10	26	6	7
W Madrigal FWD	5	8	3	3
C Espinoza FWD	3	10	9	12
B Ramos MID	3	3	1	2
M Woledzi DEF	2	2	1
A Qasem FWD	2	7	1	2
A Nájar DEF	2	4	3	3
J Palacios DEF	1	3	1
E Tagseth MID	1	1		2
R Baker-Whiting DEF	1	2	1	1
P Yazbek MID	1	5	3	3
B Schwake GLK			1	1
D Lovitz DEF		2	1	2
M Corcoran MID		3		1
A Muyl FWD		3	1	2
J Maher DEF		1
E Saad FWD		1	3	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1433	37	89
M Woledzi	M Woledzi	J Palacios

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Woledzi DEF	1433	37	84
J Palacios DEF	1174	29	89
M Corcoran MID	942	37	65
A Nájar DEF	889	21	69
E Tagseth MID	820	31	49
D Lovitz DEF	803	33	68
B Schwake GLK	698		10
H Mukhtar MID	695	13	61
P Yazbek MID	553	13	26
J Maher DEF	483	6	20
C Espinoza FWD	479	9	40
B Ramos MID	384	11	23
R Baker-Whiting DEF	317	9	23
J Bauer DEF	296	14	28
A Qasem FWD	255	19	49
S Surridge FWD	224	5	51
A Muyl FWD	214	15	37
W Madrigal FWD	160	11	56
E Saad FWD	117	6	24
J. Knight DEF	14	4	5