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Portland Timbers v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 6th Sep, 03:30 BST, Providence Park, Portland

Home advantage makes a difference in the Major League Soccer, and Martí Cifuentes Corvillo’s Portland Timbers will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Cameron Knowles’s Minnesota United are their visitors to the Providence Park. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Major League Soccer clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to on over 2.5 goals top tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Portland 46%	23/20	-
Draw 22%	27/10	-
Minnesota 32%	21/10	-
Draw 1-1 9%	6/1	-
Portland 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Minnesota 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	-
Portland 1-0 6%	11/1	-
Portland 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Portland 2-0 5%	12/1	-
Minnesota 1-0 5%	14/1	-
Portland 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Minnesota 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Minnesota 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Minnesota 3-2 4%	22/1	-
Portland 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	16/1	-
Portland 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	8/15	-
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	7/5	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	21/20	-
No 1st Goal 1%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 68%	1/2	-
BTTS - No 32%	6/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	13/5	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	4/1	-
Home/draw 68%	4/11	-
Away/draw 54%	4/6	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	5/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	4/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	3/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	2/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	16/1	-
Home DNB 61%	4/7	-
Away DNB 48%	5/4	-
Portland win to nil 17%	7/2	-
Minnesota win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Portland / Portland 24%	12/5	-
Portland / Minnesota 4%	22/1	-
Portland / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Portland 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Minnesota 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Minnesota / Portland 4%	20/1	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 17%	15/4	-
Minnesota / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portland	1 - 2	Austin
Portland	3 - 1	San Diego
Portland	2 - 1	Seattle
Portland	2 - 1	Salt Lake
Portland	2 - 2	Dallas
Portland	1 - 3	San Jose
Portland	6 - 0	Sporting KC
Portland	2 - 1	LAFC
Portland	1 - 1	LA Galaxy
Portland	1 - 4	Vancouver
Portland	3 - 2	Columbus
Portland	2 - 2	San Diego
Portland	3 - 1	Salt Lake
Portland	0 - 4	San Diego
Portland	2 - 2	Dallas
Portland	2 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Portland	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Portland	1 - 1	Minnesota
Portland	0 - 1	Salt Lake
Portland	2 - 1	New England

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Portland	1 - 2	Austin
A	Portland	1 - 1	LAFC
H	Portland	3 - 1	San Diego
A	Portland	1 - 2	Chicago
H	Portland	2 - 1	Seattle
H	Portland	2 - 1	Salt Lake
H	Portland	2 - 2	Dallas
A	Portland	5 - 1	Seattle
H	Portland	1 - 3	San Jose
A	Portland	0 - 2	Miami
A	Portland	2 - 2	Montreal
H	Portland	6 - 0	Sporting KC
A	Portland	0 - 2	Salt Lake
A	Portland	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Portland	0 - 2	Minnesota
H	Portland	2 - 1	LAFC
A	Portland	2 - 3	Vancouver
H	Portland	1 - 1	LA Galaxy
A	Portland	2 - 3	Houston
H	Portland	1 - 4	Vancouver

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Jose	1 - 5	Minnesota
Salt Lake	1 - 1	Minnesota
Sporting KC	2 - 1	Minnesota
New England	2 - 1	Minnesota
Columbus	2 - 3	Minnesota
Dallas	0 - 1	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 2	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	1 - 2	Minnesota
Vancouver	6 - 0	Minnesota
Nashville	3 - 1	Minnesota
Austin	2 - 2	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 0	Minnesota
Seattle	4 - 2	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	2 - 1	Minnesota
Colorado	1 - 1	Minnesota
San Diego	1 - 3	Minnesota
Salt Lake	1 - 3	Minnesota
Saint Louis City	1 - 2	Minnesota
Portland	1 - 1	Minnesota
Dallas	1 - 2	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Minnesota	3 - 3	Orlando
A	Minnesota	5 - 1	San Jose
H	Minnesota	1 - 2	Atlanta
A	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	San Diego
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	Sporting KC
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	New England
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	Colorado
H	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	3 - 2	Columbus
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Dallas
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
A	Minnesota	0 - 6	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 3	Nashville

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Portland

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

3 / 9

POT

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portland
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Portland	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Minnesota
Portland	1 - 0
Portland	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Minnesota
	1 - 3	Minnesota
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Portland	3 - 2

Minnesota

Portland

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

0 / 8

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Minnesota	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	4 - 1
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	1 - 0
Minnesota	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Portland Timbers have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Minnesota United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Portland 11th	Minnesota 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Portland will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Portland have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	+26 Minnesota have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

21%

better

POT

MIN

view stats

Games scored	18		17
Failed to score	4		5
Scored first	8		5
Goals scored	39		30
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.7
KickOff rating		+21%

POT

MIN

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		17
Clean sheets	1		5
Conceded first	14		15
Goals conceded	39		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

Portland v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Portland Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	5	6	5
J Pantemis	K Velde	K Velde	K Miller

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pantemis GLK	22			1 -
F Surman DEF	22	1	1	1 -
J Fory DEF	21		2	3 1
Antony FWD	21	3	1	-
K Velde FWD	21	5	6	3 -
B Bye DEF	20	1	3	4 -
D Costa MID	19	3	6	1 -
K Miller DEF	18	1		4 1
C Bassett MID	18	3	3	2 -
A Lassiter FWD	17	3	2	2 -
K Sierocki MID	16			4 -
I. Smith DEF	15			3 -
A Guzmán FWD	15	1		-
J Ortiz MID	14		1	-
A. Bonetig DEF	8	1		1 -
G. Guerra FWD	7	1	1	-
O Fernandez FWD	4			-
E Miller DEF	3			-
J Mosquera DEF	3	1	1	-
V Janssen FWD	3			2 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	6	10
K Velde	K Velde	K Velde	K Velde

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Velde FWD	5	19	6	10
Antony FWD	3	9	1	4
D Costa MID	3	10	6	6
C Bassett MID	3	10	3	2
A Lassiter FWD	3	7	2	5
F Surman DEF	1	3	1
B Bye DEF	1	4	3	6
K Miller DEF	1	1
A Guzmán FWD	1	7
A. Bonetig DEF	1	1
G. Guerra FWD	1	2	1	2
J Mosquera DEF	1	2	1	1
J Fory DEF			2	4
K Sierocki MID				2
I. Smith DEF		1		1
J Ortiz MID		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1208	38	127
F Surman	J Fory	K Velde

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Surman DEF	1208	33	90
J Fory DEF	1025	38	83
K Miller DEF	939	13	48
C Bassett MID	916	22	57
D Costa MID	880	15	46
B Bye DEF	868	28	95
J Pantemis GLK	628	1	12
K Velde FWD	624	23	127
K Sierocki MID	555	33	54
Antony FWD	535	18	69
J Ortiz MID	367	9	24
A. Bonetig DEF	345	7	17
A Lassiter FWD	246	5	22
I. Smith DEF	216	13	37
A Guzmán FWD	204	3	25
E Miller DEF	89	1	6
G. Guerra FWD	44	3	8
J Mosquera DEF	34	3	6
V Janssen FWD	24	2	5
O Fernandez FWD	12		3

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	11	8	7
D Callender	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Callender GLK	22			1 -
A Markanich DEF	22	6	3	3 -
M. Duggan DEF	22	1		4 -
J Pereyra MID	22	3	8	4 -
T Chancalay FWD	22	2	4	4 -
O Gene MID	21		1	2 -
W Trapp MID	21		1	2 -
K Yeboah FWD	21	11	1	2 -
J Díaz DEF	20		1	7 -
K Duncan DEF	18	1	2	3 -
M. Dieng FWD	18			1 -
N Triantis MID	17	1	1	2 -
B Hlongwane FWD	15			1 -
M Boxall DEF	14			3 -
N Romero DEF	9			2 -
C Harvey MID	8			1 -
M. Caldeira FWD	5	2	1	-
D Taylor DEF	4			1 -
J Gressel MID	4			1 -
A. Smir GLK	1			-
K. Chandler DEF	1			-
A Jackson MID	1			-
P Stroud MID	1			-
M. González Villa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	21	8	20
K Yeboah	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Yeboah FWD	11	21	1	4
A Markanich DEF	6	15	3	5
J Pereyra MID	3	11	8	20
T Chancalay FWD	2	15	4	6
M. Caldeira FWD	2	2	1	1
M. Duggan DEF	1	7		2
K Duncan DEF	1	4	2	3
N Triantis MID	1	6	1	1
O Gene MID			1	4
W Trapp MID		1	1	1
J Díaz DEF		7	1	3
M. Dieng FWD		11
M Boxall DEF				1
N Romero DEF		1
M. González Villa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1065	42	122
J Pereyra	A Markanich	A Markanich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra MID	1065	31	112
M. Duggan DEF	1034	32	80
J Díaz DEF	954	33	97
W Trapp MID	761	33	55
O Gene MID	754	27	49
A Markanich DEF	681	42	122
T Chancalay FWD	646	23	71
N Triantis MID	575	29	58
D Callender GLK	514		4
K Duncan DEF	457	28	76
M Boxall DEF	368	9	33
K Yeboah FWD	318	11	85
N Romero DEF	304	8	26
B Hlongwane FWD	185	6	15
M. Dieng FWD	114	2	44
C Harvey MID	90	2	5
D Taylor DEF	54	4	6
M. Caldeira FWD	49	2	12
J Gressel MID	30		1
A Jackson MID	13	1	3
A. Smir GLK	12
P Stroud MID	12	1	1
M. González Villa FWD	9		2
K. Chandler DEF	5