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Toronto FC v Chicago Fire : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 6th Sep, 00:30 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Home advantage makes a difference in the Major League Soccer, and Robin Fraser’s Toronto FC will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Gregg Berhalter’s Chicago Fire are their visitors to the BMO Field. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping over 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Robin Fraser prepares his side for kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Stats imply both clubs possess a number of attacking options, with goals in plentiful supply of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the match, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Chicago coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 35%	9/5	-
Draw 22%	27/10	-
Chicago 43%	5/4	-
Draw 1-1 9%	13/2	-
Chicago 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Toronto 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	-
Chicago 1-0 5%	11/1	-
Chicago 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Chicago 2-0 5%	12/1	-
Toronto 1-0 5%	12/1	-
Chicago 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Toronto 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Toronto 2-0 4%	16/1	-
Toronto 3-2 4%	22/1	-
Chicago 3-0 3%	22/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	16/1	-
Chicago 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	8/15	-
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	7/5	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	1/1	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	4/5	-
No 1st Goal 1%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 69%	1/2	-
BTTS - No 31%	6/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 27%	11/4	-
Home/draw 57%	4/7	-
Away/draw 65%	2/5	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	5/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	4/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	3/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	2/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	16/1	-
Home DNB 50%	11/10	-
Away DNB 59%	4/6	-
Toronto win to nil 12%	11/2	-
Chicago win to nil 16%	4/1	-
Toronto / Toronto 18%	7/2	-
Toronto / Chicago 4%	20/1	-
Toronto / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Toronto 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Chicago 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Chicago / Toronto 4%	22/1	-
Chicago / Chicago 23%	13/5	-
Chicago / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
Toronto	2 - 1	New England
Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	2 - 1	Miami
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 1	New England
A	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	1 - 2	DC United
A	Toronto	0 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Montreal
A	Toronto	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Toronto	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
H	Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Toronto	1 - 0	Cincinnati

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Seattle	2 - 2	Chicago
NY Red Bulls	1 - 1	Chicago
Orlando	1 - 2	Chicago
NY City	3 - 1	Chicago
Miami	3 - 2	Chicago
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
DC United	1 - 3	Chicago
Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
Columbus	0 - 0	Chicago
Houston	2 - 1	Chicago
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
New England	2 - 2	Chicago
Miami	3 - 5	Chicago
Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
Atlanta	2 - 2	Chicago
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Chicago
DC United	1 - 7	Chicago

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chicago	2 - 2	Seattle
A	Chicago	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Chicago	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Portland
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Charlotte
A	Chicago	1 - 3	NY City
A	Chicago	2 - 3	Miami
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Toronto
A	Chicago	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Chicago	3 - 1	DC United
H	Chicago	1 - 3	NY Red Bulls
H	Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Chicago	5 - 0	Sporting KC
A	Chicago	3 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Chicago	1 - 0	Atlanta
H	Chicago	1 - 0	Nashville
A	Chicago	2 - 1	Philadelphia
H	Chicago	1 - 2	DC United
A	Chicago	0 - 0	Columbus
H	Chicago	3 - 0	Montreal

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

Chicago

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

TOR

CHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
	1 - 2	Chicago
	1 - 4	Chicago
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Toronto	3 - 2
Toronto	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toronto	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Chicago

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

0 / 8

TOR

CHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chicago
Chicago	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chicago	1 - 0
Chicago	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Toronto

Goal Statistics

Toronto FC have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer games. Their PG of 1.7 against Chicago Fire on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Toronto 9th	Chicago 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Chicago will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+16 Toronto have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted	+24 Chicago have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	2.2 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

TOR

CHI

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		20
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	6		14
Goals scored	32		39
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		19
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.9
KickOff rating		+26%

TOR

CHI

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		15
Clean sheets	3		6
Conceded first	14		6
Goals conceded	38		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	19%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+29%

Toronto v Chicago Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	6	4	7
L Gavran	D Sallói	D Sallói	J Osorio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	22	1		-
Alonso MID	22		3	3 -
D Sallói FWD	22	6	4	2 -
K Franklin DEF	18	2	2	-
W Zimmerman DEF	18	1		4 1
Z. Monlouis DEF	18			1 -
R Laryea DEF	17	2	1	4 -
J Osorio MID	17		3	7 -
D Junior FWD	17	3	1	-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	16	3		1 -
M. Henry MID	15			3 -
J Sargent FWD	15	4	2	-
R Edwards DEF	12			3 1
Đorđe Mihailović MID	11	2	3	1 1
B Kuscevic DEF	10			3 -
D Kerr FWD	10			-
J. Gilman DEF	9			1 -
T Corbeanu FWD	9	1	2	1 -
L Stefanovic DEF	6			1 -
M Cimermancic MID	6	1		-
M Pereira DEF	5			2 -
J Vilsaint FWD	4			-
N Gomis DEF	3			-
N Dorsch MID	3	2		1 -
H Wingo DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	4	4
D Sallói	D Sallói	D Sallói	Alonso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sallói FWD	6	21	4	3
J Sargent FWD	4	12	2	3
D Junior FWD	3	10	1	1
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	3	8		2
K Franklin DEF	2	4	2	1
R Laryea DEF	2	3	1	3
Đorđe Mihailović MID	2	10	3	1
N Dorsch MID	2	2
L Gavran GLK	1	1
W Zimmerman DEF	1	3
T Corbeanu FWD	1	2	2	3
M Cimermancic MID	1	2
Alonso MID		4	3	4
Z. Monlouis DEF		3
J Osorio MID		2	3	2
M. Henry MID		1		1
R Edwards DEF		1		1
B Kuscevic DEF		1
D Kerr FWD		2
J. Gilman DEF		3
M Pereira DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
971	40	113
Alonso	R Edwards	R Laryea

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Alonso MID	971	38	90
J Osorio MID	879	24	61
W Zimmerman DEF	786	25	86
L Gavran GLK	657	1	14
R Laryea DEF	588	29	113
Z. Monlouis DEF	582	17	34
D Sallói FWD	483	5	49
K Franklin DEF	478	25	52
B Kuscevic DEF	376	8	35
J. Gilman DEF	339	13	27
R Edwards DEF	331	40	71
Đorđe Mihailović MID	231	9	25
J Sargent FWD	219	9	77
D Junior FWD	212	8	30
M Cimermancic MID	203	6	15
T Corbeanu FWD	153	6	27
M. Henry MID	137	8	29
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	135	5	33
L Stefanovic DEF	135	6	13
N Dorsch MID	115	6	12
M Pereira DEF	82	4	12
D Kerr FWD	67	10	40
N Gomis DEF	59	4	5
J Vilsaint FWD	19	2	9
H Wingo DEF	15	1	1

Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	5	8	6
C Brady	M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	D. D'Avilla

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Brady GLK	21			1 -
M Haile-Selassie MID	21	5	4	1 -
D. D'Avilla MID	20	1		6 -
R Lod MID	20	4	2	2 -
P Zinckernagel FWD	20	5	8	4 -
J Elliott DEF	19		1	4 -
A Salétros MID	19			5 -
J Dean DEF	17			1 1
A Gutman DEF	16	1	3	3 -
J Bamba FWD	16	2	2	2 -
P Dithejane FWD	15	2	1	2 -
M Pineda DEF	14			-
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	12		2	2 -
M. Mbokazi DEF	12			2 -
R Lewandowski FWD	7	4	1	1 -
S Rogers DEF	5			1 -
C Mueller FWD	5			1 -
S Oregel MID	4			-
D Poreba MID	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	8	12
M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Haile-Selassie MID	5	14	4	8
P Zinckernagel FWD	5	19	8	12
R Lod MID	4	9	2	3
R Lewandowski FWD	4	7	1	1
J Bamba FWD	2	11	2	7
P Dithejane FWD	2	7	1	1
D. D'Avilla MID	1	6		1
A Gutman DEF	1	2	3	3
J Elliott DEF		1	1	1
A Salétros MID		4		5
J Dean DEF				1
M Pineda DEF		1
L. Caetano Barroso DEF		2	2	3
M. Mbokazi DEF		3
C Mueller FWD		1
D Poreba MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1167	40	113
J Elliott	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Elliott DEF	1167	19	60
A Salétros MID	1089	29	45
D. D'Avilla MID	900	27	67
C Brady GLK	658		9
M. Mbokazi DEF	636	21	48
P Zinckernagel FWD	612	40	113
M Haile-Selassie MID	576	14	50
A Gutman DEF	531	25	57
J Dean DEF	469	27	63
J Bamba FWD	451	24	66
M Pineda DEF	395	18	33
R Lod MID	329	26	60
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	324	21	34
S Rogers DEF	297	4	10
R Lewandowski FWD	101	1	26
P Dithejane FWD	101	3	25
S Oregel MID	73	2	4
C Mueller FWD	25	1	5
D Poreba MID	16	1	3