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Toronto FC v Chicago Fire : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

BMO Field, Toronto

The Major League Soccer is the focus for both Toronto FC and Chicago Fire on Sunday morning, as bosses Robin Fraser and Gregg Berhalter go head to head at the BMO Field. Analysing both sides' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Toronto FC's next match is v Nashville at 00:30 on Thursday 10th September
Chicago Fire's next match is v Miami at 01:30 on Thursday 10th September

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Toronto and Chicago was on Sunday 6th September 2026

American Major League Soccer

September 6th 2026

Toronto 4	4 Chicago

J. Sargent 27'	13' M. Haile-Selassie
J. Sargent 38'	49' (OG)W. Zimmerman
J. Sargent 54'	58' M. Haile-Selassie
D. Etienne Jr. 90'	63' R. Lewandowski

	TOR CHI
Shots On	8 6
Shots Off	3 5
Corners	6 3
Possession	43% 57%
Fouls	1 1
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Toronto	Chicago

L. Gavran M. Pereira de Souza (J. Gilman 55') B. Kuscevic Jaramillo D. Mihailovic (D. Etienne Jr. 79') A. Coello Camarero T. Corbeanu (L. Morgan 64') J. Sargent R. Laryea W. Zimmerman M. Cimermancic (E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga 79') D. Salloi	C. Brady J. Elliott (N. Allen 46') S. Rogers A. Gutman A. Salétros (S. Oregel Jr. 77') M. Haile-Selassie R. Lewandowski (J. Gomez 89') P. Zinckernagel (R. Lod 64') P. Dithejane R. Dean (M. Pineda 78') D. D'Avilla

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Robin Fraser prepares his side for kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Stats imply both clubs possess a number of attacking options, with goals in plentiful supply of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the match, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Chicago coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 35%	2.75	-
Draw 22%	3.80	-
Chicago 43%	2.25	-
Draw 1-1 9%	7.50	-
Chicago 2-1 8%	9.50	-
Toronto 2-1 8%	11.00	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11.00	-
Chicago 3-1 5%	15.00	-
Chicago 1-0 5%	13.00	-
Chicago 2-0 5%	15.00	-
Toronto 1-0 5%	15.00	-
Chicago 3-2 5%	19.00	-
Toronto 3-1 4%	19.00	-
Toronto 3-2 4%	21.00	-
Toronto 2-0 4%	19.00	-
Chicago 3-0 3%	23.00	-
Draw 0-0 3%	19.00	-
Draw 3-3 3%	29.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 70%	1.50	-
Under 2.5 Goals 30%	2.50	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.00	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.80	-
No 1st Goal 1%	19.00	-
BTTS - Yes 70%	1.44	-
BTTS - No 30%	2.63	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4.50	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 28%	3.60	-
Home/draw 57%	1.57	-
Away/draw 65%	1.40	-
Home/away 78%	1.25	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.14	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	5.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 49%	2.20	-
Under 3.5 Goals 51%	1.62	-
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	3.75	-
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1.25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 16%	7.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 84%	1.10	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	19.00	-
Home DNB 50%	2.10	-
Away DNB 58%	1.67	-
Toronto win to nil 12%	6.50	-
Chicago win to nil 15%	5.50	-
Toronto / Toronto 19%	4.33	-
Toronto / Chicago 4%	21.00	-
Toronto / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Toronto 12%	7.00	-
Draw / Chicago 14%	6.00	-
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	-
Chicago / Toronto 4%	23.00	-
Chicago / Chicago 23%	3.60	-
Chicago / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
Toronto	2 - 1	New England
Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	2 - 1	Miami
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 1	New England
A	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	1 - 2	DC United
A	Toronto	0 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Montreal
A	Toronto	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Toronto	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
H	Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Toronto	1 - 0	Cincinnati

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Seattle	2 - 2	Chicago
NY Red Bulls	1 - 1	Chicago
Orlando	1 - 2	Chicago
NY City	3 - 1	Chicago
Miami	3 - 2	Chicago
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
DC United	1 - 3	Chicago
Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
Columbus	0 - 0	Chicago
Houston	2 - 1	Chicago
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
New England	2 - 2	Chicago
Miami	3 - 5	Chicago
Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
Atlanta	2 - 2	Chicago
Cincinnati	2 - 1	Chicago
DC United	1 - 7	Chicago

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chicago	2 - 2	Seattle
A	Chicago	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Chicago	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Portland
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Charlotte
A	Chicago	1 - 3	NY City
A	Chicago	2 - 3	Miami
H	Chicago	2 - 1	Toronto
A	Chicago	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Chicago	3 - 1	DC United
H	Chicago	1 - 3	NY Red Bulls
H	Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Chicago	5 - 0	Sporting KC
A	Chicago	3 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Chicago	1 - 0	Atlanta
H	Chicago	1 - 0	Nashville
A	Chicago	2 - 1	Philadelphia
H	Chicago	1 - 2	DC United
A	Chicago	0 - 0	Columbus
H	Chicago	3 - 0	Montreal

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

Chicago

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

TOR

CHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
	1 - 2	Chicago
	1 - 4	Chicago
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Toronto	3 - 2
Toronto	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Toronto	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Chicago

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

0 / 8

TOR

CHI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chicago
Chicago	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chicago	1 - 0
Chicago	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Toronto

Goal Statistics

Toronto FC have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Chicago Fire on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Toronto 11th	Chicago 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Chicago will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+16 Toronto have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted	+24 Chicago have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	2.2 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

TOR

CHI

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		20
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	6		14
Goals scored	32		39
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		19
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.9
KickOff rating		+26%

TOR

CHI

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		15
Clean sheets	3		6
Conceded first	14		6
Goals conceded	38		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	19%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+29%

Toronto v Chicago Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	6	4	5
L Gavran	D Sallói	D Sallói	W Zimmerman

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	22	1		-
M Pereira DEF	5			2 -
W Zimmerman DEF	18	1		4 1
B Kuscevic DEF	10			3 -
R Laryea DEF	17	2	1	4 -
M Cimermancic MID	6	1		-
Alonso MID	22		3	3 -
T Corbeanu MID	9	1	2	1 -
Đorđe Mihailović MID	11	2	3	1 1
D Sallói MID	22	6	4	2 -
J Sargent FWD	15	4	2	-
Subs
W Story GLK				-
Z. Monlouis DEF	18			1 -
N Gomis DEF	3			-
K Franklin DEF	18	2	2	-
J. Gilman DEF	9			1 -
R Edwards DEF	12			3 1
D Junior FWD	17	3	1	-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	16	3		1 -
L Morgan FWD	13		3	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	4	4
D Sallói	D Sallói	D Sallói	Alonso

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sallói MID	6	21	4	3
J Sargent FWD	4	12	2	3
Subs
D Junior FWD	3	10	1	1
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	3	8		2
R Laryea DEF	2	3	1	3
Đorđe Mihailović MID	2	10	3	1
Subs
K Franklin DEF	2	4	2	1
L Gavran GLK	1	1
W Zimmerman DEF	1	3
M Cimermancic MID	1	2
T Corbeanu MID	1	2	2	3
M Pereira DEF				2
B Kuscevic DEF		1
Alonso MID		4	3	4
Subs
Z. Monlouis DEF		3
J. Gilman DEF		3
R Edwards DEF		1		1
L Morgan FWD		2	3	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
971	40	113
Alonso	R Edwards	R Laryea

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
Alonso MID	971	38	90
W Zimmerman DEF	786	25	86
L Gavran GLK	657	1	14
R Laryea DEF	588	29	113
Subs
Z. Monlouis DEF	582	17	34
D Sallói MID	483	5	49
Subs
K Franklin DEF	478	25	52
B Kuscevic DEF	376	8	35
Subs
J. Gilman DEF	339	13	27
R Edwards DEF	331	40	71
Đorđe Mihailović MID	231	9	25
J Sargent FWD	219	9	77
Subs
D Junior FWD	212	8	30
M Cimermancic MID	203	6	15
Subs
L Morgan FWD	157	7	14
T Corbeanu MID	153	6	27
Subs
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	135	5	33
M Pereira DEF	82	4	12
Subs
N Gomis DEF	59	4	5

Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	5	8	6
C Brady	M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	D. D'Avilla

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Brady GLK	21			1 -
J Dean DEF	17			1 1
S Rogers DEF	5			1 -
J Elliott DEF	19		1	4 -
A Gutman DEF	16	1	3	3 -
M Haile-Selassie MID	21	5	4	1 -
D. D'Avilla MID	20	1		6 -
A Salétros MID	19			5 -
P Zinckernagel FWD	20	5	8	4 -
R Lewandowski FWD	7	4	1	1 -
P Dithejane FWD	15	2	1	2 -
Subs
J Cohen GLK				-
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	12		2	2 -
M Pineda DEF	14			-
N Allen DEF	19	1	1	2 -
S Williams MID	1			-
R Lod MID	20	4	2	2 -
D Poreba MID	1		1	-
S Oregel MID	4			-
J Gómez FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	8	12
M Haile-Selassie	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Haile-Selassie MID	5	14	4	8
P Zinckernagel FWD	5	19	8	12
R Lewandowski FWD	4	7	1	1
Subs
R Lod MID	4	9	2	3
P Dithejane FWD	2	7	1	1
A Gutman DEF	1	2	3	3
D. D'Avilla MID	1	6		1
Subs
N Allen DEF	1	2	1	1
J Dean DEF				1
J Elliott DEF		1	1	1
A Salétros MID		4		5
Subs
L. Caetano Barroso DEF		2	2	3
M Pineda DEF		1
D Poreba MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1167	40	113
J Elliott	P Zinckernagel	P Zinckernagel

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Elliott DEF	1167	19	60
A Salétros MID	1089	29	45
D. D'Avilla MID	900	27	67
C Brady GLK	658		9
Subs
N Allen DEF	618	26	47
P Zinckernagel FWD	612	40	113
M Haile-Selassie MID	576	14	50
A Gutman DEF	531	25	57
J Dean DEF	469	27	63
Subs
M Pineda DEF	395	18	33
R Lod MID	329	26	60
L. Caetano Barroso DEF	324	21	34
S Rogers DEF	297	4	10
R Lewandowski FWD	101	1	26
P Dithejane FWD	101	3	25
Subs
S Oregel MID	73	2	4
S Williams MID	29		1
D Poreba MID	16	1	3