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Philadelphia Union v Montreal Impact : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 00:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Philadelphia Union and Montreal Impact go head to head at the Subaru Park on Thursday morning, with both Bradley Wellmen and Laurent Courtois seeking a win in the Major League Soccer. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Philadelphia and Montreal will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Bradley Wellmen or Laurent Courtois has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Philadelphia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Philadelphia
57%
1.551.50
Draw
22%
4.334.00
Montreal
20%
5.505.00
Draw 1-1
11%
8.508.00
Philadelphia 1-0
10%
8.508.00
Philadelphia 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Philadelphia 2-0
10%
8.508.00
Philadelphia 3-1
6%
12.0011.00
Philadelphia 3-0
6%
12.0011.00
Montreal 1-0
6%
17.0015.00
Draw 0-0
6%
15.0013.00
Montreal 2-1
5%
17.0015.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Philadelphia 3-2
3%
21.0017.00
Philadelphia 4-1
3%
21.0017.00
Montreal 2-0
3%
29.0023.00
Philadelphia 4-0
3%
21.0017.00
Montreal 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.60
1%
1.60
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.30
2%
2.20
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.361.44
Away 1st Goal
41%
3.103.00
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.701.70
BTTS - No
46%
2.052.05
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.002.90
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.005.25
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9.008.50
Home/draw
80%
1.141.14
Away/draw
43%
2.382.40
Home/away
78%
1.201.22
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.181.20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.504.33
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.502.45
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.501.50
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4.33
4%
4.20
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.20
2%
1.20
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9.00
10%
8.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.07
1%
1.07
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.031.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
73%
1.221.20
Away DNB
36%
4.004.20
Philadelphia win to nil
31%
2.75-
Montreal win to nil
10%
11.00-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
36%
2.302.25
Philadelphia / Montreal
2%
34.0034.00
Philadelphia / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
Draw / Philadelphia
18%
4.504.40
Draw / Montreal
7%
12.0011.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Montreal / Philadelphia
4%
19.0019.00
Montreal / Montreal
9%
9.508.50
Montreal / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
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Win / draw / win form
9
Philadelphia have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Philadelphia 1ST
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 1Charlotte
Philadelphia3 - 3Miami
Philadelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
Philadelphia2 - 2Columbus
Philadelphia3 - 0DC United
Philadelphia3 - 0Atlanta
Philadelphia0 - 0Orlando
Philadelphia1 - 0Saint Louis City
Philadelphia1 - 3Nashville
Philadelphia4 - 1Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 1Atlanta
Philadelphia4 - 0DC United
Philadelphia0 - 1Columbus
Philadelphia3 - 0Nashville
Philadelphia5 - 1New England
Philadelphia0 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia0 - 2Charlotte
Philadelphia1 - 2Miami
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPhiladelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
APhiladelphia0 - 1Nashville
APhiladelphia0 - 1Columbus
APhiladelphia1 - 0Chicago
HPhiladelphia2 - 1Charlotte
APhiladelphia0 - 0Dallas
APhiladelphia2 - 1Toronto
HPhiladelphia3 - 3Miami
APhiladelphia1 - 0Atlanta
HPhiladelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
HPhiladelphia2 - 2Columbus
APhiladelphia2 - 1Montreal
HPhiladelphia3 - 0DC United
HPhiladelphia3 - 0Atlanta
APhiladelphia0 - 1NY City
HPhiladelphia0 - 0Orlando
APhiladelphia1 - 2Miami
HPhiladelphia1 - 0Saint Louis City
HPhiladelphia1 - 3Nashville
APhiladelphia2 - 0New England
Montreal 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orlando1 - 1Montreal
Houston1 - 3Montreal
Miami4 - 2Montreal
NY City0 - 1Montreal
NY Red Bulls1 - 0Montreal
Columbus2 - 1Montreal
Chicago1 - 1Montreal
Nashville3 - 0Montreal
DC United0 - 0Montreal
Vancouver2 - 0Montreal
Minnesota1 - 0Montreal
Atlanta3 - 2Montreal
Charlotte2 - 0Montreal
Atlanta1 - 2Montreal
New England2 - 2Montreal
Cincinnati4 - 1Montreal
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Montreal
NY City2 - 0Montreal
Colorado4 - 1Montreal
Philadelphia2 - 2Montreal
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontreal1 - 1Orlando
HMontreal1 - 4Miami
HMontreal1 - 0NY City
HMontreal1 - 3Cincinnati
AMontreal3 - 1Houston
HMontreal0 - 3New England
AMontreal2 - 4Miami
HMontreal2 - 2LAFC
HMontreal1 - 6Toronto
HMontreal1 - 1Columbus
AMontreal1 - 0NY City
HMontreal1 - 2Philadelphia
AMontreal0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HMontreal0 - 0Orlando
HMontreal0 - 1Charlotte
AMontreal1 - 2Columbus
AMontreal1 - 1Chicago
AMontreal0 - 3Nashville
AMontreal0 - 0DC United
AMontreal0 - 2Vancouver
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Philadelphia have not lost to Montreal in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
Montreal
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
PHI
3
D
3
MTL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Draw2 - 2Draw
Philadelphia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Philadelphia2 - 1
Philadelphia3 - 0
1 - 4Montreal
League games at Montreal since 2018
Montreal
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
PHI
4
D
1
MTL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montreal
1 - 2Philadelphia
Montreal4 - 2
Montreal3 - 2
1 - 2Philadelphia
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Philadelphia
Montreal4 - 0
0 - 2Philadelphia
Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's defensive record is very strong, Bradley Wellmen's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Montreal Impact makes sense in this context.

Philadelphia 1st Montreal 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Montreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Philadelphia have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Montreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291067/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Philadelphia
PG (predicted goals)
Montreal
1.9
1
Attack rating
37%
better
PHI
MTL
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score5
8
Scored first12
6
Goals scored37
19
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
39%
better
PHI
MTL
view stats
Games conceded13
18
Clean sheets9
4
Conceded first8
14
Goals conceded21
41
Avg. goals conceded1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
19%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+39%

Philadelphia v Montreal Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201377
J LukicT BariboK WagnerJ Lukic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lukic MID2121
6
1
B Damiani FWD214
4
-
I Vassilev FWD2121
2
-
K Wagner DEF2017
4
-
J Glesnes DEF2011
6
-
O. Makhanya DEF19
4
1
D Jacques MID1923
4
-
F. Westfield DEF1813
3
-
Q Sullivan MID1827
2
-
T Baribo FWD18131
3
-
M Uhre FWD1724
1
-
C Donovan FWD16
-
N Harriel DEF152
4
-
A Bedoya MID15
4
-
A Blake GLK13
-
J Bueno MID121
3
-
A. Rick GLK9
1
-
J Rafanello MID9
-
C. Sullivan MID7
1
-
O Mbaizo DEF4
1
-
I Glavinovich DEF41
1
-
M. Anderson Adedeji FWD31
-
S. Olivas FWD2
1
-
D. Vazquez MID1
-
E Davis FWD1
-
Montreal Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21937
L PetrassoP OwusuP OwusuJ Waterman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Petrasso DEF2212
3
-
V Loturi MID222
3
-
P Owusu FWD2293
2
-
C Clark MID212
5
-
J Sirois GLK20
-
S Piette MID19
3
-
D Sealy FWD1821
5
-
T Pearce DEF171
1
-
Y. Guboglo DEF161
1
-
G Campbell DEF161
4
-
J Waterman DEF15
6
1
F Amador DEF141
3
-
D. Bugaj DEF13
2
-
B Craig DEF11
1
-
B Duke MID10
-
J Neal DEF91
1
-
F Herbers MID9
2
-
I Sunusi FWD9
-
J Vilsaint FWD91
-
G Vrioni FWD73
1
K Opoku FWD7
1
-
O. Graham-Roache FWD5
-
H. Synchuk FWD4
-
S Breza GLK2
-
O. Escobar MID1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Charlotte v DC United
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Montreal
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v New England
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Cincinnati v Miami
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Orlando v NY City
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Chicago
Thu 17th Jul, 00:30
Nashville v Columbus
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Minnesota v LAFC
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Vancouver
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Seattle v Colorado
Thu 17th Jul, 03:00
San Diego v Toronto
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
Portland v Salt Lake
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
San Jose v Dallas
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
LA Galaxy v Austin
Thu 17th Jul, 03:30
NY Red Bulls v Miami
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Charlotte
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v DC United
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
New England v Orlando
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Montreal v Chicago
Sun 20th Jul, 00:30
Seattle v San Jose
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Houston v Philadelphia
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v Saint Louis City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Sporting KC v NY City
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Nashville v Toronto
Sun 20th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v Cincinnati
Sun 20th Jul, 02:30
Portland v Minnesota
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v LA Galaxy
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
San Diego v Vancouver
Sun 20th Jul, 03:30
New England v Montreal
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Columbus v Orlando
Sat 26th Jul, 00:30
Houston v LA Galaxy
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
Dallas v NY City
Sat 26th Jul, 01:30
San Diego v Nashville
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
LAFC v Portland
Sat 26th Jul, 03:30
Miami v Cincinnati
Sun 27th Jul, 00:00
Charlotte v Toronto
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Philadelphia v Colorado
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
DC United v Austin
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Atlanta v Seattle
Sun 27th Jul, 00:30
Saint Louis City v Minnesota
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Chicago v NY Red Bulls
Sun 27th Jul, 01:30
Salt Lake v San Jose
Sun 27th Jul, 02:30
Vancouver v Sporting KC
Sun 27th Jul, 03:30