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Philadelphia Union v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 10th Sep, 00:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Pat Noonan will be hoping for a vital away win in the Major League Soccer on Thursday morning, as he takes his Cincinnati side to the Subaru Park to visit Philadelphia Union and Bradley Carnell. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer clash, with Philadelphia and Cincinnati going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Philadelphia 53%	69/100	-
Draw 21%	16/5	-
Cincinnati 26%	3/1	-
Philadelphia 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	-
Philadelphia 3-1 6%	11/1	-
Philadelphia 2-0 6%	11/1	-
Cincinnati 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Philadelphia 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Philadelphia 3-2 5%	16/1	-
Philadelphia 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Cincinnati 1-0 4%	20/1	-
Philadelphia 4-1 3%	20/1	-
Cincinnati 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Cincinnati 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Cincinnati 2-0 3%	25/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	22/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	2/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	15/8	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 1%	22/1	-
BTTS - Yes 67%	2/5	-
BTTS - No 33%	7/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 32%	7/4	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 74%	2/9	-
Away/draw 47%	21/20	-
Home/away 79%	2/9	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/10	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	10/11	-
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	4/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	9/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1/3	-
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	9/2	-
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/7	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	22/1	-
Home DNB 68%	4/11	-
Away DNB 41%	2/1	-
Philadelphia win to nil 21%	3/1	-
Cincinnati win to nil 9%	9/1	-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 32%	13/8	-
Philadelphia / Cincinnati 3%	25/1	-
Philadelphia / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Philadelphia 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Cincinnati 9%	17/2	-
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	-
Cincinnati / Philadelphia 5%	16/1	-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 13%	11/2	-
Cincinnati / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose
Philadelphia	1 - 2	NY City
Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY City
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 0	NY City
Philadelphia	1 - 0	New England
Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Toronto
Philadelphia	3 - 1	Colorado
Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal
Philadelphia	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia	2 - 1	Charlotte

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Austin
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
A	Philadelphia	3 - 2	NY City
H	Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
H	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	4 - 6	Miami
H	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 4	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	New England
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
A	Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Charlotte
H	Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Philadelphia	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nashville	4 - 0	Cincinnati
Orlando	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Columbus	2 - 1	Cincinnati
San Diego	3 - 3	Cincinnati
Charlotte	2 - 2	Cincinnati
Chicago	2 - 3	Cincinnati
NY City	4 - 4	Cincinnati
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	4 - 2	Cincinnati
New England	6 - 1	Cincinnati
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Columbus	4 - 0	Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls	0 - 1	Cincinnati
LA Galaxy	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Portland	2 - 3	Cincinnati
Miami	0 - 0	Cincinnati
Salt Lake	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Orlando	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Montreal	1 - 3	Cincinnati
New England	0 - 1	Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cincinnati	0 - 4	Nashville
H	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Seattle
H	Cincinnati	2 - 1	NY City
A	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
H	Cincinnati	4 - 2	San Jose
A	Cincinnati	1 - 2	Columbus
H	Cincinnati	4 - 3	Vancouver
H	Cincinnati	6 - 2	Orlando
A	Cincinnati	3 - 3	San Diego
H	Cincinnati	3 - 5	Miami
A	Cincinnati	2 - 2	Charlotte
A	Cincinnati	3 - 2	Chicago
H	Cincinnati	2 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Cincinnati	4 - 4	NY City
H	Cincinnati	3 - 3	Chicago
A	Cincinnati	1 - 1	Toronto
A	Cincinnati	2 - 4	NY Red Bulls
H	Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
A	Cincinnati	1 - 6	New England
H	Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Philadelphia

Cincinnati

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

0 / 8

PHI

CIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Philadelphia	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Philadelphia	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Philadelphia	2 - 0
Philadelphia	3 - 0
Philadelphia	2 - 0

Cincinnati

Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

PHI

CIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Cincinnati	4 - 3
Cincinnati	1 - 0
Cincinnati	1 - 0
Cincinnati	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Philadelphia

Goal Statistics

	Philadelphia 12th	Cincinnati 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 63% probability that Philadelphia will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Philadelphia have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	+12 Cincinnati have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

PHI

CIN

23%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		19
Failed to score	5		3
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	34		49
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2.2
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		21
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.7
KickOff rating		+23%

11%

better

PHI

CIN

view stats

Games conceded	19		20
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	11		12
Goals conceded	39		51
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		5
Conversion rate against	24%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+11%

Philadelphia v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	11	5	5
N Harriel	M Iloski	F. Westfield	D Jacques

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Harriel DEF	22	1	2	4 -
B Damiani FWD	22	3	2	3 -
M Iloski FWD	22	11	2	4 -
A Blake GLK	21			-
D Jacques MID	21	3	1	5 -
I Vassilev FWD	21	3	1	1 -
C. Sullivan MID	20	3	3	1 1
J Lukic MID	20		1	5 -
E. Alladoh FWD	19	1	1	2 1
F. Westfield DEF	18		5	1 -
J Bueno MID	16	1		3 -
A Bedoya MID	13		2	1 -
A Anello FWD	13	1	1	2 -
J Larsen DEF	11	1		4 1
B Bender MID	8	1	1	1 -
G. Martínez Turner DEF	7			2 -
K Wagner DEF	7		3	2 -
N. Pierre DEF	7	4		1 -
Q Sullivan MID	7		1	2 -
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	6			1 -
J Rafanello MID	4			1 -
M. Jakupovic FWD	4			-
F. Sundstrom DEF	2			-
A. Rick GLK	1			1 -
S. Olivas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	31	5	10
M Iloski	M Iloski	F. Westfield	F. Westfield

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Iloski FWD	11	31	2	7
N. Pierre DEF	4	5
B Damiani FWD	3	10	2	4
D Jacques MID	3	3	1	2
I Vassilev FWD	3	7	1	5
C. Sullivan MID	3	15	3	8
N Harriel DEF	1	5	2	3
E. Alladoh FWD	1	3	1	1
J Bueno MID	1	5
A Anello FWD	1	6	1	2
J Larsen DEF	1	2
B Bender MID	1	2	1
J Lukic MID			1	2
F. Westfield DEF		2	5	10
A Bedoya MID		2	2	2
K Wagner DEF			3	3
Q Sullivan MID		4	1	1
P. Ossibadjouo DEF		1		1
J Rafanello MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
791	41	160
N Harriel	J Lukic	N Harriel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Harriel DEF	791	40	160
D Jacques MID	734	39	80
J Lukic MID	707	41	70
F. Westfield DEF	559	38	130
A Blake GLK	510	2	11
M Iloski FWD	459	9	50
I Vassilev FWD	433	19	59
B Damiani FWD	429	31	142
C. Sullivan MID	377	26	84
J Bueno MID	355	19	46
J Larsen DEF	330	16	38
K Wagner DEF	315	8	21
N. Pierre DEF	213	12	36
E. Alladoh FWD	191	5	50
B Bender MID	180	13	28
G. Martínez Turner DEF	165	13	21
A Anello FWD	144	2	20
J Rafanello MID	114	2	8
Q Sullivan MID	84	5	12
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	84	6	15
A Bedoya MID	80	6	22
A. Rick GLK	21
F. Sundstrom DEF	13	5	7
M. Jakupovic FWD	12	1	7
S. Olivas FWD	3		1

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	13	10	8
Evander	Evander	Evander	B Ramírez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Barlow FWD	22	6	1	2 -
S. Gidi MID	21		1	3 -
Evander MID	21	13	10	3 -
P Bucha MID	21	5	4	3 -
K Denkey FWD	21	11	3	3 1
B Ramírez FWD	21	1	2	8 -
R Celentano GLK	20			-
E Peña FWD	20	1	5	1 -
K. Mboma Dem FWD	19	5	1	-
A Jabbari FWD	19	2	2	1 -
G Valenzuela MID	18	1	3	2 2
K Smith DEF	17	1		2 1
O Nwobodo MID	17		1	6 -
M Robinson DEF	16			2 1
M Miazga DEF	14		1	6 -
T Anunga MID	14			1 -
N Hagglund DEF	13	1		1 -
T Hadebe DEF	11			1 -
A Powell DEF	10		1	1
A. Chirila DEF	7	1		1 -
A. Lajhar DEF	3			1 -
E Louro GLK	2			-
S Jimenez MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	37	10	21
Evander	Evander	Evander	Evander

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Evander MID	13	37	10	21
K Denkey FWD	11	22	3	1
T Barlow FWD	6	13	1	1
P Bucha MID	5	8	4	3
K. Mboma Dem FWD	5	11	1
A Jabbari FWD	2	6	2	3
B Ramírez FWD	1	8	2	5
E Peña FWD	1	9	5	11
G Valenzuela MID	1	5	3	3
K Smith DEF	1	3
N Hagglund DEF	1	3
A. Chirila DEF	1	2
S. Gidi MID			1	2
O Nwobodo MID		1	1
M Robinson DEF		3
M Miazga DEF		2	1
T Anunga MID		1
A Powell DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1028	44	97
S. Gidi	B Ramírez	B Ramírez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S. Gidi MID	1028	27	79
P Bucha MID	836	39	70
M Robinson DEF	830	16	56
Evander MID	805	19	96
B Ramírez FWD	722	44	97
G Valenzuela MID	607	19	73
M Miazga DEF	582	8	25
K Smith DEF	548	15	27
R Celentano GLK	497		4
N Hagglund DEF	487	13	51
A. Chirila DEF	438	6	18
E Peña FWD	432	20	64
O Nwobodo MID	398	37	52
K. Mboma Dem FWD	389	15	54
K Denkey FWD	357	11	87
T Anunga MID	317	19	33
T Hadebe DEF	233	3	21
T Barlow FWD	207	6	42
A Jabbari FWD	101	9	68
A Powell DEF	89	7	19
E Louro GLK	85
A. Lajhar DEF	9
S Jimenez MID	3