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Atlético Mineiro v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Fernando Diniz Silva pays counterpart Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya a visit on Sunday evening in the Serie A, as their Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro sides face each other at the Arena MRV. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between A Mineiro and Vasco d Gama was on Sunday 7th December 2025
Brazillian Serie A
December 7th 2025
A Mineiro 5
0 Vasco d Gama
 
J. Alonso Mujica 19'
G. Vieira de Souza 32'
E. Pereira Rodrigues 49'
E. Pereira Rodrigues 69'
V. Chuab Zamblauskas (OG) 75'
 
AMN
VDG
Shots On
6
Shots Off
8
1
Corners
6
1
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
13
4
Yellow/red cards
0/1
 
A MineiroVasco d Gama
 
J. Alonso Mujicafootball icon
G. Arana Lopes
V. Franchescoli de Souza (R. Tressoldi Netto 70')
I. Silveira Gomes
G. Vieira de Souzafootball icon
B. Anício Caldeira Duarte (A. Gomes da Costa 70')
E. Marques Pires
R. Saravia (G. Menino 70')
A. Franco Palma
R. da Silva Barbosa (G. Furtado Scarpa 56')
E. Pereira Rodriguesfootball iconfootball icon (T. Cuello 78')
D. Cerantola Fuzato
football iconV. Chuab Zamblauskas
(G. Souza da Silva 72') D. das Neves Pinheiro
(G. de Paiva 72') M. França de Oliveira
P. Lucas de Paula
(J. Rodríguez Bebanz 72') D. Correia da Fonseca
L. da Cruz Oliveira
L. de Freitas Molarinho Chagas
H. Moura Arruda da Silva
M. Carvalho dos Santos
(L. da Silva Gama 35') P. Vegetti Pfaffen

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Mineiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
48%
23/501/1000
Draw
25%
16/5750/1
Vasco d Gama
27%
11/2750/1
Draw 1-1
12%
13/28/1
A Mineiro 1-0
11%
6/111/2
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
15/212/1
A Mineiro 2-0
8%
6/118/5
Vasco d Gama 1-0
8%
16/110/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/113/2
Vasco d Gama 2-1
7%
20/120/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/150/1
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
11/114/1
A Mineiro 3-0
4%
10/18/5
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
33/122/1
A Mineiro 3-2
3%
25/170/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
50/150/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
50/1150/1
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
22/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/51/6
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/118/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/910/21
Away 1st Goal
44%
2/123/10
No 1st Goal
4%
11/113/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/1114/1
BTTS - No
47%
10/111/100
BTTS - Home Win
22%
9/414/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2150/1
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/1100/1
Home/draw
73%
1/91/1000
Away/draw
52%
6/4150/1
Home/away
75%
2/91/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/41/12
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/16/1
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/14/9
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/58/5
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/23/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/719/20
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/110/3
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/202/11
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/113/2
Home DNB
65%
1/61/1000
Away DNB
45%
4/1100/1
A Mineiro win to nil
26%
6/4-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
14%
10/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
34%
5/41/1000
A Mineiro / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/190/1
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
14/133/1
Draw / A Mineiro
19%
10/3100/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
7%
12/1125/1
Draw / Draw
14%
11/2150/1
Vasco d Gama / A Mineiro
4%
20/11/50
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
9%
10/11/50
Vasco d Gama / Draw
5%
16/11/50
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Vasco d Gama have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
A Mineiro have not won in 5 consecutive league games
3
Vasco d Gama have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
A Mineiro 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
A Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
A Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Santos
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Bragantino
HA Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
AA Mineiro4 - 2S. Recife
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
AA Mineiro0 - 3Fluminense
HA Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
HA Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
AA Mineiro0 - 1Botafogo
HA Mineiro1 - 1Santos
AA Mineiro0 - 1Vitoria
AA Mineiro0 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Vasco d Gama 14TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
AVasco d Gama3 - 2S. Recife
HVasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Juventude
AVasco d Gama6 - 0Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
AMN
2
D
1
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro2 - 0
1 - 2Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro4 - 1
1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
AMN
1
D
1
VDG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Vasco d Gama3 - 2
1 - 2A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Vasco da Gama have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.6 for J. Sampaoli Moya's side suggests that run should continue.

A Mineiro 11th Vasco d Gama 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Vasco d Gama have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
AMN
VDG
20%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score15
13
Scored first14
17
Goals scored38
55
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
17%
better
AMN
VDG
view stats
Games conceded25
30
Clean sheets12
7
Conceded first18
19
Goals conceded44
55
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

A Mineiro v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36869
EversonHulk Hulk Hulk 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK36
7
-
R Saravia DEF19
2
-
V Hugo DEF233
3
1
J Alonso  DEF3111
6
2
G Arana DEF2511
7
-
I Gomes MID3452
3
1
A Franco MID301
4
-
Rony MID3565
4
1
Bernard MID3011
4
-
Dudu MID1832
1
-
Hulk  FWD3386
9
-
Subs
G Delfim GLK2
-
Natanael DEF341
2
-
R Tressoldi DEF111
4
-
I Román DEF12
4
-
Alexsander MID141
2
-
G Scarpa MID3613
3
-
Reinier MID13
2
-
G Menino MID2311
1
-
C Paulista MID20
2
-
T Cuello FWD1611
3
1
C Castro FWD1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281458
H MouraP VegettiA GomezH Moura
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fuzato GLK3
-
T Tchê DEF291
3
-
L Oliveira DEF8
1
-
L Freitas DEF211
4
-
V Luis DEF7
-
M Santos MID19
1
-
H Moura MID331
6
2
M França MID15
1
-
Paulinho MID11
2
-
David  MID2423
3
1
P Vegetti FWD35141
3
-
Subs
A. Silva de Barros GLK
-
P. de Paula Cardoso GLK
-
J Bebanz DEF2522
-
R Renan DEF15
2
-
D. Minete DEF
-
B Garré MID10
1
-
T Mendes MID8
1
-
L. da Silva Gama MID2
-
C Luz MID171
5
-
G. de Paiva MID1
-
A Gomez FWD1615
1
-
G. Souza da Silva FWD122
-
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