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Flamengo v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Filipe Luis Kasmirski welcomes Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on Sunday night, as their Flamengo and Botafogo sides clash in the Serie A. Analysing both sides' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Flamengo and Botafogo both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 55%	8/11	-
Draw 26%	12/5	-
Botafogo 19%	4/1	-
Flamengo 1-0 16%	4/1	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
Flamengo 2-0 12%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 11%	11/2	-
Flamengo 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Botafogo 1-0 8%	17/2	-
Flamengo 3-0 6%	12/1	-
Botafogo 2-1 4%	18/1	-
Flamengo 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1	-
Botafogo 2-0 3%	22/1	-
Flamengo 4-0 2%	28/1	-
Flamengo 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Flamengo 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Botafogo 3-1 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	6/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	1/2	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 37%	12/5	-
No 1st Goal 7%	11/2	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	11/8	-
BTTS - No 59%	8/15	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	12/1	-
Home/draw 81%	1/6	-
Away/draw 45%	21/20	-
Home/away 74%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	8/15	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	6/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/9	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11/2	-
Home DNB 73%	1/4	-
Away DNB 37%	11/4	-
Flamengo win to nil 37%	11/8	-
Botafogo win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 30%	7/4	-
Flamengo / Botafogo 2%	40/1	-
Flamengo / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Flamengo 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Botafogo 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	-
Botafogo / Flamengo 3%	28/1	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 9%	17/2	-
Botafogo / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Botafogo have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Botafogo have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vitoria
Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
Flamengo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude
Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
Flamengo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Flamengo	2 - 0	Atletico Go
Flamengo	2 - 1	Criciuma
Flamengo	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Flamengo	1 - 1	Cuiaba
Flamengo	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	2 - 1	Bahia
Flamengo	2 - 1	Gremio
Flamengo	2 - 0	Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Criciuma
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Cuiaba
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude
H	Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Bahia
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Flamengo	2 - 3	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Botafogo
Bragantino	1 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Internacional	0 - 1	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Botafogo
Bragantino	0 - 1	Botafogo
Athletico PR	0 - 1	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Botafogo
Bahia	0 - 0	Botafogo
Juventude	3 - 2	Botafogo
Atletico Go	1 - 4	Botafogo
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Botafogo
Vitoria	0 - 1	Botafogo
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Botafogo
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Botafogo
Criciuma	2 - 1	Botafogo
Gremio	1 - 2	Botafogo
Corinthians	0 - 1	Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Botafogo	2 - 0	Juventude
A	Botafogo	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Botafogo	3 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Botafogo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Cuiaba
H	Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Criciuma
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Gremio
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Botafogo have beaten Flamengo in 3 consecutive away league meetings

Flamengo

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

FLA

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
	0 - 2	Botafogo
	2 - 3	Botafogo
	0 - 1	Botafogo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	3 - 2
Flamengo	2 - 0

Botafogo

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

3 / 6

FLA

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Botafogo	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Botafogo look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Flamengo haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long night for C. Gomes Santos's men.

	Flamengo 2nd	Botafogo 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Botafogo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+17 Flamengo have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted	-10 Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	0.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

50%

better

FLA

BOT

view stats

Games scored	5		3
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	4		2
Goals scored	15		6
Avg. goals scored	2.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		12
Conversion rate for	19		8
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+50%

41%

better

FLA

BOT

view stats

Games conceded	2		4
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	1		4
Goals conceded	2		5
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	4		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	13		11
Conversion rate against	8%		9%
Avg. XG against	0.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+41%

Flamengo v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	6	3	3
A Rossi	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta	N Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	7			-
L Pereira DEF	7	1		1 -
Wesley DEF	7		1	2 -
E Farfán MID	7	1		2 -
B Henrique FWD	7	1		-
Éverton FWD	7	1	1	-
L Ortiz DEF	6			1 -
N Cruz MID	6			3 -
Gerson MID	6		2	-
G Arrascaeta MID	6	6	3	-
Michael MID	6		2	-
G Plata MID	6	1		-
L Araújo FWD	6		1	-
A Sandro DEF	5			-
Ayrton DEF	4			1 -
Allan MID	4			-
Pedro FWD	4	4	1	-
Juninho FWD	4			-
G Varela DEF	2			-
M Gonçalves FWD	2			-
Danilo DEF	1	1		-
W Barreto MID	1			-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	9	3	4
G Arrascaeta	Pedro	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Arrascaeta MID	6	6	3	4
Pedro FWD	4	9	1	2
G Plata MID	1	1
E Farfán MID	1	3		1
B Henrique FWD	1	3		1
Éverton FWD	1	3	1
Danilo DEF	1	1
L Pereira DEF	1	1		1
M Gonçalves FWD		1
Juninho FWD		2
Ayrton DEF		1
A Sandro DEF				2
L Araújo FWD		1	1	2
Michael MID		2	2	2
Gerson MID		4	2	2
N Cruz MID		2		1
L Ortiz DEF		1
Wesley DEF			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
560	16	43
L Pereira	Wesley	Wesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	560	5	18
L Ortiz DEF	478	6	19
N Cruz MID	409	10	28
E Farfán MID	399	9	28
A Sandro DEF	321	4	18
Wesley DEF	313	16	43
Gerson MID	254	9	29
G Arrascaeta MID	250	8	31
A Rossi GLK	159
Ayrton DEF	130	8	15
Éverton FWD	115	3	9
Danilo DEF	106	3	4
Allan MID	95		2
Michael MID	89	3	9
G Plata MID	88	5	8
L Araújo FWD	79	7	14
B Henrique FWD	67	2	20
Pedro FWD	33	1	8
G Varela DEF	31	1	4
M Gonçalves FWD	18	1	4
Juninho FWD	14	3	8
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	4
W Barreto MID	1		4

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	3
John	I Jesus	Artur	John

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
John GLK	7			2 1
J Paula DEF	7			-
Cuiabano DEF	7		1	1 -
M Freitas MID	7			1 -
Artur FWD	7		2	1 -
I Jesus FWD	7	2	1	-
Vitinho DEF	6	1		-
A Telles DEF	6			-
Gregore MID	6			3 -
P Paula MID	6			-
J Savarino FWD	6	2	1	1 -
M Ponte DEF	5	1		1 -
A Barboza DEF	5			3 -
M Martins FWD	5			1 -
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	3			1 -
S Rodríguez MID	3			-
D Loiola DEF	2			1
Jeffinho FWD	2			-
Vitinho FWD	2			-
D Barbosa MID	1			1 -
Allan MID	1			-
N Fernandes FWD	1			-
R Seco FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	12	2	2
I Jesus	I Jesus	Artur	I Jesus

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Savarino FWD	2	7	1
I Jesus FWD	2	12	1	2
M Ponte DEF	1	1
Vitinho DEF	1	1
S Rodríguez MID		2
M Martins FWD		3
Gregore MID		1
A Telles DEF		2
Artur FWD		2	2	1
M Freitas MID		1
Cuiabano DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
420	23	52
M Freitas	Gregore	I Jesus

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	420	8	13
J Paula DEF	404	11	30
Gregore MID	370	23	42
A Barboza DEF	301	11	24
John GLK	229	1	1
J Savarino FWD	196	1	7
Artur FWD	153	6	30
I Jesus FWD	138	2	52
P Paula MID	134	6	14
Vitinho DEF	132	9	14
Cuiabano DEF	127	5	19
D Loiola DEF	101	1	4
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	85	1	4
M Martins FWD	85	6	17
A Telles DEF	78	5	15
M Ponte DEF	53		5
Vitinho FWD	33	1	3
S Rodríguez MID	32	2	5
N Fernandes FWD	11	1	2
D Barbosa MID	7		1
Jeffinho FWD	6	1	2
Allan MID	4
R Seco FWD	3

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Flamengo v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Flamengo v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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