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Palmeiras v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Parque, São Paulo

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Sunday night, as Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and his Palmeiras side host Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia at the Allianz Parque. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie A clash.

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Palmeiras's next match is v Sao Paulo at 21:30 on Sunday 11th May
Bahia's next match is v Flamengo at 01:00 on Sunday 11th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Palmeiras and Bahia was on Sunday 27th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 27th 2025
Palmeiras 0
1 Bahia
 
90' K. da Silva Chagas
 
PAL
BAH
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
13
5
Corners
6
4
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
PalmeirasBahia
 
W. Pereira da Silva
J. Piquerez Moreira
A. Giay
G. Gómez Portillo
L. Roncholeta Benedetti
R. Rios (E. Martínez Toranza 80')
A. Moreno (L. Evangelista Santana de Oliveira 80')
M. Magalhães Prado (P. Sampaio Filho 62')
F. Torres Pérez (E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves 46')
F. Anderson Pereira Gomes (V. Roque Ferreira 46')
J. López
M. de Freitas Monteiro
G. Moraes Junior
Luciano
D. de Duarte Macedo
S. Ramos Mingo
(E. Conrado Carvalho 63') É. de Barros Ribeiro
(N. Acevedo Tabárez 82') C. Souza e Silva
J. de Souza Oliveira
(L. Rodríguez Rosales 63') W. da Silva
(C. Oliveira Souza 63') E. da Costa Farias
(K. da Silva Chagas 71') A. da Silva Santos Junior

Best Tip: Palmeiras to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Serie A fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Palmeiras to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they'll have too much for Bahia, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Palmeiras claiming victory is the bet come Sunday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
62%
11/20
6%
-
Draw
22%
31/10
3%
-
Bahia
16%
21/4
25%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
13%
5/1
20%
-
Palmeiras 2-0
12%
11/2
19%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/2-
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
21%
-
Palmeiras 3-1
6%
12/1-
Bahia 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Bahia 2-1
4%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
40%
-
Palmeiras 4-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
Palmeiras 4-1
3%
25/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
28/1
26%
-
Bahia 2-0
2%
28/1
12%
-
Palmeiras 5-0
1%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/11
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
5/2
17%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
14%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1
33%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/8
4%
-
Away/draw
38%
11/8
8%
-
Home/away
78%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/4
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/7
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
36%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
17%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/5
4%
-
Away DNB
31%
10/3
15%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
38%
11/8
13%
-
Bahia win to nil
9%
9/1
11%
-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
35%
11/8
8%
-
Palmeiras / Bahia
2%
40/1
21%
-
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
21%
3/1
11%
-
Draw / Bahia
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Bahia / Palmeiras
4%
22/1
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
7%
10/1
29%
-
Bahia / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Palmeiras have beaten Bahia in 4 consecutive home league meetings
6
Palmeiras have not lost to Bahia in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
PAL
5
D
1
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
PAL
1
D
4
BAH
1
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 1st Bahia 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294504/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
16%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored7
5
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
62%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
6
Conversion rate against5%
16%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+62%

Palmeiras v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7222
WevertonJ PiquerezR RíosG Portillo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK7
1
-
A Giay DEF7
-
G Portillo DEF5
2
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF1
-
F Anderson MID7
-
R Ríos MID62
2
-
A Moreno  MID6
-
J Piquerez MID72
-
M Maurício FWD3
-
F Torres FWD721
1
-
J López FWD62
1
-
Subs
M Lomba GLK
-
B Fuchs DEF5
2
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
K Naves DEF1
-
E Martínez MID71
1
-
T. Gomes de Araújo MID
-
L Evangelista MID
-
V Roque FWD71
1
-
Paulinho FWD4
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD
-
A. Andrade Elias FWD3
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD72
1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7133
S MingoGilbertoL JubaC Alexandre
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK4
-
Gilberto DEF61
1
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
S Mingo DEF7
-
L Juba DEF713
-
C Alexandre MID6
3
-
J Lucas MID6
1
-
Ademir MID7
2
-
S Suay MID61
2
1
E Pulga MID711
-
W José FWD5
-
Subs
D Fernandes  GLK
-
Iago DEF3
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
Rezende MID
-
Cauly MID612
1
-
R Nestor MID3
-
Erick MID71
3
-
M Araújo MID1
-
N Acevedo MID4
-
L Rodriguez FWD6
1
-
Kayky FWD31
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-